Central Alabama Weather

Jan 23 Tornado Event Update

2012-01-31T04:47:00.001-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
445 PM CST MON JAN 30 2012

...JANUARY 23RD TORNADO EVENT UPDATE...

...EF-SCALE AND WIND SPEED OF KOFFMAN TORNADO DOWNGRADED...

A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHED THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTERACTED WITH A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ALREADY IN
PLACE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ALONG AND OUT
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS ARKANSAS AND MISSISSIPPI AND PUSHED
EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY
MORNING. THERE WERE SEVERAL SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCED
TORNADOES AS THEY TRACKED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. NUMEROUS
REPORTS OF STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE AND SEVERAL REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL AND FLASH FLOODING WERE ALSO RECEIVED DURING THE EVENT.

TORNADO NUMBERS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO KEEP THE TRACKS IN ORDER
OF OCCURRENCE. SO A NUMBER MAY BE DIFFERENT THAN THE PREVIOUS
STATEMENT. ADDITIONAL PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS WILL BE
ISSUED PERIODICALLY...AS SURVEY TEAMS REPORT BACK THEIR FINDINGS.

TORNADO #1...KOFFMAN TORNADO (TUSCALOOSA)...UPDATED

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 120
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3257/-87.6579 AT 242 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3305/-87.6526 AT 243 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 0.45
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 400

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

UPDATE: BASED ON A DISCUSSION WITH STRUCTURAL ENGINEERS REGARDING
THE HOME DAMAGED NORTHEAST OF KOFFMAN SPUR...THE PEAK WIND AND
RATING OF THIS TORNADO HAVE BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A 120 MPH EF-2.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS SURVEYED DAMAGE JUST EAST
OF AL HWY 171 IN THE KOFFMAN AREA AND DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE
RESULT OF AN EF-2 TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF AL HWY 171 AND KOFFMAN RANCH RD WHERE
APPROXIMATELY TWO DOZEN PINE TREES WERE UPROOTED AND ORIENTED IN
MULTIPLE DIRECTIONS. THE TORNADO THEN TRAVELED NORTHEAST
DESTROYING ONE OUTBUILDING ALONG KOFFMAN SPUR. JUST TO THE
NORTHEAST OF KOFFMAN SPUR...A BARN WAS DESTROYED AND THE ENTIRE
ROOF WAS TORN OFF OF A WELL-CONSTRUCTED SINGLE FAMILY RESIDENCE.
THE TORNADO LIFTED BEFORE REACHING CARROLL CREEK. THE TORNADO DAMAGE
PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 0.46 MILES LONG AND WAS 400 YARDS WIDE AT
ITS WIDEST POINT.

TORNADO #2...PANOLA TORNADO (SUMTER)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 85
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.9287/-88.2364 AT 236 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.9316/-88.2312 AT 237 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 0.36
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 100

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 223 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
JUST SOUTHEAST OF PANOLA IN EXTREME NORTHERN SUMTER COUNTY AND
DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-0 TORNADO. THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ALONG S H AND G DRIVE CAUSING SIGNIFICANT ROOF DAMAGE
TO ONE SINGLE FAMILY RESIDENCE. AS THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST
TOWARDS MARBY HEIGHTS ANOTHER HOME SUSTAINED SOME MINOR SIDING
DAMAGE. THE TORNADO LIFTED SHORTLY AFTER. THE TORNADO DAMAGE
PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 0.36 MILES LONG AND WAS 100 YARDS WIDE AT
ITS WIDEST POINT. SPECIAL THANKS TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
IN MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI FOR THEIR HELP WITH THE DAMAGE SURVEY.

TORNADO #3...WATERMELON ROAD TORNADO (TUSCALOOSA)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 115
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3961/-87.4440 AT 300 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.4038/-87.4395 AT 301 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 0.56
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 300

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
JUST WEST OF THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER ALONG WATERMELON RD AND
DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-2 TORNADO. THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ABOUT A QUARTER MILE WEST OF WATERMELON RD SNAPPING
AND UPROOTING A FEW SMALL PINE TREES. FROM THERE...THE TORNADO
TRAVELED NORTHEAST AND HIT A HUNTING CAMP WHERE APPROXIMATELY
TWENTY SMALL PINE TREES WERE SNAPPED AND EIGHT CAMPERS WERE
ROLLED. THREE OF THE CAMPERS WERE DESTROYED AND THE OTHER FIVE
RECEIVED DIFFERING DEGREES OF DAMAGE. THE TORNADO CONTINUED
NORTHEAST CROSSING WATERMELON RD WHERE IT SNAPPED 3 WOODEN
H-FRAME TRANSMISSION LINES BEFORE LIFTING JUST TO THE EAST OF
WATERMELON RD. THE TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 0.56
MILES LONG AND WAS 300 YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT.

TORNADO #4...OAK GROVE TORNADO (TUSCALOOSA AND JEFFERSON)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 130
INJURIES/FATALITIES: NA/1
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.4316/-87.3071 AT 309 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.5290/-87.1405 AT 327 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 13.00
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 880

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 302 AM UNTIL 345 AM.

WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
JUST EAST OF THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER NEAR THE TUSCALOOSA AND
JEFFERSON COUNTY LINE. THE DAMAGE WAS WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-2
TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 1 MILE WEST OF GROUNDHOG ROAD. THE
TORNADO THEN MOVED NORTHEAST ACROSS LOCK 17 ROAD...CAMP OLIVER
ROAD...AND TOADVINE ROAD. THE TORNADO LIFTED ALONG TOADVINE ROAD
JUST SOUTHWEST OF SHORT CREEK. NUMEROUS TREES WERE SNAPPED AND
UPROOTED ALONG THE DAMAGE PATH. ONE FATALITY OCCURRED ALONG TOADVINE
ROAD WHERE A MOBILE HOME WAS TOTALLY DESTROYED. SEVERAL OTHER
STRUCTURES RECEIVED VARYING DEGREES OF DAMAGE ALONG THE PATH.

TORNADO #5...PARKER TORNADO (SUMTER)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 75
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.6567/-88.1705 AT 321 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.6718/-88.1639 AT 324 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 1.1
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 50

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 304 AM UNTIL 345 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND FIRE OFFICIALS HAVE SURVEYED THE
DAMAGE JUST WEST OF STATE HIGHWAY 11 AND COUNTY ROAD 39 AND
DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-0 TORNADO. THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 11 ABOUT 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF LIVINGSTON
DAMAGING AND UPROOTING A FEW SMALL SOFT AND HARDWOOD TREES. THE
TORNADO THEN TRAVELED NORTHEAST TOWARDS COUNTY ROAD 39 AND
MCCAINVILLE ROAD WHERE ADDITIONAL TREES WERE DAMAGED ALONG WITH
MINOR DAMAGE TO AN OUTDOOR SHED AS THE TORNADO WAS LIFTING. THE
TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 1.1 MILES LONG AND WAS 50
YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT. SPECIAL THANKS TO SUMTER COUNTY
OFFICIALS FOR THEIR HELP WITH THE DAMAGE SURVEY.

TORNADO #6...CENTER POINT TORNADO (JEFFERSON AND ST CLAIR)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-3
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 150
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 100/1
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.6228/-86.7411 AT 358 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.7197/-86.4963 AT 420 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 15.5
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 800

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 332 AM UNTIL 430 AM.
A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 415 AM UNTIL 515 AM.

WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.
TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
BETWEEN TARRANT...CENTER POINT...CLAY...AND ARGO. THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ALONG PAWNEE VILLAGE ROAD ABOUT 3.25 MILES NORTHEAST OF
TARRANT WHERE SEVERAL BUSINESSES SUSTAINED ROOF AND WALL DAMAGE. THE
TORNADO THEN TRACKED FURTHER NORTHEAST ACROSS PINSON VALLEY PARKWAY
WHERE SEVERAL ADDITIONAL BUSINESSES WERE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR
DESTROYED.

IN THE CITY OF CENTER POINT, THE TORNADO EXHIBITED WIND SPEEDS OF
120 MPH. THE MOST EXTREME DAMAGE WAS SUSTAINED BY THE CENTER POINT
ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. AS THE TORNADO MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OF THE
SCHOOL, THE SOUTHWESTERN-MOST EXPOSED EXTERIOR WINDOWS OF THE SCHOOL
WERE BLOWN IN AND AS A RESULT, THE WIND FROM THE TORNADO WAS GIVEN
THE OPPORTUNITY TO GET THROUGH THE DROP-DOWN TILE CEILINGS TO AN
EXTREMELY EXPOSED ALUMINUM FRAMED ROOF. THE ROOF ACTED AS A CANOPY
AND AS A RESULT...A LARGE PORTION OF THE ROOF ON THE WESTERN END OF
THE SCHOOL WAS REMOVED. THERE WAS ALSO MAJOR EXTRANEOUS DAMAGE
SUSTAINED TO THE SAME END OF THE SCHOOL AS THE WIND WHIPPED THROUGH
THE HALLWAYS AND CLASSROOMS. IN THIS AREA, THE WIDTH OF THE TORNADO
PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 880 YARDS WIDE.

TWO BLOCKS TO THE NORTHEAST, THE TORNADO CROSSED CENTER POINT
PARKWAY CAUSING DAMAGE TO NUMEROUS BUSINESSES AT AND AROUND 24TH
STREET. TWO GAS STATIONS SUSTAINED PEELED BACK CANOPIES, MULTIPLE
SMALL BUSINESSES, SUCH AS A BRANCH BANK AND FAST FOOD RESTAURANT
SUSTAINED MINOR AMOUNTS OF ROOF LOSS AND A METAL BUILDING STRUCTURE
SUSTAINED SOME WIND DAMAGE, THOUGH MOST OF IT WAS ANTECEDENT TO A
TREE FALLING ON THE WESTERN-MOST WALL. ADDITIONALLY, A STRIP MALL
SUSTAINED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE. ALL DAMAGE IN THIS AREA WAS CONSISTENT
WITH WINDS OF 100 MPH.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TRAVELING TO THE NORTHEAST, CROSSING OVER
SWEENEY VALLEY ROAD, CAUSING MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO NUMEROUS HOMES
ALONG THE WAY. WHEN THE TORNADO CROSSED OLD SPRINGVILLE ROAD, THE
INTENSITY INCREASED TO APPROXIMATELY 150 MPH. THESE WINDS SPEEDS
CAUSED DAMAGE TO DOZENS OF HOMES IN THE GEORGE BROOK NEIGHBORHOOD.
THE COMMON DENOMINATOR FOR THE HOMES THAT SUSTAINED COMPLETE DAMAGE
COMPARED TO THOSE WHO ONLY SUSTAINED MAJOR DAMAGE IS THOSE WITH THE
MAJOR DAMAGE HAD PARTIAL BRICK VENEER EXTERIOR WALLS. THOUGH THERE
WERE NO BRICK STRAPPINGS VISIBLE...THE BRICK WALLS SEEMED TO HELP
HOLD WALLS TOGETHER SLIGHTLY BETTER. THE HOMES WITHOUT THE BRICK
VENEER HAD ALL EXTERIOR WALLS COLLAPSE. NONE OF THE HOMES HAD
J-BOLTS IN THE SILLS...RATHER ALL WALLS WERE SINGLE-TOE NAILED TO
THE EXTERIOR SILLS. THIS GREATLY DIMINISHED THE INTEGRITY OF ALL
EXTERIOR WALLS. FORTUNATELY, ALL HOMES ENDED UP WITH AT LEAST A
SINGLE INTERIOR ROOM STANDING, GIVING CREDENCE TO TAKING COVER IN
THE INTERIOR-MOST ROOM OF THE HOUSE.

AS THE TORNADO MOVED FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST, IT CLIPPED HARNESS
CIRCLE IN THE NORTHWOODS NEIGHBORHOOD. TWO HOMES SUSTAINED COMPLETE
DAMAGE AS WINDS ENTERED EACH HOME THROUGH SPLIT-LEVEL ENTRANCES. IT
WAS IN ONE OF THESE TWO HOMES WHERE A 16-YEAR-OLD GIRL LOST HER LIFE
IN THE PROCESS OF TRYING TO TAKE COVER. WINDS WERE ABLE TO OVERCOME
THE EXTERIOR WALLS IN EACH HOME, CAUSING THE WALLS TO SIMPLY
COLLAPSE OUTWARD AND THE SECOND FLOORS TO BE PUSHED UPSTREAM FROM
WHERE THEY ORIGINALLY STOOD. ALL HOMES EXHIBITED SINGLE-TOED
NAILING ON EXTERIOR MAIN FLOOR WALLS AND THOUGH STRAPPING WAS
VISIBLE, IT DIDN`T SEEM TO BE INSTALLED FOR ANYTHING OTHER THAN TO
HOLD THE EXTERIOR BRICK WALLS IN PLACE. UNFORTUNATELY...THE BRICK
WALLS WERE COMPROMISED, AS WELL. NUMEROUS OTHER HOMES SUSTAINED
MINOR TO MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE. WINDS IN THIS AREA WERE CONSISTENT
WITH AN EF-3 TORNADO OF 150 MPH, WITH A WIDTH OF APPROXIMATELY 600
YARDS.

FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST, THE TORNADO CROSSED ANOTHER RIDGE AND
ENTERED THE LEGACY NEIGHBORHOOD IN CLAY. NUMEROUS HOMES THROUGHOUT
THE NEIGHBORHOOD SUSTAINED MINOR TO MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE, BUT HOMES
ON PLYMOUTH ROCK DRIVE SUSTAINED THE HEAVIEST DAMAGE. MOST HOMES ON
PLYMOUTH ROCK DRIVE WERE OF THE SPLIT-LEVEL VARIETY, WHICH ALLOWED
FOR THESE STRONG WINDS TO HAVE AN ENTRANCE POINT OF GREATEST
DESTRUCTION. ON ABOUT 8 HOMES, EXTERIOR WALLS COLLAPSED, CAUSING
THE SECOND FLOORS OF EACH OF THE HOMES TO EITHER COLLAPSE INWARD OR
TOPPLE OVER INTO THE YARD, DIRECTLY ADJACENT TO THE HOME.
CONSTRUCTION OF THE WALLS WAS OF THE SINGLE-TOE NAILED VARIETY,
CAUSING DIMINISHED STRUCTURAL INTEGRITY. NO J-BOLTS WERE VISIBLE.
WINDS IN THIS NEIGHBORHOOD WERE ALSO CONSISTENT WITH AN EF-3 TORNADO
OF 150 MPH, WITH A WIDTH OF APPROXIMATELY 600 YARDS.

THE TORNADO BEGAN TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHED INTERSTATE 59 CROSSING
INTO ST CLAIR COUNTY JUST NORTH OF ARGO WHERE SEVERAL ADDITIONAL
HOMES SUSTAINED DAMAGE ALONG WITH NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED AND
SNAPPED. THE TORNADO BEGAN TO LIFT NEAR HIDDEN VALLEY DRIVE AND
COUNTRY LIVING CIRCLE.

AT THE TIME OF THIS REPORT 231 HOMES AND UNSPECIFIED BUSINESSES WERE
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. THE TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 15.5
MILES LONG AND WAS 880 YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT. SPECIAL
THANKS TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN HUNTSVILLE FOR THEIR
HELP WITH THE DAMAGE SURVEY.

TORNADO #7...COUNTY ROAD 7 TORNADO (PERRY)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 110
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.7068/-87.3096 AT 433 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.7216/-87.2786 AT 437 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 2.1
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 300

WARNINGS: TORNADO WARNINGS WERE IN EFFECT BEGINNING AT 333 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE IN
CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY...NORTH OF MARION. AN EF-1 TORNADO WITH
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS OF 110 MPH BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN ALONG COUNTY
ROAD 7 AND MOVED NORTHEAST CROSSING COUNTY ROAD 16 AND ALABAMA
HIGHWAY 5...AND LIFTED JUST AFTER CROSSING ALABAMA ROAD 175. THE
TORNADO WAS STRONGEST AS IT CROSSED COUNTY ROAD 16. ALONG ITS
PATH...SCORES OF HARDWOODS AND SOFTWOODS WERE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.

TORNADO #8...MAPLESVILLE (PERRY AND CHILTON)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 130
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 1 INJ
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.7159/-87.2748 AT 437 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.8764/-86.6322 AT 530 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 39.5
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 880

WARNINGS: TORNADO WARNINGS WERE IN EFFECT BEGINNING AT 427 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE IN
EASTERN PERRY AND CHILTON COUNTIES AND DETERMINED IT WAS THE RESULT
OF AN EF-2 TORNADO. THE SUPERCELL WHICH PRODUCED THE COUNTY ROAD 7
EF-1 TORNADO IN CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY QUICKLY GENERATED A SECOND
TORNADO JUST SOUTH OF THE FIRST TORNADO PATH. THIS TORNADO CONTINUED
INTO CHILTON COUNTY...CAUSING DAMAGE IN MAPLESVILLE AND LIFTING NEAR
LOMAX...NORTH OF CLANTON. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD
16...EAST OF ALABAMA ROAD 175 IN PERRY COUNTY AND MOVED NORTHEAST
INTO THE TALLADEGA NATIONAL FOREST. ALONG COUNTY ROAD 9...THE
SANCTUARY OF HISTORIC EPHESUS CHURCH WAS DESTROYED AS THE ROOF AND
STEEPLE WERE PARTIALLY BLOWN AWAY. HUNDREDS OF TREES WERE SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED IN THIS AREA OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGE. THE TORNADO MOVED ALONG
ALABAMA HIGHWAY 183 FOR APPROXIMATELY 6 MILES CAUSING EXTENSIVE TREE
DAMAGE. THE TORNADO CROSSED MAT MOORE ROAD AND INTO CHILTON COUNTY
SOUTH OF ALABAMA HIGHWAY 183...CAUSING EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IN THE
NATIONAL FOREST. ALONG US HIGHWAY 82 TO THE WEST OF MAPLESVILLE...
16 HOMES RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT ROOF DAMAGE, EITHER PARTIALLY OR
COMPLETELY REMOVED. THE TORNADO TRACKED JUST NORTH OF DOWNTOWN
MAPLESVILLE...DAMAGING HOMES AND BUSINESSES. IN MAPLESVILLE...150
CITIZENS TOOK SHELTER IN A COMMUNITY SHELTER...WHICH HAD TREES
FALL ON IT BUT CAUSED NO SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE OR INJURIES. AS THE
TORNADO TRACKED ALONG ALABAMA HIGHWAY 22...NUMEROUS TREES WERE
KNOCKED DOWN AND A RADIO TOWER COLLAPSED. THE TORNADO TOOK A
NOTICEABLE TURN TO THE LEFT AND MOVED JUST SOUTH OF LOMAX.
WIDESPREAD AND INTENSE TREE DAMAGE RESULTED IN DAMAGE TO SEVERAL
HOMES. HOWEVER...ONE WELL DESIGNED AND BUILT HOME LESS THAN 50
YARDS FROM THE TRACK ESCAPED WITH ONLY SUPERFICIAL DAMAGE. THE
TORNADO WEAKENED RAPIDLY AS IT CROSSED US HIGHWAY 31 AND
DISSIPATED BEFORE CROSSING ALABAMA HIGHWAY 145 AND INTERSTATE 65.

TORNADO #9...DE SOTO CAVERNS TORNADO (TALLADEGA)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 70-80
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.2957/-86.2951 AT 535 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3219/-86.2091 AT 541 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 5.4
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 50

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 524 AM UNTIL 615 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS SURVEYED DAMAGE ALONG
AL-76...ALSO KNOWN AS DE SOTO CAVERNS PARKWAY...EAST-NORTHEAST OF
THE CITY OF CHILDERSBURG...AND DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE RESULT OF
AN EF-0 TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN JUST WEST OF THE
INTERSECTION OF AL-76 AND CR-175 (OAKDALE ROAD)...AND MOVED
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FROM THERE...REMAINING VERY CLOSE TO AL-76. A
HOUSE AND STORAGE BUILDING NEAR THE TOUCHDOWN POINT SUFFERED LIGHT
ROOF DAMAGE. THE MOST CONCENTRATED DAMAGE...WITH WINDS ESTIMATED
BETWEEN 70 AND 80 MPH... WAS AT THE INTERSECTION OF AL-76 AND BOOKER
ROAD...WHERE ABOUT A DOZEN LARGE PINE TREES WERE UPROOTED. FROM
THAT LOCATION UNTIL THE END OF THE PATH...DAMAGE WAS SPORADIC AND
CONSISTED OF ISOLATED TREES THAT WERE EITHER SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.
THE POINT OF DAMAGE WAS AN UPROOTED TREE NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
AL-76 AND RISERS MILL ROAD.

TORNADO #10...ENTERPRISE TORNADO (CHILTON)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 105-110
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES:32.7288/-86.6329 AT 636 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.7657/-86.5886 AT 640 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 3.67
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 500

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 636 AM UNTIL 715 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR A MOBILE HOME PARK NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD 99 AND HIGHWAY 24 AT 636 AM. SEVERAL
MOBILE HOMES HAD MINOR ROOF AND UNDERPINNING DAMAGE AND ONE MOBILE
HOME WAS DESTROYED.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST CROSSING HIGHWAY 49 AND
SEVERELY DAMAGING 3 HOMES. ONE HOME WAS COMPLETELY SHIFTED OFF ITS
FOUNDATION WHILE ANOTHER WAS PARTIALLY MOVED. ANOTHER HOME HAD 90
PERCENT OF ITS ROOF REMOVED BUT ALL WALLS REMAINED STANDING. THE
STORM WAS AT ITS WIDEST AT THIS POINT AT 500 YARDS. THIS WAS ALSO
THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST WIND VELOCITY WITH ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS
OF 105 TO 110 MPH.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO THE NORTHEAST FROM HIGHWAY 49 WITH SEVERAL
OTHER HOMES RECEIVING MAINLY ROOF AND PORCH DAMAGE. THERE WERE A FEW
OUTBUILDINGS DESTROYED WITH MANY TREES SNAPPED AND UPROOTED. THE
TORNADO THEN LIFTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROADS 7 AND 434.

TORNADO #11...NORTH MILLBROOK TORNADO (ELMORE)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 100
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.5209/-86.4119 AT 748 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.5309/-86.3437 AT 755 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 4.02
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 200

WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
BETWEEN MILLBROOK...DEATSVILLE...AND ELMORE. THE DAMAGE WAS THE
RESULT OF AN EF-1 TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ALONG COUNTY
ROAD 39 NEAR THE AUTAUGA COUNTY LINE. THE TORNADO MOVED EASTWARD AND
CROSSED HIGHWAY 7 NEAR THE PINES GOLF CLUB. THE TORNADO THEN MOVED
ALONG HIGHWAY 14 AND LIFTED JUST BEFORE THE WETUMPKA MUNICIPAL
AIRPORT. TEN TO FIFTEEN HOMES SUFFERED SHINGLE AND SIDING DAMAGE.
DOZENS OF TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN. ONE APARTMENT HAD ITS METAL ROOF
BLOWN OFF. ONE AUTO CENTER HAD ITS DOORS BLOWN IN.

STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE (TALLAPOOSA)...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS SURVEYED DAMAGE IN WIND
CREEK STATE PARK...AND DETERMINED IT WAS A RESULT OF STRAIGHT-LINE
WINDS. WIND DAMAGE BEGAN ONE MILE SOUTHWEST OF HIGHWAY 63 ON WALKER
FERRY ROAD WHERE A FEW TREES WERE UPROOTED. THE MOST HEAVILY DAMAGED
AREA WAS ALONG A SMALL STRIP OF LAND ON THE WEST SIDE OF LAKE MARTIN
AT WIND CREEK STATE PARK. NUMEROUS PINE TREES WERE SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED CAUSING DAMAGE TO SEVERAL CABINS. MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 90 MPH AT WIND CREEK STATE PARK. THE SWATH OF WIND
DAMAGE ENDED 1.6 MILES NORTH OF JACKSONS GAP ON ROCK SPRINGS ROAD.

OTHER INFORMATION...

A MAJOR CONTRIBUTION TO THE SUCCESS OF OUR SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
PROGRAM IS THE RECEIPT OF STORM REPORTS FROM ALL OUR CUSTOMERS AND
PARTNERS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. IF YOU WITNESSED OR ARE AWARE OF
ANY STORM DAMAGE DUE TO HIGH WINDS OR TORNADOES...PLEASE CONTACT
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...OR CALL OUR STORM REPORTING
HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758.

Flood Warning for Locust Fork at Sayre...affects Jefferson, Tuscaloosa and Walker counties

2012-01-27T05:01:00.001-06:00

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
813 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM AL HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...

LOCUST FORK AT SAYRE AFFECTING JEFFERSON... TUSCALOOSA AND WALKER
COUNTIES.

.HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES HAS OCCURRED SINCE THURSDAY
MORNING OVER THE LOCUST FORK DRAINAGE BASIN... AND A FLOOD WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE LOCUST FORK AT SAYRE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND... DON`T DROWN.

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY FRIDAY MORNING... OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ALC073-125-127-271413-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0004.120127T2054Z-120128T1828Z/
/SAYA1.1.ER.120127T2054Z.120128T0000Z.120128T0628Z.NO/
813 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM AL HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE LOCUST FORK AT SAYRE.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON... OR UNTIL THE WARNING
IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST... THE LOCUST FORK AT SAYRE WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.6 FEET BY FRIDAY
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND
AGRICULTURAL LANDS ALONG THE LOCUST FORK OCCURS.

Slight Risk for severe weather today; main risks are damaging winds and heavy rainfall

2012-01-26T04:54:00.003-06:00

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1151 PM CST WED JAN 25 2012

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF
STATES...

...GULF STATES/SERN U.S...

WELL DEFINED UPPER LOW WILL EJECT ACROSS NERN TX TO A POSITION OVER
NWRN MS BY 27/00Z BEFORE ABSORPTION/PHASING OCCURS WITH LONGER WAVE
TROUGH. THIS EWD PROGRESSION WILL RESULT IN SUBSTANTIAL 12HR HEIGHT
FALLS ON THE ORDER OF 90-120M ACROSS THE INTERIOR GULF STATES
ENSURING A BROAD SWATH OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL OVERSPREAD THE
REGION. BY 12Z IT APPEARS SFC COLD FRONT WILL HAVE ADVANCED TO NEAR
THE MS RIVER WHILE GRADUAL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENING/WARMING WILL
HAVE RETURNED TO NEAR THE TN BORDER WHERE SFC DEW POINTS SHOULD
RECOVER TO NEAR 60F.

EARLY THIS MORNING...ONGOING FRONTAL SQUALL LINE HAS GRADUALLY WANED
OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS LA/MS. THIS
ACTIVITY MAY STRUGGLE INTO THE PRE-DAWN HOURS BEFORE AFOREMENTIONED
ASCENT ENHANCES CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SFC WIND SHIFT AND
THUNDERSTORMS REINTENSIFY. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS MID
LEVEL CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE WITHIN POST-FRONTAL
AIRMASS OVER SERN TX/WRN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS IS LIKELY REFLECTIVE
OF INCREASING ASCENT THAT WILL OVERSPREAD SERN LA/MS BY 18Z...WHICH
COMBINED WITH BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING SHOULD AID SQUALL LINE
INTENSIFICATION. ADDITIONALLY...A FEW DISCRETE SUPERCELLS COULD
EVOLVE AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY FRONTAL CONVECTION. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
ACROSS SRN MS INTO THE FL PANHANDLE SUGGEST AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND SHEAR FOR POSSIBLE TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST WHERE
SFC DEW POINTS WILL RISE THROUGH THE UPPER 60S TO PERHAPS NEAR 70F.

ANOTHER CORRIDOR WHERE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WILL BE
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF SFC LOW BENEATH THE UPPER LOW. LATEST DATA
SUGGESTS SFC-3KM LAPSE RATES WILL BE MAXIMIZED ACROSS THE NRN HALF
OF MS INTO WCNTRL AL. UPDRAFTS COULD BE ENHANCED OVER THIS REGION
WHERE LAPSE RATES COULD EXCEED 7 C/KM...THOUGH MUCAPE VALUES MAY
STRUGGLE TO EXCEED 700-800 J/KG.

LATEST THINKING IS RENEWED FRONTAL CONVECTION IN THE FORM OF A
SQUALL LINE WILL EVOLVE OVER MS/SERN LA BEFORE PROPAGATING
DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF STATES AHEAD OF
PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT. STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR CERTAINLY SUPPORTS
DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS EVEN TORNADOES WITH DISCRETE SUPERCELLS.
OTHERWISE...AIRMASS IS NOT EXPECTED TO DESTABILIZE APPRECIABLY
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS SHOULD LIMIT
THE SEVERE THREAT TO PERHAPS PORTIONS OF ERN GA/SC DUE TO A DECAYING
SQUALL LINE.

..DARROW/HURLBUT.. 01/26/2012

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z

Ten Tornado Tracks Found Through Central Alabama From Monday Morning's Storms

2012-01-25T19:30:00.001-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
453 PM CST WED JAN 25 2012

...LONG TRACK SUPERCELLS PRODUCE MULTIPLE TORNADOES...

...UPDATED FOR DAMAGE INFORMATION IN JEFFERSON COUNTY...

A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHED THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTERACTED WITH A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ALREADY IN
PLACE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ALONG AND OUT
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS ARKANSAS AND MISSISSIPPI AND PUSHED
EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY
MORNING. THERE WERE SEVERAL SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCED
TORNADOES AS THEY TRACKED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. NUMEROUS
REPORTS OF STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE AND SEVERAL REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL AND FLASH FLOODING WERE ALSO RECEIVED DURING THE EVENT.

TORNADO NUMBERS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO KEEP THE TRACKS IN ORDER
OF OCCURRENCE. SO A NUMBER MAY BE DIFFERENT THAN THE PREVIOUS
STATEMENT. ADDITIONAL PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS WILL BE
ISSUED PERIODICALLY...AS SURVEY TEAMS REPORT BACK THEIR FINDINGS.

TORNADO #1...KOFFMAN TORNADO (TUSCALOOSA)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-3
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 140
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3257/-87.6579 AT 242 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3305/-87.6526 AT 243 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 0.45
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 400

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS SURVEYED DAMAGE JUST EAST
OF AL HWY 171 IN THE KOFFMAN AREA AND DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE
RESULT OF AN EF-3 TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF AL HWY 171 AND KOFFMAN RANCH RD WHERE
APPROXIMATELY TWO DOZEN PINE TREES WERE UPROOTED AND ORIENTED IN
MULTIPLE DIRECTIONS. THE TORNADO THEN TRAVELED NORTHEAST
DESTROYING ONE OUTBUILDING ALONG KOFFMAN SPUR. JUST TO THE
NORTHEAST OF KOFFMAN SPUR...A BARN WAS DESTROYED AND THE ENTIRE
ROOF WAS TORN OFF OF A WELL-CONSTRUCTED SINGLE FAMILY RESIDENCE.
THE TORNADO LIFTED BEFORE REACHING CARROLL CREEK. THE TORNADO DAMAGE
PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 0.46 MILES LONG AND WAS 400 YARDS WIDE AT
ITS WIDEST POINT.

TORNADO #2...WATERMELON ROAD TORNADO (TUSCALOOSA)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 115
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3961/-87.4440 AT 300 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.4038/-87.4395 AT 301 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 0.56
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 300

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
JUST WEST OF THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER ALONG WATERMELON RD AND
DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-2 TORNADO. THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ABOUT A QUARTER MILE WEST OF WATERMELON RD SNAPPING
AND UPROOTING A FEW SMALL PINE TREES. FROM THERE...THE TORNADO
TRAVELED NORTHEAST AND HIT A HUNTING CAMP WHERE APPROXIMATELY
TWENTY SMALL PINE TREES WERE SNAPPED AND EIGHT CAMPERS WERE
ROLLED. THREE OF THE CAMPERS WERE DESTROYED AND THE OTHER FIVE
RECEIVED DIFFERING DEGREES OF DAMAGE. THE TORNADO CONTINUED
NORTHEAST CROSSING WATERMELON RD WHERE IT SNAPPED 3 WOODEN
H-FRAME TRANSMISSION LINES BEFORE LIFTING JUST TO THE EAST OF
WATERMELON RD. THE TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 0.56
MILES LONG AND WAS 300 YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT.

TORNADO #3...OAK GROVE TORNADO (TUSCALOOSA AND JEFFERSON)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 130
INJURIES/FATALITIES: NA/1
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.4316/-87.3071 AT 309 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.5290/-87.1405 AT 327 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 13.00
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 880

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 302 AM UNTIL 345 AM.

WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
JUST EAST OF THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER NEAR THE TUSCALOOSA AND
JEFFERSON COUNTY LINE. THE DAMAGE WAS WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-2
TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 1 MILE WEST OF GROUNDHOG ROAD. THE
TORNADO THEN MOVED NORTHEAST ACROSS LOCK 17 ROAD...CAMP OLIVER
ROAD...AND TOADVINE ROAD. THE TORNADO LIFTED ALONG TOADVINE ROAD
JUST SOUTHWEST OF SHORT CREEK. NUMEROUS TREES WERE SNAPPED AND
UPROOTED ALONG THE DAMAGE PATH. ONE FATALITY OCCURRED ALONG TOADVINE
ROAD WHERE A MOBILE HOME WAS TOTALLY DESTROYED. SEVERAL OTHER
STRUCTURES RECEIVED VARYING DEGREES OF DAMAGE ALONG THE PATH.

TORNADO #4...PARKER TORNADO (SUMTER)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 75
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.6567/-88.1705 AT 321 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.6718/-88.1639 AT 324 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 1.1
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 50

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 304 AM UNTIL 345 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND FIRE OFFICIALS HAVE SURVEYED THE
DAMAGE JUST WEST OF STATE HIGHWAY 11 AND COUNTY ROAD 39 AND
DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-0 TORNADO. THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 11 ABOUT 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF LIVINGSTON
DAMAGING AND UPROOTING A FEW SMALL SOFT AND HARDWOOD TREES. THE
TORNADO THEN TRAVELED NORTHEAST TOWARDS COUNTY ROAD 39 AND
MCCAINVILLE ROAD WHERE ADDITIONAL TREES WERE DAMAGED ALONG WITH
MINOR DAMAGE TO AN OUTDOOR SHED AS THE TORNADO WAS LIFTING. THE
TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 1.1 MILES LONG AND WAS 50
YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT. SPECIAL THANKS TO SUMTER COUNTY
OFFICIALS FOR THEIR HELP WITH THE DAMAGE SURVEY.

TORNADO #5...CENTER POINT TORNADO (JEFFERSON AND ST CLAIR)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-3
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 150
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 100/1
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.6228/-86.7411 AT 358 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.7197/-86.4963 AT 420 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 15.5
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 800

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 332 AM UNTIL 430 AM.
A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 415 AM UNTIL 515 AM.

WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.
TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
BETWEEN TARRANT...CENTER POINT...CLAY...AND ARGO. THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ALONG PAWNEE VILLAGE ROAD ABOUT 3.25 MILES NORTHEAST OF
TARRANT WHERE SEVERAL BUSINESSES SUSTAINED ROOF AND WALL DAMAGE. THE
TORNADO THEN TRACKED FURTHER NORTHEAST ACROSS PINSON VALLEY PARKWAY
WHERE SEVERAL ADDITIONAL BUSINESSES WERE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR
DESTROYED.

IN THE CITY OF CENTER POINT, THE TORNADO EXHIBITED WIND SPEEDS OF
120 MPH. THE MOST EXTREME DAMAGE WAS SUSTAINED BY THE CENTER POINT
ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. AS THE TORNADO MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OF THE
SCHOOL, THE SOUTHWESTERN-MOST EXPOSED EXTERIOR WINDOWS OF THE SCHOOL
WERE BLOWN IN AND AS A RESULT, THE WIND FROM THE TORNADO WAS GIVEN
THE OPPORTUNITY TO GET THROUGH THE DROP-DOWN TILE CEILINGS TO AN
EXTREMELY EXPOSED ALUMINUM FRAMED ROOF. THE ROOF ACTED AS A CANOPY
AND AS A RESULT...A LARGE PORTION OF THE ROOF ON THE WESTERN END OF
THE SCHOOL WAS REMOVED. THERE WAS ALSO MAJOR EXTRANEOUS DAMAGE
SUSTAINED TO THE SAME END OF THE SCHOOL AS THE WIND WHIPPED THROUGH
THE HALLWAYS AND CLASSROOMS. IN THIS AREA, THE WIDTH OF THE TORNADO
PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 880 YARDS WIDE.

TWO BLOCKS TO THE NORTHEAST, THE TORNADO CROSSED CENTER POINT
PARKWAY CAUSING DAMAGE TO NUMEROUS BUSINESSES AT AND AROUND 24TH
STREET. TWO GAS STATIONS SUSTAINED PEELED BACK CANOPIES, MULTIPLE
SMALL BUSINESSES, SUCH AS A BRANCH BANK AND FAST FOOD RESTAURANT
SUSTAINED MINOR AMOUNTS OF ROOF LOSS AND A METAL BUILDING STRUCTURE
SUSTAINED SOME WIND DAMAGE, THOUGH MOST OF IT WAS ANTECEDENT TO A
TREE FALLING ON THE WESTERN-MOST WALL. ADDITIONALLY, A STRIP MALL
SUSTAINED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE. ALL DAMAGE IN THIS AREA WAS CONSISTENT
WITH WINDS OF 100 MPH.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TRAVELING TO THE NORTHEAST, CROSSING OVER
SWEENEY VALLEY ROAD, CAUSING MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO NUMEROUS HOMES
ALONG THE WAY. WHEN THE TORNADO CROSSED OLD SPRINGVILLE ROAD, THE
INTENSITY INCREASED TO APPROXIMATELY 150 MPH. THESE WINDS SPEEDS
CAUSED DAMAGE TO DOZENS OF HOMES IN THE GEORGE BROOK NEIGHBORHOOD.
THE COMMON DENOMINATOR FOR THE HOMES THAT SUSTAINED COMPLETE DAMAGE
COMPARED TO THOSE WHO ONLY SUSTAINED MAJOR DAMAGE IS THOSE WITH THE
MAJOR DAMAGE HAD PARTIAL BRICK VENEER EXTERIOR WALLS. THOUGH THERE
WERE NO BRICK STRAPPINGS VISIBLE...THE BRICK WALLS SEEMED TO HELP
HOLD WALLS TOGETHER SLIGHTLY BETTER. THE HOMES WITHOUT THE BRICK
VENEER HAD ALL EXTERIOR WALLS COLLAPSE. NONE OF THE HOMES HAD
J-BOLTS IN THE SILLS...RATHER ALL WALLS WERE SINGLE-TOE NAILED TO
THE EXTERIOR SILLS. THIS GREATLY DIMINISHED THE INTEGRITY OF ALL
EXTERIOR WALLS. FORTUNATELY, ALL HOMES ENDED UP WITH AT LEAST A
SINGLE INTERIOR ROOM STANDING, GIVING CREDENCE TO TAKING COVER IN
THE INTERIOR-MOST ROOM OF THE HOUSE.

AS THE TORNADO MOVED FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST, IT CLIPPED HARNESS
CIRCLE IN THE NORTHWOODS NEIGHBORHOOD. TWO HOMES SUSTAINED COMPLETE
DAMAGE AS WINDS ENTERED EACH HOME THROUGH SPLIT-LEVEL ENTRANCES. IT
WAS IN ONE OF THESE TWO HOMES WHERE A 16-YEAR-OLD GIRL LOST HER LIFE
IN THE PROCESS OF TRYING TO TAKE COVER. WINDS WERE ABLE TO OVERCOME
THE EXTERIOR WALLS IN EACH HOME, CAUSING THE WALLS TO SIMPLY
COLLAPSE OUTWARD AND THE SECOND FLOORS TO BE PUSHED UPSTREAM FROM
WHERE THEY ORIGINALLY STOOD. ALL HOMES EXHIBITED SINGLE-TOED
NAILING ON EXTERIOR MAIN FLOOR WALLS AND THOUGH STRAPPING WAS
VISIBLE, IT DIDN`T SEEM TO BE INSTALLED FOR ANYTHING OTHER THAN TO
HOLD THE EXTERIOR BRICK WALLS IN PLACE. UNFORTUNATELY...THE BRICK
WALLS WERE COMPROMISED, AS WELL. NUMEROUS OTHER HOMES SUSTAINED
MINOR TO MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE. WINDS IN THIS AREA WERE CONSISTENT
WITH AN EF-3 TORNADO OF 150 MPH, WITH A WIDTH OF APPROXIMATELY 600
YARDS.

FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST, THE TORNADO CROSSED ANOTHER RIDGE AND
ENTERED THE LEGACY NEIGHBORHOOD IN CLAY. NUMEROUS HOMES THROUGHOUT
THE NEIGHBORHOOD SUSTAINED MINOR TO MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE, BUT HOMES
ON PLYMOUTH ROCK DRIVE SUSTAINED THE HEAVIEST DAMAGE. MOST HOMES ON
PLYMOUTH ROCK DRIVE WERE OF THE SPLIT-LEVEL VARIETY, WHICH ALLOWED
FOR THESE STRONG WINDS TO HAVE AN ENTRANCE POINT OF GREATEST
DESTRUCTION. ON ABOUT 8 HOMES, EXTERIOR WALLS COLLAPSED, CAUSING
THE SECOND FLOORS OF EACH OF THE HOMES TO EITHER COLLAPSE INWARD OR
TOPPLE OVER INTO THE YARD, DIRECTLY ADJACENT TO THE HOME.
CONSTRUCTION OF THE WALLS WAS OF THE SINGLE-TOE NAILED VARIETY,
CAUSING DIMINISHED STRUCTURAL INTEGRITY. NO J-BOLTS WERE VISIBLE.
WINDS IN THIS NEIGHBORHOOD WERE ALSO CONSISTENT WITH AN EF-3 TORNADO
OF 150 MPH, WITH A WIDTH OF APPROXIMATELY 600 YARDS.

THE TORNADO BEGAN TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHED INTERSTATE 59 CROSSING
INTO ST CLAIR COUNTY JUST NORTH OF ARGO WHERE SEVERAL ADDITIONAL
HOMES SUSTAINED DAMAGE ALONG WITH NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED AND
SNAPPED. THE TORNADO BEGAN TO LIFT NEAR HIDDEN VALLEY DRIVE AND
COUNTRY LIVING CIRCLE.

AT THE TIME OF THIS REPORT 231 HOMES AND UNSPECIFIED BUSINESSES WERE
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. THE TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 15.5
MILES LONG AND WAS 880 YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT. SPECIAL
THANKS TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN HUNTSVILLE FOR THEIR
HELP WITH THE DAMAGE SURVEY.

TORNADO #6...COUNTY ROAD 7 TORNADO (PERRY)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 110
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.7068/-87.3096 AT 433 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.7216/-87.2786 AT 437 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 2.1
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 300

WARNINGS: TORNADO WARNINGS WERE IN EFFECT BEGINNING AT 333 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE IN
CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY...NORTH OF MARION. AN EF-1 TORNADO WITH
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS OF 110 MPH BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN ALONG COUNTY
ROAD 7 AND MOVED NORTHEAST CROSSING COUNTY ROAD 16 AND ALABAMA
HIGHWAY 5...AND LIFTED JUST AFTER CROSSING ALABAMA ROAD 175. THE
TORNADO WAS STRONGEST AS IT CROSSED COUNTY ROAD 16. ALONG ITS
PATH...SCORES OF HARDWOODS AND SOFTWOODS WERE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.

TORNADO #7...MAPLESVILLE (PERRY AND CHILTON)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 130
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 1 INJ
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.7159/-87.2748 AT 437 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.8764/-86.6322 AT 530 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 39.5
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 880

WARNINGS: TORNADO WARNINGS WERE IN EFFECT BEGINNING AT 427 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE IN
EASTERN PERRY AND CHILTON COUNTIES AND DETERMINED IT WAS THE RESULT
OF AN EF-2 TORNADO. THE SUPERCELL WHICH PRODUCED THE COUNTY ROAD 7
EF-1 TORNADO IN CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY QUICKLY GENERATED A SECOND
TORNADO JUST SOUTH OF THE FIRST TORNADO PATH. THIS TORNADO CONTINUED
INTO CHILTON COUNTY...CAUSING DAMAGE IN MAPLESVILLE AND LIFTING NEAR
LOMAX...NORTH OF CLANTON. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD
16...EAST OF ALABAMA ROAD 175 IN PERRY COUNTY AND MOVED NORTHEAST
INTO THE TALLADEGA NATIONAL FOREST. ALONG COUNTY ROAD 9...THE
SANCTUARY OF HISTORIC EPHESUS CHURCH WAS DESTROYED AS THE ROOF AND
STEEPLE WERE PARTIALLY BLOWN AWAY. HUNDREDS OF TREES WERE SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED IN THIS AREA OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGE. THE TORNADO MOVED ALONG
ALABAMA HIGHWAY 183 FOR APPROXIMATELY 6 MILES CAUSING EXTENSIVE TREE
DAMAGE. THE TORNADO CROSSED MAT MOORE ROAD AND INTO CHILTON COUNTY
SOUTH OF ALABAMA HIGHWAY 183...CAUSING EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IN THE
NATIONAL FOREST. ALONG US HIGHWAY 82 TO THE WEST OF MAPLESVILLE...
16 HOMES RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT ROOF DAMAGE, EITHER PARTIALLY OR
COMPLETELY REMOVED. THE TORNADO TRACKED JUST NORTH OF DOWNTOWN
MAPLESVILLE...DAMAGING HOMES AND BUSINESSES. IN MAPLESVILLE...150
CITIZENS TOOK SHELTER IN A COMMUNITY SHELTER...WHICH HAD TREES
FALL ON IT BUT CAUSED NO SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE OR INJURIES. AS THE
TORNADO TRACKED ALONG ALABAMA HIGHWAY 22...NUMEROUS TREES WERE
KNOCKED DOWN AND A RADIO TOWER COLLAPSED. THE TORNADO TOOK A
NOTICEABLE TURN TO THE LEFT AND MOVED JUST SOUTH OF LOMAX.
WIDESPREAD AND INTENSE TREE DAMAGE RESULTED IN DAMAGE TO SEVERAL
HOMES. HOWEVER...ONE WELL DESIGNED AND BUILT HOME LESS THAN 50
YARDS FROM THE TRACK ESCAPED WITH ONLY SUPERFICIAL DAMAGE. THE
TORNADO WEAKENED RAPIDLY AS IT CROSSED US HIGHWAY 31 AND
DISSIPATED BEFORE CROSSING ALABAMA HIGHWAY 145 AND INTERSTATE 65.

TORNADO #8...DE SOTO CAVERNS TORNADO (TALLADEGA)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 70-80
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.2957/-86.2951 AT 535 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3219/-86.2091 AT 541 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 5.4
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 50

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 524 AM UNTIL 615 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS SURVEYED DAMAGE ALONG
AL-76...ALSO KNOWN AS DE SOTO CAVERNS PARKWAY...EAST-NORTHEAST OF
THE CITY OF CHILDERSBURG...AND DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE RESULT OF
AN EF-0 TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN JUST WEST OF THE
INTERSECTION OF AL-76 AND CR-175 (OAKDALE ROAD)...AND MOVED
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FROM THERE...REMAINING VERY CLOSE TO AL-76. A
HOUSE AND STORAGE BUILDING NEAR THE TOUCHDOWN POINT SUFFERED LIGHT
ROOF DAMAGE. THE MOST CONCENTRATED DAMAGE...WITH WINDS ESTIMATED
BETWEEN 70 AND 80 MPH... WAS AT THE INTERSECTION OF AL-76 AND BOOKER
ROAD...WHERE ABOUT A DOZEN LARGE PINE TREES WERE UPROOTED. FROM
THAT LOCATION UNTIL THE END OF THE PATH...DAMAGE WAS SPORADIC AND
CONSISTED OF ISOLATED TREES THAT WERE EITHER SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.
THE POINT OF DAMAGE WAS AN UPROOTED TREE NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
AL-76 AND RISERS MILL ROAD.

TORNADO #9...ENTERPRISE TORNADO (CHILTON)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 105-110
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES:32.7288/-86.6329 AT 636 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.7657/-86.5886 AT 640 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 3.67
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 500

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 636 AM UNTIL 715 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR A MOBILE HOME PARK NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD 99 AND HIGHWAY 24 AT 636 AM. SEVERAL
MOBILE HOMES HAD MINOR ROOF AND UNDERPINNING DAMAGE AND ONE MOBILE
HOME WAS DESTROYED.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST CROSSING HIGHWAY 49 AND
SEVERELY DAMAGING 3 HOMES. ONE HOME WAS COMPLETELY SHIFTED OFF ITS
FOUNDATION WHILE ANOTHER WAS PARTIALLY MOVED. ANOTHER HOME HAD 90
PERCENT OF ITS ROOF REMOVED BUT ALL WALLS REMAINED STANDING. THE
STORM WAS AT ITS WIDEST AT THIS POINT AT 500 YARDS. THIS WAS ALSO
THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST WIND VELOCITY WITH ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS
OF 105 TO 110 MPH.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO THE NORTHEAST FROM HIGHWAY 49 WITH SEVERAL
OTHER HOMES RECEIVING MAINLY ROOF AND PORCH DAMAGE. THERE WERE A FEW
OUTBUILDINGS DESTROYED WITH MANY TREES SNAPPED AND UPROOTED. THE
TORNADO THEN LIFTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROADS 7 AND 434.

TORNADO #10...NORTH MILLBROOK TORNADO (ELMORE)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 100
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.5209/-86.4119 AT 748 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.5309/-86.3437 AT 755 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 4.02
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 200

WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
BETWEEN MILLBROOK...DEATSVILLE...AND ELMORE. THE DAMAGE WAS THE
RESULT OF AN EF-1 TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ALONG COUNTY
ROAD 39 NEAR THE AUTAUGA COUNTY LINE. THE TORNADO MOVED EASTWARD AND
CROSSED HIGHWAY 7 NEAR THE PINES GOLF CLUB. THE TORNADO THEN MOVED
ALONG HIGHWAY 14 AND LIFTED JUST BEFORE THE WETUMPKA MUNICIPAL
AIRPORT. TEN TO FIFTEEN HOMES SUFFERED SHINGLE AND SIDING DAMAGE.
DOZENS OF TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN. ONE APARTMENT HAD ITS METAL ROOF
BLOWN OFF. ONE AUTO CENTER HAD ITS DOORS BLOWN IN.

STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE (TALLAPOOSA)...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS SURVEYED DAMAGE IN WIND
CREEK STATE PARK...AND DETERMINED IT WAS A RESULT OF STRAIGHT-LINE
WINDS. WIND DAMAGE BEGAN ONE MILE SOUTHWEST OF HIGHWAY 63 ON WALKER
FERRY ROAD WHERE A FEW TREES WERE UPROOTED. THE MOST HEAVILY DAMAGED
AREA WAS ALONG A SMALL STRIP OF LAND ON THE WEST SIDE OF LAKE MARTIN
AT WIND CREEK STATE PARK. NUMEROUS PINE TREES WERE SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED CAUSING DAMAGE TO SEVERAL CABINS. MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 90 MPH AT WIND CREEK STATE PARK. THE SWATH OF WIND
DAMAGE ENDED 1.6 MILES NORTH OF JACKSONS GAP ON ROCK SPRINGS ROAD.

OTHER INFORMATION...

A MAJOR CONTRIBUTION TO THE SUCCESS OF OUR SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
PROGRAM IS THE RECEIPT OF STORM REPORTS FROM ALL OUR CUSTOMERS AND
PARTNERS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. IF YOU WITNESSED OR ARE AWARE OF
ANY STORM DAMAGE DUE TO HIGH WINDS OR TORNADOES...PLEASE CONTACT
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...OR CALL OUR STORM REPORTING
HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758.

Slight Risk for severe weather Thur/Thur PM for areas south of Birmingham metro

2012-01-25T05:00:00.001-06:00

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW INITIALLY OVER E TX IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS STEADILY
EWD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION THIS PERIOD...AS IT PHASES
WITH A NRN STREAM FEATURE CROSSING THE N CENTRAL CONUS. ASIDE FROM
A WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVING ONSHORE ACROSS CA/OREGON LATE...THIS
PHASING CENTRAL/ERN U.S. TROUGH WILL BE THE PRIMARY UPPER FEATURE
OVER THE CONUS.

AT THE SURFACE...A SOMEWHAT COMPLEX EVOLUTION OF LOW PRESSURE IS
FORECAST -- INITIALLY INVOF THE MS VALLEY AND THEN SHIFTING EWD
ACROSS THE ERN U.S. WITH TIME. WHAT SHOULD INITIALLY BE TWO
DISTINCT SYSTEMS -- A LOW OVER FAR WRN ONTARIO AND A SECOND NEAR THE
SABINE RIVER VALLEY OF E TX/WRN LA...SHOULD EVENTUALLY BECOME ONE
LARGE OCCLUDED SYSTEM. THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST WITH RESPECT TO
THE CONVECTIVE FORECAST HOWEVER WILL BE A SRN LOW CENTER WITHIN THE
BROADER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...PROGGED TO TRAVERSE THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST STATES AND REACH THE SRN APPALACHIANS LATE IN THE PERIOD.

...CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...
MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE UNDERWAY ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION
AHEAD OF A SURFACE LOW INITIALLY CROSSING LA. WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION -- INCLUDING THUNDERSTORMS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED
SEVERE WEATHER -- WILL BE ONGOING IN A ZONE CENTERED OVER THE MID
AND LOWER MS VALLEY...AND WILL SHIFT EWD WITH TIME IN CONJUNCTION
WITH THE ADVANCING STORM SYSTEM. HOWEVER...THE WIDESPREAD
CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK/MOIST-ADIABATIC
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THUS -- LIMITED
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR WHICH WILL TEMPER THE
SEVERE THREAT TO SOME DEGREE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

STILL...WITH A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER SYSTEM ADVANCING EWD AND
ACCOMPANYING SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED/ROTATING
STORMS...THREATS FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE EVIDENT -- LIKELY CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
AS CONVECTION CROSSES ERN AL/GA/THE FL PANHANDLE THROUGH THE LATTER
STAGES OF THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 01/25/2012

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

Updated Storm Surveys from Jan 23 Tornado Outbreak

2012-01-24T19:47:00.001-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
706 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2012

...LONG TRACK SUPERCELLS PRODUCE MULTIPLE TORNADOES...

...CORRECTED INFORMATION FOR JEFFERSON AND ST CLAIR TORNADO...

A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHED THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTERACTED
WITH A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ALREADY IN PLACE.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ALONG AND OUT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT ACROSS ARKANSAS AND MISSISSIPPI AND PUSHED EASTWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING.
THERE WERE SEVERAL SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCED TORNADOES
AS THEY TRACKED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF
STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE AND SEVERAL REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL AND
FLASH FLOODING WERE ALSO RECEIVED DURING THE EVENT.

DAMAGE SURVEYS ARE ONGOING TODAY AND WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED INTO
WEDNESDAY. WE WILL BE SENDING THREE SURVEY TEAMS OUT TO SURVEY
DAMAGE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES AS TIME PERMITS
TODAY...JEFFERSON...PERRY... CHILTON...ELMORE...COOSA AND
TALLAPOOSA.

TORNADO #1...KOFFMAN TORNADO (TUSCALOOSA COUNTY)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-3
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 140
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3257/-87.6579 AT 242 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3305/-87.6526 AT 243 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 0.45
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 400

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS SURVEYED DAMAGE JUST EAST
OF AL HWY 171 IN THE KOFFMAN AREA AND DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE
RESULT OF AN EF-3 TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF AL HWY 171 AND KOFFMAN RANCH RD WHERE
APPROXIMATELY TWO DOZEN PINE TREES WERE UPROOTED AND ORIENTED IN
MULTIPLE DIRECTIONS. THE TORNADO THEN TRAVELED NORTHEAST
DESTROYING ONE OUTBUILDING ALONG KOFFMAN SPUR. JUST TO THE
NORTHEAST OF KOFFMAN SPUR...A BARN WAS DESTROYED AND THE ENTIRE
ROOF WAS TORN OFF OF A WELL-CONSTRUCTED SINGLE FAMILY RESIDENCE.
THE TORNADO LIFTED BEFORE REACHING CARROLL CREEK. THE TORNADO DAMAGE
PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 0.46 MILES LONG AND WAS 400 YARDS WIDE AT
ITS WIDEST POINT.

TORNADO #2...WATERMELON ROAD TORNADO (TUSCALOOSA COUNTY)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 115
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3961/-87.4440 AT 300 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.4038/-87.4395 AT 301 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 0.56
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 300

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
JUST WEST OF THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER ALONG WATERMELON RD AND
DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-2 TORNADO. THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ABOUT A QUARTER MILE WEST OF WATERMELON RD SNAPPING
AND UPROOTING A FEW SMALL PINE TREES. FROM THERE...THE TORNADO
TRAVELED NORTHEAST AND HIT A HUNTING CAMP WHERE APPROXIMATELY
TWENTY SMALL PINE TREES WERE SNAPPED AND EIGHT CAMPERS WERE
ROLLED. THREE OF THE CAMPERS WERE DESTROYED AND THE OTHER FIVE
RECEIVED DIFFERING DEGREES OF DAMAGE. THE TORNADO CONTINUED
NORTHEAST CROSSING WATERMELON RD WHERE IT SNAPPED 3 WOODEN
H-FRAME TRANSMISSION LINES BEFORE LIFTING JUST TO THE EAST OF
WATERMELON RD. THE TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 0.56
MILES LONG AND WAS 300 YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT.

TORNADO #3...OAK GROVE TORNADO (TUSCALOOSA/JEFFERSON COUNTY)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 130
INJURIES/FATALITIES: NA/1
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.4316/-87.3071 AT 309 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.5290/-87.1405 AT 327 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 13.00
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 880

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 302 AM UNTIL 345 AM.

WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
JUST EAST OF THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER NEAR THE TUSCALOOSA AND
JEFFERSON COUNTY LINE. THE DAMAGE WAS WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-2
TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 1 MILE WEST OF GROUNDHOG ROAD. THE
TORNADO THEN MOVED NORTHEAST ACROSS LOCK 17 ROAD...CAMP OLIVER
ROAD...AND TOADVINE ROAD. THE TORNADO LIFTED ALONG TOADVINE ROAD
JUST SOUTHWEST OF SHORT CREEK. NUMEROUS TREES WERE SNAPPED AND
UPROOTED ALONG THE DAMAGE PATH. ONE FATALITY OCCURRED ALONG TOADVINE
ROAD WHERE A MOBILE HOME WAS TOTALLY DESTROYED. SEVERAL OTHER
STRUCTURES RECEIVED VARYING DEGREES OF DAMAGE ALONG THE PATH.

TORNADO #4...PARKER TORNADO (SUMTER COUNTY)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 75
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.6567/-88.1705 AT 321 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.6718/-88.1639 AT 324 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 1.1
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 50

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 304 AM UNTIL 345 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND FIRE OFFICIALS HAVE SURVEYED THE
DAMAGE JUST WEST OF STATE HIGHWAY 11 AND COUNTY ROAD 39 AND
DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-0 TORNADO. THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 11 ABOUT 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF LIVINGSTON
DAMAGING AND UPROOTING A FEW SMALL SOFT AND HARDWOOD TREES. THE
TORNADO THEN TRAVELED NORTHEAST TOWARDS COUNTY ROAD 39 AND
MCCAINVILLE ROAD WHERE ADDITIONAL TREES WERE DAMAGED ALONG WITH
MINOR DAMAGE TO AN OUTDOOR SHED AS THE TORNADO WAS LIFTING. THE
TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 1.1 MILES LONG AND WAS 50
YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT. SPECIAL THANKS TO SUMTER COUNTY
OFFICIALS FOR THEIR HELP WITH THE DAMAGE SURVEY.

TORNADO #5...CENTER POINT TORNADO (JEFFERSON AND ST CLAIR)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-3
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 150
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 100/1
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.6228/-86.7411 AT 358 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.7197/-86.4963 AT 420 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 15.5
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 800

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 332 AM UNTIL 430 AM.
A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 415 AM UNTIL 515 AM.

WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.
TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
BETWEEN TARRANT...CENTER POINT...CLAY...AND ARGO. THE DAMAGE WAS THE
RESULT OF AN EF-3 TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ALONG PAWNEE
VILLAGE ROAD ABOUT 3.25 MILES NORTHEAST OF TARRANT WHERE SEVERAL
BUSINESSES SUSTAINED ROOF AND WALL DAMAGE. THE TORNADO THEN TRACKED
FURTHER NORTHEAST ACROSS PINSON VALLEY PARKWAY WHERE SEVERAL
ADDITIONAL BUSINESSES WERE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. THE
TORNADO THEN MOVED THROUGH DOWNTOWN CENTER POINT CROSSING CENTER
POINT PARKWAY WHERE NUMEROUS HOMES AND BUSINESSES WERE DAMAGED OR
DESTROYED. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST TO OLD SPRINGVILLE ROAD
TOWARDS THE CITY OF CLAY WHERE MORE HOMES AND BUSINESSES SUSTAINED
MAJOR DAMAGE WITH MOST EXTERIOR WALLS COLLAPSED AS THE TORNADO
REACHED MAXIMUM INTENSITY. FURTHER NORTHEAST THE TORNADO CONTINUED
AT ITS MAXIMUM STRENGTH NEAR DEERFOOT PARKWAY WHERE ADDITIONAL HOMES
WERE DESTROYED. THE TORNADO BEGAN TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHED
INTERSTATE 59 CROSSING INTO ST CLAIR COUNTY JUST NORTH OF ARGO
WHERE SEVERAL ADDITIONAL HOMES SUSTAINED DAMAGE ALONG WITH NUMEROUS
TREES DAMAGED. THE TORNADO BEGAN TO LIFT NEAR HIDDEN VALLEY DRIVE
AND COUNTRY LIVING CIRCLE. ONE FATALITY OCCURED WITH THIS
TORNADO...IN THE CITY OF CLAY. AT THE TIME OF THIS REPORT SEVERAL
HUNDRED HOMES AND BUSINESSES WERE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. THE TORNADO
DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 15.5 MILES LONG AND WAS 800 YARDS WIDE
AT ITS WIDEST POINT. SPECIAL THANKS TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN HUNTSVILLE FOR THEIR HELP WITH THE DAMAGE SURVEY.

TORNADO #6...NORTH MILLBROOK TORNADO (ELMORE COUNTY)...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 100
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.5209/-86.4119 AT 748 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 32.5309/-86.3437 AT 755 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 4.02
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 200

WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #11 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 245 AM UNTIL 10 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
BETWEEN MILLBROOK...DEATSVILLE...AND ELMORE. THE DAMAGE WAS THE
RESULT OF AN EF-1 TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ALONG COUNTY
ROAD 39 NEAR THE AUTAUGA COUNTY LINE. THE TORNADO MOVED EASTWARD AND
CROSSED HIGHWAY 7 NEAR THE PINES GOLF CLUB. THE TORNADO THEN MOVED
ALONG HIGHWAY 14 AND LIFTED JUST BEFORE THE WETUMPKA MUNICIPAL
AIRPORT. TEN TO FIFTEEN HOMES SUFFERED SHINGLE AND SIDING DAMAGE.
DOZENS OF TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN. ONE APARTMENT HAD ITS METAL ROOF
BLOWN OFF. ONE AUTO CENTER HAD ITS DOORS BLOWN IN.

...PERRY AND CHILTON COUNTIES (SURVEY ONGOING)...

A SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORM MOVED ACROSS A LARGE PART OF PERRY AND
CHILTON COUNTIES AND PRODUCED DAMAGE. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
SURVEY CREWS HAVE FOUND EF2 DAMAGE IN PERRY COUNTY WHICH CONSISTED
OF SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE AND DAMAGE TO SEVERAL STRUCTURES. MAXIMUM
WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AROUND 130 MPH. MORE INFORMATION TO FOLLOW AS
THE SURVEY CREW CONTINUES IN CHILTON COUNTY.

ADDITIONAL PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED PERIODICALLY
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AS SURVEY TEAMS REPORT BACK THEIR
FINDINGS.

A MAJOR CONTRIBUTION TO THE SUCCESS OF OUR SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
PROGRAM IS THE RECEIPT OF STORM REPORTS FROM ALL OUR CUSTOMERS AND
PARTNERS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. IF YOU WITNESSED OR ARE AWARE OF
ANY STORM DAMAGE DUE TO HIGH WINDS OR TORNADOES...PLEASE CONTACT
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...OR CALL OUR STORM REPORTING
HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758.

Updated storm info from Monday morning's storms

2012-01-24T04:54:00.000-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
954 PM CST MON JAN 23 2012

...LONG TRACK SUPERCELLS PRODUCE MULTIPLE TORNADOES...

...UPDATED FOR TUSCALOOSA COUNTY TORNADOES...

A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHED THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTERACTED
WITH A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ALREADY IN PLACE.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ALONG AND OUT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT ACROSS ARKANSAS AND MISSISSIPPI AND PUSHED EASTWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING.
THERE WERE SEVERAL SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCED TORNADOES
AS THEY TRACKED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF
STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE AND SEVERAL REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL AND
FLASH FLOODING WERE ALSO RECEIVED DURING THE EVENT.

DAMAGE SURVEYS WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY. WE WILL BE SENDING THREE
SURVEY TEAMS OUT TO SURVEY DAMAGE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES AS TIME
PERMITS...JEFFERSON...PERRY...CHILTON...ELMORE...COOSA AND
TALLAPOOSA. ADDITIONAL SURVEYS MAY BE NEEDED ON WEDNESDAY.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE COMPLETED DAMAGE
SURVEYS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TUSCALOOSA COUNTY AND HAVE FOUND
EVIDENCE OF TWO DISTINCT TORNADO PATHS. SPORADIC WIND DAMAGE WAS
ALSO NOTED BETWEEN THE TWO TORNADO PATHS ALONG THE SAME SUPERCELL
TRACK.

...KOFFMAN TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-3
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 140
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3257/-87.6579 AT 242 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3305/-87.6526 AT 243 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 0.45
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 400

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS SURVEYED DAMAGE JUST EAST
OF AL HWY 171 IN THE KOFFMAN AREA AND DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE
RESULT OF AN EF-3 TORNADO. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF AL HWY 171 AND KOFFMAN RANCH RD WHERE
APPROXIMATELY TWO DOZEN PINE TREES WERE UPROOTED AND ORIENTED IN
MULTIPLE DIRECTIONS. THE TORNADO THEN TRAVELED NORTHEAST
DESTROYING ONE OUTBUILDING ALONG KOFFMAN SPUR. JUST TO THE
NORTHEAST OF KOFFMAN SPUR...A BARN WAS DESTROYED AND THE ENTIRE
ROOF WAS TORN OFF OF A WELL-CONSTRUCTED SINGLE FAMILY RESIDENCE.
THE TORNADO LIFTED BEFORE REACHING CARROLL CREEK. THE TORNADO DAMAGE
PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 0.46 MILES LONG AND WAS 400 YARDS WIDE AT
ITS WIDEST POINT.

...WATERMELON RD TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: JANUARY 23, 2012
EVENT TYPE: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 115
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.3961/-87.4440 AT 300 AM
EVENT END TIME/LOCATION COORDINATES: 33.4038/-87.4395 AT 301 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 0.56
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 300

WARNINGS: A TORNADO WARNING WAS IN EFFECT FROM 231 AM UNTIL 315 AM.
WATCHES: TORNADO WATCH #7 WAS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM UNTIL 6 AM.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE SURVEYED THE DAMAGE
JUST WEST OF THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER ALONG WATERMELON RD AND
DETERMINED THAT IT WAS THE RESULT OF AN EF-2 TORNADO. THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ABOUT A QUARTER MILE WEST OF WATERMELON RD SNAPPING
AND UPROOTING A FEW SMALL PINE TREES. FROM THERE...THE TORNADO
TRAVELED NORTHEAST AND HIT A HUNTING CAMP WHERE APPROXIMATELY
TWENTY SMALL PINE TREES WERE SNAPPED AND EIGHT CAMPERS WERE
ROLLED. THREE OF THE CAMPERS WERE DESTROYED AND THE OTHER FIVE
RECEIVED DIFFERING DEGREES OF DAMAGE. THE TORNADO CONTINUED
NORTHEAST CROSSING WATERMELON RD WHERE IT SNAPPED 3 WOODEN
H-FRAME TRANSMISSION LINES BEFORE LIFTING JUST TO THE EAST OF
WATERMELON RD. THE TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 0.56
MILES LONG AND WAS 300 YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT.

...JEFFERSON COUNTY...

THE SAME SUPERCELL THAT SPAWNED TWO TORNADOES IN NORTH CENTRAL
TUSCALOOSA COUNTY MOVED EASTWARD INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY PRODUCING
ADDITIONAL TORNADO AND STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON COUNTY. A SURVEY TEAM WENT TO THE
HARDEST HIT AREAS TODAY AND DID CONFIRM AN EF-3 TORNADO STRUCK THE
TOWN OF CLAY. WIND SPEEDS WERE ESTIMATED AROUND 150 MPH.
METEOROLOGISTS WILL BE SURVEYING THE ENTIRE STORM TRACK ON TUESDAY
TO DETERMINE THE PATH LENGTH AND WIDTH OF A POSSIBLE LONG TRACK
TORNADO ACROSS NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY. AT THIS TIME...TWO
FATALITIES HAVE BEEN CONFIRMED IN JEFFERSON COUNTY ALONG THE STORM
TRACK.

ADDITIONAL PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED PERIODICALLY
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AS SURVEY TEAMS REPORT BACK THEIR
FINDINGS.

A MAJOR CONTRIBUTION TO THE SUCCESS OF OUR SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
PROGRAM IS THE RECEIPT OF STORM REPORTS FROM ALL OUR CUSTOMERS AND
PARTNERS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. IF YOU WITNESSED OR ARE AWARE OF
ANY STORM DAMAGE DUE TO HIGH WINDS OR TORNADOES...PLEASE CONTACT
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...OR CALL OUR STORM REPORTING
HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758.

EF-3 Damage Confirmed in Clay in NE Jefferson Co

2012-01-23T19:52:00.002-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
350 PM CST MON JAN 23 2012

...UPDATE FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY TORNADO...

METEOROLOGISTS THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL SURVEYING NUMEROUS
COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS TO CONFIRM TORNADO DAMAGE. SURVEY
TEAMS ARE SCHEDULED FOR TUSCALOOSA...JEFFERSON...CALHOUN AND ST.
CLAIR COUNTIES TODAY. OTHER DAMAGE AREAS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AREAS
OF CENTRAL ALABAMA WILL BE SURVEYED ON TUESDAY.

TEAM ONE: JEFFERSON COUNTY

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM WILL BE SURVEYING THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE JEFFERSON COUNTY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS TO
DETERMINE THE PATH LENGTH AND WIDTH OF A LONG TRACK TORNADO THAT
CROSSED THROUGH NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY. METEOROLOGISTS WENT TO
THE HARDEST HIT AREAS TODAY AND DID CONFIRM AN EF-3 TORNADO STRUCK
THE TOWN OF CLAY. WIND SPEEDS FROM THIS TORNADO WERE ESTIMATED AT
150 MPH.

TEAM TWO: TUSCALOOSA COUNTY

METEOROLOGISTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL BE CONDUCTING
SURVEYS IN TUSCALOOSA COUNTY. A SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORM FORMED
OVER THE COUNTY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND PRODUCED DAMAGE
OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.

TEAM THREE: ST. CLAIR AND CALHOUN COUNTIES

METEOROLOGISTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL BE CONDUCTING
SURVEYS IN ST. CLAIR AND CALHOUN COUNTIES TODAY. A SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORM FORMED OVER THE COUNTY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
AND PRODUCED DAMAGE OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.

ADDITIONAL PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED PERIODICALLY
THROUGH THE DAY...AS SURVEYS TEAMS REPORT BACK THEIR FINDINGS.

A MAJOR CONTRIBUTION TO THE SUCCESS OF OUR SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
PROGRAM IS THE RECEIPT OF STORM REPORTS FROM ALL OUR CUSTOMERS AND
PARTNERS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. IF YOU WITNESSED OR ARE AWARE OF
ANY STORM DAMAGE DUE TO HIGH WINDS OR TORNADOES...PLEASE CONTACT
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...OR CALL OUR STORM REPORTING
HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758.

VERY SERIOUS SITUATION

2012-01-23T05:00:00.002-06:00

Getting many, many reports of major damage in NE Jefferson County...this includes the Center Point, Clay, Trussville, and Grayson Valley areas. There are many reports of damage to homes and businesses. There is also some damage in the Argo/Margaret areas in W St Clair County. No word yet on injuries or any fatalities.

Also, there is a very dangerous thunderstorm moving into the Maplesville area of Chilton County. If you in Chilton County, take cover immediately!

Tornado Emergency- extreme NE Jefferson into St Clair Co

2012-01-23T04:19:00.001-06:00

TORNADO WARNING
ALC009-015-055-073-115-231115-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0008.120123T1015Z-120123T1115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
415 AM CST MON JAN 23 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN BLOUNT COUNTY IN ALABAMA...
NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
SOUTHERN ETOWAH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA...
NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN ALABAMA...
NORTHERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 515 AM CST

* AT 412 AM CST...STORM SPOTTERS AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO NEAR CLAY...
OR NEAR TRUSSVILLE. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR CLAY...SPRINGVILLE...ARGO...TAKE
COVER NOW.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPRINGVILLE...ODENVILLE...MARKTON...RAINBOW CITY...GADSDEN...
JACKSONVILLE...HOKES BLUFF...MARGARET...BRANCHVILLE AND ASHVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 143 THROUGH 183...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758.

Tornado Watch # 11 in effect until 10:00 AM

2012-01-23T03:58:00.003-06:00

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 11
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 AM CST MON JAN 23 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWEST THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALABAMA
NORTHWEST GEORGIA
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 245 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
ROME GEORGIA TO 90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 7...WW 8...WW 9...WW 10...

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG CONFLUENCE AXIS
EXTENDING FROM THE MERIDIAN MS AREA NEWD TO NEAR HUNTSVILLE AL.
THIS AXIS SHOULD ADVANCE SLOWLY ESE THROUGH MID MORNING...WHILE
ATTENDANT STORMS MOVE ENE ALONG IT. VERY STRONG TO INTENSE DEEP
WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH NEG TILT TROUGH NOW OVER W TN WILL
MAINTAIN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL ROTATING STORMS AS THE
TROUGH CONTINUES NEWD.
LOW LVL ROTATION/TORNADO THREAT APPEARS GREATEST WHERE THE
CONFLUENCE AXIS INTERSECTS BELT OF ENHANCED LOW LVL SRH ALONG SRN
FRINGE OF DIFFUSE WEDGE BOUNDARY. THIS FEATURE ATTM EXTENDS ROUGHLY
ESE FROM NEAR TCL/BHM. GIVEN INTENSITY OF LOW LVL SHEAR...THE
TORNADO THREAT MAY SPREAD NEWD INTO NW GA LATER THIS
MORNING...DESPITE MORE PRONOUNCED LAYER OF WEDGE-TYPE AIR THAT
REMAINS OVER THAT REGION ATTM.
THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD SUBSIDE LATER THIS MORNING AS THE UPR
TROUGH CONTINUES NEWD...DIMINISHING BOTH LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND DEEP
WIND FIELD OVER REGION.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25050.

...CORFIDI

Tornado Warning- Jefferson Co including NE Birmingham metro

2012-01-23T03:45:00.001-06:00

TORNADO WARNING
ALC009-073-115-231030-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0006.120123T0932Z-120123T1030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
332 AM CST MON JAN 23 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN BLOUNT COUNTY IN ALABAMA...
NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN ALABAMA...
WESTERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 430 AM CST

* AT 326 AM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND THE PUBLIC HAVE REPORTED
DAMAGE FROM A POSSIBLE TORNADO. THIS THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
OAK GROVE...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF HUEYTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BIRMINGHAM...FULTONDALE...GARDENDALE...IRONDALE...
PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE...LEEDS...TRUSSVILLE...MOODY...SPRINGVILLE
AND ODENVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 260 THROUGH 275...
INTERSTATE 459 EXIT NUMBERS 27 THROUGH 33...
US 78 EXIT NUMBER 91...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 120 THROUGH 156...
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 130 THROUGH 156...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758.

Day 1 Convective Outlook-Storm Prediction Center

2012-01-22T08:34:00.001-06:00

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0631 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

VALID 230100Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF ERN
AR...NRN-CNTRL MS...NW AL...WRN/CNTRL TN...SE MO...SRN IL...SRN IND
AND WRN KY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER TO
MID-MS VALLEY...OZARKS...OH AND TN VALLEYS...

...LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY/OH AND TN VALLEYS...
A SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS BEGINNING TO UNFOLD WITH A RAPID INCREASE
IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE OVER THE LAST HOUR IN CNTRL AR. THIS IS
OCCURRING AHEAD OF A POWERFUL NEGATIVELY-TILED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES. THIS BANDED CONVECTION IN CNTRL AR
SHOULD GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND SHIFT ENEWD TOWARD THE MS RIVER
BETWEEN NOW AND 03Z. AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION...SFC DEWPOINTS WILL
INCREASE INTO THE MID 60S F RESULTING IN RAPID DESTABILIZATION WITH
MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPING FROM THE MEMPHIS AREA SWD ACROSS NRN
MS. THIS COMBINED WITH 55 TO 70 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND STORM
RELATIVE HELICITIES IN THE 400 TO 450 M2/S2 RANGE WILL BE FAVORABLE
FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES. THE CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A FEW
STRONG TORNADOES MAY OCCUR FROM AROUND THE MO BOOTHEEL SWD ACROSS
THE MEMPHIS AREA INTO ERN AR AND NRN MS. AS A LINE OF INTENSE STORMS
ORGANIZES...THE WIND DAMAGE THREAT SHOULD INCREASE WITH A
SQUALL-LINE MOVING EWD ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA THIS EVENING
AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. THE THREAT FOR STRONG TORNADOES
COULD PERSIST LATE THIS EVENING FROM WRN TN SWD INTO NCNTRL MS AND
WRN AL WITH EMBEDDED ROTATING CELLS WITHIN THE LINE OR AT THE SRN
END OF THE LINE. AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT APPEARS LIKELY TO
EXIST ALONG MUCH OF THE LENGTH OF THE SQUALL-LINE AND SOME GUSTS
ABOVE 70 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH BOWING LINE-SEGMENTS.
OVERALL...THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK APPEARS TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THE
SITUATION. THE ONLY APPRECIABLE CHANGES FOR THE 01Z OUTLOOK ARE TO
ADD THUNDER BACK ACROSS CNTRL AND WRN MO ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING SOUTH OF KANSAS CITY AND TO REMOVE THUNDER
ACROSS PARTS OF SE TX.

..BROYLES.. 01/23/2012

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

Public Severe Weather Outlook-SPC Norman, OK

2012-01-22T08:32:00.004-06:00

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

...WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI...LOWER OHIO...AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS...AND HAIL OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI...LOWER OHIO...AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

NORTHWEST ALABAMA
EASTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SOUTHERN INDIANA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE

SURROUNDING THE GREATEST RISK AREA...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST NORTH AND NORTHEAST INTO PARTS OF
MICHIGAN...OHIO...AND THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS.

A POWERFUL JET STREAM DISTURBANCE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO THE
MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.

IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE JET STREAM IMPULSE...A STRONG SURFACE LOW
WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND THEN
NORTHEAST ACROSS MISSOURI AND IOWA TONIGHT...BEFORE REACHING
WISCONSIN EARLY MONDAY. AHEAD OF THE LOW...A BROAD CURRENT OF FAST
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL USHER UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIR NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI...LOWER OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS.

A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTH FROM THE LOW WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
INTENSE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT
OVER PARTS OF ILLINOIS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...AND
LOUISIANA AS THE FRONT ENCOUNTERS THE INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID
AIR.

AS THE STORMS BUILD AND INTERACT WITH THE JET STREAM WINDS...SOME OF
THEM LIKELY WILL BECOME LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS...POSING A RISK FOR
STRONG TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL. THE TORNADO
THREAT SHOULD BE GREATEST THIS EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT OVER
EASTERN ARKANSAS...NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND WESTERN TENNESSEE.
THE STORMS LIKELY WILL EVOLVE INTO AN EXTENSIVE LINE LATER
TONIGHT...EXTENDING THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES THROUGH DAWN MONDAY NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO THE WESTERN
SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER
TODAY.

..GUYER/MEAD/CORFIDI.. 01/22/2012

Hazardous Weather Outlook- NWS Birmingham

2012-01-22T08:29:00.002-06:00

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
722 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

ALZ011>015-017>050-240100-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
722 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS OVERNIGHT. DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...TORNADOES...AND LARGE HAIL ARE ALL POSSIBLE.
THESE THREATS ASSOCIATED WITH A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD
FRONT COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS 10 PM IN THE WEST...AND LAST THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE BEFORE 10 PM...AND
THESE COULD CARRY THE SAME SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP
TONIGHT COULD CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY IN THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. THIS SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
SHOULD END BY 10 AM.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON
THURSDAY...POTENTIALLY LASTING UNTIL FRIDAY. DIFFERENCES IN TIMING
AND OTHER DETAILS AMONG THE COMPUTER MODEL SOLUTIONS LEADS TO A LOWER
CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME...SO STAY TUNED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR
MORE INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED IN ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ACTIVATION
MAY ALSO BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND/OR FRIDAY.

$$

Cold today and tonight, then another mild pattern sets in...

2012-01-18T04:54:00.002-06:00

After last night's rain and storms, sunshine returns today...but the mild temperatures of the last few days are gone, at least for today. Look for highs somewhere between 45-50 this afternoon with a fairly stiff northwesterly wind. Tonight will be cold with lows in the upper 20s areawide, and frost looks likely as the winds calm down overnight.

We start a warming trend tomorrow with sunny skies and highs in the upper 50s. We reach the low/mid 60s on Friday, but with increasing cloudiness and a chance of showers late in the day as our next storm system approaches. Showers become likely late Friday night, and as we get into Saturday look for a good chance of passing showers and storms with highs again in the mid 60s.

Looks like we stay mild Sunday at least through mid-week next week with another chance of rain by Monday/Monday night.

Strong storms approaching Birmingham metro

2012-01-17T19:18:00.001-06:00

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
702 PM CST TUE JAN 17 2012

ALZ023>025-034-180200-
BIBB AL-JEFFERSON AL-SHELBY AL-TUSCALOOSA AL-
702 PM CST TUE JAN 17 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN TUSCALOOSA...SHELBY...
JEFFERSON AND BIBB COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CST...

AT 658 PM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAS TRACKING STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FULTONDALE TO 7 MILES NORTH
OF MOUNDVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
FULTONDALE...
HUEYTOWN...
FAIRFIELD...
BIRMINGHAM...
PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE...

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

Slight Risk for severe weather this afternoon/evening

2012-01-17T04:56:00.003-06:00

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1157 PM CST MON JAN 16 2012

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF MS/AL...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE/BROADLY CYCLONIC LONGWAVE UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE CONUS THROUGH TONIGHT. WITHIN THIS REGIME...A
STRONG UPPER JET/LOW-AMPLITUDE TROUGH WILL TRANSITION
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TO THE NORTH-CENTRAL
PLAINS AND EVENTUALLY UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT. AS
THIS OCCURS...APPRECIABLE SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS WILL STEADILY OCCUR
FROM THE MIDWEST NORTHEASTWARD TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/SOUTHERN
ONTARIO...WHILE A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
OH VALLEY/LOWER MS VALLEY TODAY AND REACHES THE APPALACHIANS LATE
TONIGHT.

...LOWER MS VALLEY/TN VALLEY TO SOUTHEAST STATES...
WITH THE LARGE SCALE SCENARIO AS PREVIOUSLY DESCRIBED...AMPLE CLOUDS
AND SHOWERS WITH SOME EMBEDDED TSTMS SHOULD ACCOMPANY MUCH OF THE
FRONTAL ZONE AS IT MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. A
VERY STRONG /BUT WANING AND VEERING WITH TIME/ SOUTHWESTERLY LOW
LEVEL JET WILL HELP ESTABLISH A PRE-COLD FRONTAL CORRIDOR OF LOWER
60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY IN THE
PERIOD. UPPER 50S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS SHOULD EXTEND INTO THE TN
VALLEY.

WHILE THE PREVALENCE OF LOW CLOUD COVER WILL HINDER MORE APPRECIABLE
DESTABILIZATION...CLOUD BREAKS/POCKETS OF SOMEWHAT STRONGER
LOW-LEVEL HEATING COULD OCCUR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/MS INTO AL. WHILE BUOYANCY WILL NONETHELESS BE
MODEST...MLCAPE TO 500-1000 J/KG MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR SUSTAINED
UPDRAFTS WITH A CORRESPONDING STRONG/SEVERE TSTM THREAT BY THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG/IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING FRONT.

WHILE THE BRUNT OF LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT/MASS CONVERGENCE
WILL TEND TO FOCUS/SHIFT AWAY FROM THE REGION WITH TIME...A SEVERE
CONCERN SEEMS LIKELY TO EXIST /AT LEAST AN ISOLATED BASIS/ GIVEN
WEAK INHIBITION AND VERY STRONG LOW-MID TROPOSPHERIC SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW. LONG HODOGRAPHS/NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL FAVOR
SPLITTING/GENERALLY FAST EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOVING STORMS PENDING
SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION. GIVEN THIS...SOME SEMI-DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS AND MORE PREVALENT MULTICELLS /WITH SMALL BOWING
SEGMENTS/ MAY YIELD DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME SEVERE HAIL...PRIMARILY
FROM EARLY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNSET. A TORNADO MAY BE POSSIBLE AS
WELL GIVEN AMPLE SPEED SHEAR/LOW LEVEL SRH.

...TN VALLEY TO OH VALLEY...
WITH NORTHWARD EXTENT ACROSS THE REGION...THE PRE-COLD FRONTAL
AIRMASS WILL HAVE LIMITED MOISTURE CONTENT WITH
HEATING/DESTABILIZATION OTHERWISE LIMITED BY THE PREVALENCE OF CLOUD
COVER/SHOWERS TODAY. THIS LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION WILL TEND TO BE
ROOTED JUST ABOVE A SHALLOW/MARGINALLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER.
STILL...A STRONG CONVECTIVE WIND GUST OR TWO COULD OCCUR AS FAR
NORTH AS THE OH VALLEY TODAY GIVEN THE MAGNITUDE OF SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW WITHIN THE LOWER HALF OF THE TROPOSPHERE.

..GUYER/DEAN.. 01/17/2012

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

Strong winds expected this afternoon- Wind Advisory in effect this afternnon

2012-01-12T04:59:00.000-06:00

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
417 AM CST THU JAN 12 2012

...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS
AFTERNOON...

.A TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE THROUGH TODAY WILL CAUSE SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO
20 TO 30 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS OF UP TO 30 TO 40 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON.

ALZ011>015-017>050-130000-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WI.Y.0003.120112T1800Z-120113T0000Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...
VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...
PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...
MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...
PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA
417 AM CST THU JAN 12 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...OF THE GUSTY WINDS WILL BEGIN AROUND NOONTIME AND
DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.

* WINDS...ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WILL BE NORTHWEST SUSTAINED UP
TO 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 TO 40 MPH AT TIMES.

* LOCATIONS...WILL INCLUDE ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 24 MPH AND HIGHER...
OR WIND GUSTS OF 36 MPH AND HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WINDS ARE USUALLY 6 TO 12 MPH HIGHER
OVER WATER THAN OVER LAND...THEREFORE BOATERS SHOULD USE CAUTION
WHEN GOING OUT ON AREA WATERWAYS TODAY.

Severe Thunderstorms possible this afternoon into tonight

2012-01-10T04:49:00.003-06:00

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1251 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN AR/ERN LA INTO
MS...AL...AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE...

CORRECTED FOR EXTENSION OF CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK INTO AR

...SYNOPSIS...
A POTENT UPPER LOW WILL MOVE FROM CNTRL TX INTO THE ARKLATEX REGION
BY 00Z...CONTINUING OVERNIGHT ACROSS NRN MS AND NEAR THE AL BORDER
BY WED MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY DEEPEN FROM THE SABINE RIVER INTO SERN AR/NWRN MS BY
00Z...TREKKING NEWD INTO MIDDLE TN OVERNIGHT.

A LONG DURATION OF SLY FLOW ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR WILL ALLOW
BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS TO REACH THE LOWER TO MID 60S OVER MUCH OF
MS AND INTO CNTRL AND SRN AL. BY 00Z...A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM
SERN AR ACROSS SWRN MS...WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS LIKELY TO
BE ONGOING ACROSS LA...SRN MS AND AL.

...LOWER VALLEY INTO THE CNTRL GULF COAST...
A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS...NOW EXTENDING FROM S CNTRL LA INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO...IS LIKELY TO BE ONGOING FROM SWRN MS INTO SERN LA
TUE MORNING...SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF THE SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT. DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED ORGANIZATION WITH SOME OF
THESE STORMS...WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND ALSO HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN
THREATS DURING THE MORNING.

WITH TIME...AS THE UPPER LOW EMERGES...LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
STRENGTHEN OVER THE REGION. GRADUAL HEIGHT FALLS AND COOLING
ALOFT...AS WELL AS A CONTINUED INFLUX OF AT LEAST LOWER 60S F
DEWPOINTS WILL YIELD SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR SEVERE STORMS GIVEN
THE SHEAR. WITH A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT...THE DOMINANT MODE IS
EXPECTED TO BE SUPERCELLS. AFOREMENTIONED AREA OF STORMS MAY
CONTINUE TO YIELD A WIND AND PERHAPS TORNADO THREAT OVER SERN LA AND
CNTRL/SRN MS DURING THE DAY.

MEANWHILE...AS THE SURFACE LOW DEEPENS...ANOTHER AREA OF STORMS
SHOULD MATERIALIZE ACROSS WRN/NWRN MS...FAR NERN LA...AND SERN AR.
HERE...FORCING WILL BE STRONGEST...AND VERY COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT
WILL COMPENSATE FOR ONLY MARGINAL BOUNDARY LAYER WARMTH. SUPERCELLS
ARE LIKELY IN THIS AREA AS WELL...WITH A LARGE HAIL AND TORNADO
THREAT. NEWD EXTENT OF THIS THREAT AREA WILL BE LIMITED BY A DIFFUSE
WARM FRONT...N OF WHICH SURFACE AIR WILL BE STABLE. SOME HAIL THREAT
MAY REMAIN N OF THIS FRONT IN AN ELEVATED SENSE AS SHEAR ALLOWS
CORES TO PERSIST. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH COVERAGE DUE TO
WEAK LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...BUT CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY OF SEVERE
WILL BE HIGH.

THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE EWD WHILE STRENGTHENING OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH...A THIRD AREA OF SEVERE MAY MATERIALIZE OVER CNTRL AND ERN
AL...AND THE FL PANHANDLE...PERHAPS APPROACHING GA BY WED MORNING.
HIGH RESOLUTION CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS HINT AT A CLUSTER OF
SUPERCELLS DEVELOPING OVER CNTRL/SRN AL AFTER 6Z. SHEAR WILL BE VERY
STRONG...AND TORNADOES...ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR.

..JEWELL/LEITMAN.. 01/10/2012

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z

Dense Fog Advisory in effect through mid-morning Monday

2012-01-08T20:23:00.001-06:00

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
600 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...PATCHY DENSE FOG THROUGH 9 AM MONDAY...

.PATCHY DENSE FOG HAS DEVELOPED IN A WARM AIRMASS ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA. VISIBILITIES COULD FALL BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT
TIMES...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING AS SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
AND THEN DETERIORATING ONCE AGAIN AFTER THE SHOWERS PASS THROUGH.
THE PATCHY DENSE FOG SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH AFTER 9 AM MONDAY
MORNING.

ALZ011>015-017>050-090800-
/O.CON.KBMX.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120109T1500Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...
VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...
PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...
MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...
PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA
600 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY...

* VISIBILITY...ACROSS THE ADVISED AREA MAY DROP TO OR BELOW ONE
QUARTER OF A MILE.

* TIMING...OF THE PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE BETWEEN 12 AM AND 9 AM.
THE FOG SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH AFTER 9 AM.

* IMPACTS...FROM THE PATCHY DENSE FOG COULD MAKE TRAVEL
HAZARDOUS DUE TO THE QUICK DROPS IN VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

Wind Advisory in effect today througout Central Alabama

2011-12-27T04:51:00.001-06:00

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
351 AM CST TUE DEC 27 2011

...WINDS EXPECTED TO BE GUSTY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY...

.A TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND THIS MORNINGS
FRONT WILL CAUSE WINDS TO GUST UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH TODAY.

ALZ011>015-017>021-023>029-034>038-041-043-045-047-048-280000-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WI.Y.0024.111227T1400Z-111228T0000Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-AUTAUGA-
ELMORE-MACON-LEE-RUSSELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...TUSCALOOSA...BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...
COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...
SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...
ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...VALLEY...LANETT...
LAFAYETTE...PRATTVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...TUSKEGEE...
AUBURN...OPELIKA...PHENIX CITY
351 AM CST TUE DEC 27 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...BEGINNING EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING LATE
THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS...NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 85-US HIGHWAY 80 CORRIDOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 MPH AND HIGHER...
OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 MPH AND HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

Off the grid...Merry Christmas!!!

2011-12-24T11:00:00.004-06:00

There will be no updates to this site for a couple of days...the last update came this morning (12/24). The next update will likely come Monday evening or Tuesday morning at the very latest.

I want to wish everyone a very Merry Christmas! One thing that we can all do is to think of the victims of our terrible tornado outbreaks from back in April. These folks need all the help and prayers that we can give. There is still a lot of work to do to help rebuild lives in the affected areas.

In reflecting back on April 27th in particular, I am still just stunned at what took place. As you may remember, that morning I filled this site and my old Facebook page with the latest information on the impending horrible day. I saw that day coming for about a week beforehand...it was truly the perfect storm in the ability to produce large, long-track and violent tornadoes.

As you probably know, much of the Alabama landscape is still relatively undeveloped. There are lot of areas with simply trees and open land. With that said, not only were those areas affected, but the tornadoes managed to move into the heavily populated areas as well, and we saw tremendous loss of life and property that day, and to be honest I am still just amazed at what took place. It was truly a worst case scenario, and it was a nightmare that Alabama could not wake up from, because it because reality. I still see the images of the multiple large tornadoes in my head each and every day. I think about the victims...they were people, just like me and you, that in some cases were in the wrong place at the wrong time and in some cases took shelter and still perished.

I do have a couple of relatives from out in the Pleasant Grove area that lost their homes and everything that afternoon. My heart aches for them, but I do know that there are better days ahead.

I am very proud of the warning process that fateful day- the National Weather Service did simply an outstanding job, and MIC Jim Stefkovich and his entire staff should be commended for the wonderful warnings-I have added the service assessment of the weather service office from April 27 to the Super Oubreak links to the top right on this website for your viewing. Kudos should also be given to the Storm Prediction Center for their accurate forecasts in the days leading up to and the actual day of April 27. The Weather Channel did a great job, but also the local television stations did an outstanding job with wall-to-wall coverage. I still wonder just how many lives that guys like James Spann, J.P Dice, Jerry Tracey and Mark Prater and their staffs saved that day. Everyone did a great job.

I consider myself a very small part of the warning process. I do continue to serve as a SKYWARN storm spotter, an ABC 33/40 SkyWatcher and I continue to host and run this website as a way to aid the warning process. If just one person viewed this website on April 27th and became "weather-aware" and understood what potentially could have taken place that day, then every single hour that I spend on this website updating it is worth it to me.

So, please enjoy your Christmas, I hope it's the best ever for you, but also remember the victims and their families from April 15 and April 27. There is a lot of pain still to be healed, but with everyone's prayers and support, I know that the re-building process is well underway and things will continue to improve.

Merry Christmas!

Will

Storm surveys reveal 6 tornado tracks from Thursday's storms

2011-12-24T10:58:00.001-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
925 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE WIND DAMAGE AND TORNADOES...

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT MOVED
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY...PRODUCING AREAS OF WIND DAMAGE.
SEVERAL AREAS OF DAMAGE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH ROTATING SUPERCELLS
WITHIN THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND COULD HAVE RESULTED IN ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

.SURVEYS COMPLETED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAMS HAVE ASSESSED THE DAMAGE
IN BIBB...DALLAS...EASTERN SHELBY...AUTAUGA...ELMORE...COOSA...AND
TALLAPOOSA COUNTIES AND HAVE FOUND SEVERAL TORNADO DAMAGE PATHS.

...BIBB COUNTY TORNADOES...

...FIRST TORNADO (CENTREVILLE)...

EVENT DATE: DECEMBER 22, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
TORNADO ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 70-80
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.9053/-87.1224 AT 1256 PM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.9053/-87.1224 AT 1257 PM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN YARDS): 100 YARDS
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 25 YARDS

AN EF0 TORNADO WITH WINDS OF 70-80 MPH BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN 2 MILES
SOUTH OF CENTREVILLE. SEVERAL LARGE PINE TREES WERE UPROOTED AT THIS
LOCATION. NO OTHER DAMAGE WAS NOTED EITHER DIRECTION INDICATING A
BRIEF TOUCHDOWN ALONG CR 219.

...SECOND TORNADO (LAWLEY)...

EVENT DATE: DECEMBER 22, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
TORNADO ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 80
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.8692/-86.9742 AT 125 PM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.8796/-86.9307 AT 128 PM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 2.8
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 150 YARDS

AN EF0 TORNADO WITH WINDS OF 70-80 MPH BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN BETWEEN
LAWLEY AND RANDOLPH IN SE BIBB COUNTY. DAMAGE BEGAN ALONG HWY 82
WITH LARGE LIMBS BROKEN FOR 50 YARDS IN WIDTH. THE TORNADO THEN
LIFTED JUST EAST OF CR 36. HERE DAMAGE WAS 150 YARDS WIDE WITH
NUMEROUS TREES AND UPROOTED.

...DALLAS COUNTY TORNADO...
(CORRECTED DISCRIPTION OF STARTING LOCATION)

EVENT DATE: DECEMBER 22, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
TORNADO ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 85
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.4232/-86.9206 AT 130 PM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.4304/-86.8847 AT 133 PM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 2.14
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 50 YARDS

THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN APPROXIMATELY 6 MILES EAST OF SELMA ALONG
COUNTY ROAD 306 WHERE MINOR TREE DAMAGE OCCURRED, ALONG WITH ROOF
DAMAGE TO TWO MOBILE HOMES. THE TORNADO THEN TRAVELED FURTHER
NORTHEAST TO GARDNER AND HARVILLE ROADS WHERE SEVERAL SOFT AND
HARDWOOD TREES WERE DAMAGED OR SNAPPED. THERE WAS ALSO SOME
STRUCTURE DAMAGE, WITH ONE OUTBUILDING DESTROYED AND ON ONE MOBILE
HOME THAT WAS SHIFTED OFF OF THE FOUNDATION BLOCKS. THE TORNADO
LIFTED SHORTLY AFTER NEAR RIVER RD, EVIDENCE BY SOME ADDITIONAL TREE
DAMAGE.

...SHELBY COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: DECEMBER 22, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
TORNADO ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 70-80
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 33.1828/-86.6070 AT 142 PM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 33.2027/-86.5860 AT 145 PM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 1.8
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 150 YARDS

AN EF0 TORNADO WITH WINDS OF 70-80 MPH BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN
COLUMBIANA...ALONG COUNTY ROAD 47 AND MOVED NORTHEAST FOR 1.8
MILES...LIFTING ALONG COUNTY ROAD 25. ALONG ITS PATH, 2 HOMES
WERE DAMAGED DUE TO FALLING TREES. APPROXIMATELY 50 TREES WERE
SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.

...AUTAUGA/ELMORE COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: DECEMBER 22, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
TORNADO ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 85
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.6203/-86.5478 AT 202 PM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.7019/-86.4059 AT 216 PM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 10.0
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 100 YARDS

THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 57, ABOUT 3 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BOONES CHAPEL, WHERE SIGNIFICANT ROOF DAMAGE OCCURRED
TO A MOBILE HOME, ALONG WITH DECKING MATERIAL DESTROYED AND TREE
DAMAGE. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST CROSSING INTERSTATE 65 AND
HIGHWAY 31, WHERE ADDITIONAL TREE DAMAGE OCCURRED. SIGNIFICANT
DAMAGE ALSO OCCURRED FURTHER NORTHEAST ALONG COUNTY ROAD 68 AND
HIGHWAY 143 IN THE WADSWORTH COMMUNITY, WHERE SEVERAL OUTDOOR
BUILDINGS SUSTAINED STRUCTURE DAMAGE ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO SEVERAL
HARD AND SOFTWOOD TREES. THE TORNADO BEGAN TO LIFT JUST ACROSS THE
ELMORE COUNTY LINE ON TRAM ROAD WHERE ADDITIONAL OUTBUILDING ROOF
AND TREE DAMAGE OCCURRED. THE PARENT SUPERCELL PRODUCED ANOTHER
TORNADO THAT MOVED THROUGH COOSA AND INTO TALLAPOOSA COUNTY AND IS
DESCRIBED BELOW.

...ELMORE/COOSA/TALLAPOOSA COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: DECEMBER 22, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-1
TORNADO ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 90-100
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.7438/-86.2996 AT 224 PM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.9902/-85.992 AT 252 PM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 24.9
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 300 YARDS

A NON-CONTINUOUS TRACK TORNADO WITH MAXIMUM EF1 WINDS OF 90-100 MPH
MOVED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ELMORE...EASTERN COOSA...AND
LIFTED JUST EAST OF THE TALLAPOOSA COUNTY LINE. THE TORNADO FIRST
TOUCHED DOWN ON GREY FERRY ROAD RESULTING IN 50 SNAPPED TREES.
SPORADIC DAMAGE OCCURRED ALONG THE PATH WITH TWO DISTINCT AREAS
REACHING EF1 STRENGTH. THE FIRST AREA OF EF1 DAMAGE OCCURED ON
COUNTY ROAD 14 JUST EAST OF HWY 231 IN COOSA COUNTY. HERE HUNDREDS
OF TREES WERE SNAPPED WITH A DAMAGE WIDTH OF 200 YARDS. THE TORNADO
THEN CONTINUED ON A NORTHEAST TRACK CROSSING HWY 231 AND COUNTY ROAD
22. THIS IS WHERE THE TORNADO REACHED ITS MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 300 YARDS
NEAR HISSOP IN COOSA COUNTY. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST AND
REGAINED ITS EF1 STRENGTH ON COUNTY ROAD 89 NEAR HWY 280 IN
KELLYTON. HERE A LARGE METAL BUILDING WAS DESTROYED AND A LARGE 100
YEAR OLD OAK WAS UPROOTED. THE TORNADO LIFTED JUST NORTHEAST OF HWY
280 ON HIX ROAD IN TALLAPOOSA COUNTY. TOTAL PATH LENGTH WAS 24.9
MILES. ALONG ITS PATH, 1 BUILDING WAS DESTROYED AND 1 HOME WAS
DAMAGED. IN TOTAL...APPROXIMATELY 400 TO 500 TREES WERE SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED IN TOTAL.

A MAJOR CONTRIBUTION TO THE SUCCESS OF OUR SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
PROGRAM IS THE RECEIPT OF STORM REPORTS FROM ALL OUR CUSTOMERS AND
PARTNERS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. IF YOU WITNESSED OR ARE AWARE OF
ANY STORM DAMAGE DUE TO HIGH WINDS OR TORNADOES...PLEASE CONTACT
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...OR CALL OUR STORM REPORTING
HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758.

Weak tornado touched down in Columbiana yesterday; more storm surveys to come...

2011-12-23T05:04:00.001-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
544 PM CST THU DEC 22 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE WIND DAMAGE AND TORNADOES...

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT
MOVED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY...PRODUCING AREAS OF WIND
DAMAGE. SEVERAL AREAS OF DAMAGE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH ROTATING
SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND COULD HAVE RESULTED
IN ISOLATED TORNADOES.

TOMORROW, FRIDAY, DECEMBER 23, 2011, TWO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STORM SURVEY TEAMS WILL CONDUCT ADDITIONAL DAMAGE ASSESSMENTS IN
DALLAS...AUTAUGA...ELMORE...AND COOSA COUNTIES. DUE TO THE
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE IN THE MENTIONED COUNTIES...A SURVEY TEAM WILL
CONDUCT SURVEYS IN BIBB AND PERRY COUNTIES AT A LATER TIME. PUBLIC
INFORMATION STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED
FROM THESE SURVEYS. ALL MEDIA INQUIRES SHOULD BE MADE TO THE
BIRMINGHAM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT 205-664-3010.

.SURVEYS COMPLETED...

A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM ASSESSED THE DAMAGE
IN EASTERN SHELBY COUNTY AND FOUND A TORNADO DAMAGE PATH.

...SHELBY COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: DECEMBER 22, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-0
TORNADO ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 70-80
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 0
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 33.1828/-86.6070 AT 142 PM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 33.2027/-86.5860 AT 145 PM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 1.8
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 150 YARDS

AN EF0 TORNADO WITH WINDS OF 70-80 MPH BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN
COLUMBIANA...ALONG COUNTY ROAD 47 AND MOVED NORTHEAST FOR 1.8
MILES...LIFTING ALONG COUNTY ROAD 25. ALONG ITS PATH, 2 HOMES
WERE DAMAGED DUE TO FALLING TREES. APPROXIMATELY 50 TREES WERE
SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.

A MAJOR CONTRIBUTION TO THE SUCCESS OF OUR SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
PROGRAM IS THE RECEIPT OF STORM REPORTS FROM ALL OUR CUSTOMERS AND
PARTNERS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. IF YOU WITNESSED OR ARE AWARE OF
ANY STORM DAMAGE DUE TO HIGH WINDS OR TORNADOES...PLEASE CONTACT
YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...OR CALL OUR STORM REPORTING
HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758.

Slight Risk for severe weather today into this evening

2011-12-22T05:06:00.001-06:00

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 PM CST WED DEC 21 2011

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PARTS OF THE LOWER MS
VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH...

...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH CENTERED ACROSS WRN TX INTO COAHUILA WILL TRACK
E/NEWD ACROSS TX THIS MORNING BEFORE DAMPENING AS IT ACCELERATES
NEWD TOWARDS THE LOWER OH VALLEY BY EARLY EVENING. AT THE
SURFACE...A WEAK CYCLONE WILL TRACK NEWD ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE OFF
THE TX COAST...ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO NRN AL...AND
EVENTUALLY INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY FRI.

...LOWER MS VALLEY/DEEP SOUTH...
A SWATH OF RAIN/EMBEDDED TSTMS WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK
ELEVATED BUOYANCY WILL BE ONGOING AT 12Z/THU ACROSS ERN TX INTO
PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS EXPANSIVE PRECIPITATION SHIELD
SHOULD RETARD THE NWD RETREAT OF THE FRONT...WITH THIS BOUNDARY
EXPECTED TO BISECT LA/MS INTO NRN AL BY 18Z. STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL
SWLYS COUPLED WITH STRONGLY FORCED ASCENT THROUGH MID-LEVEL
DCVA/LOW-LEVEL WAA SHOULD PROMOTE ACTIVITY DEVELOPING E/NEWD ALONG
THE FRONTAL ZONE. DESPITE MEAGER INSTABILITY...STRONG LOW/DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR SHOULD RESULT IN ORGANIZED LINE SEGMENTS PROMOTING A RISK FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO.

FARTHER E/SE...A SEPARATE AREA OF MORE DISCRETE TSTMS SHOULD FORM
WITHIN THE OPEN WARM SECTOR ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF COAST. THIS
SCENARIO IS INFERRED BY OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE WITHIN AN AXIS OF
LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE AND DEPICTED BY CONVECTION-ALLOWING WRF-NMM AND
HRRR GUIDANCE. DESPITE POTENTIALLY LIMITED SURFACE HEATING...65-70 F
SURFACE DEW POINTS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR MLCAPE TO INCREASE TO
BETWEEN 400-800 J/KG. 0-1 KM SRH AROUND 150-250 M2/S2 WILL SUPPORT A
FEW SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES/DAMAGING
WINDS...PEAKING IN THE LATE MORNING TO MID-AFTERNOON.

LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL WANE WITH NEWD EXTENT
TOWARDS THE SRN APPALACHIANS...WITH A DIMINISHING SEVERE THREAT
EXPECTED AFTER DARK AS THE SHORT WAVE IMPULSE WEAKENS AND BECOMES
INCREASINGLY DIVORCED FROM THE WARM SECTOR.

..GRAMS/ROGERS.. 12/22/2011

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1107Z (5:07AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

Dense Fog Advisory for Bibb, Tuscaloosa and Walker until 8 AM

2011-12-14T04:55:00.000-06:00

ALZ011>015-022-023-030>034-039-040-141400-
/O.CON.KBMX.FG.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-111214T1400Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-SUMTER-
GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-MARENGO-DALLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA
917 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

* VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS ...
REDUCE DRIVING SPEED...AND ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU
AND OTHER CARS. YOU CAN OVERTAKE ANOTHER VEHICLE QUICKLY IN POOR
VISIBILITIES...SO SLOW DOWN AND DRIVE DEFENSIVELY.

Winter Weather Advisory in effect for Northern Alabama

2011-12-07T05:02:00.002-06:00

Just a heads up if your travels might take you up into the Tennessee Valley today- doesn't look like there would be any travel issues, but a wintry mix could fall at times today in places like Decatur, Huntsville, Scottsboro, etc. There should be no issues at all for Central Alabama, although I won't rule out a snowflake or two mixing in with the rain today, but we will remain well above freezing here in Central Alabama, so no issues would result at all.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
412 AM CST WED DEC 7 2011

...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED LATER TODAY...

.A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVING EASTWARD OUT OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG ONCOMING COLD AIR
ADVECTION TO PRODUCE A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION...WHICH WILL BEGIN
TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST LATER THIS MORNING. A LIGHT
TO MODERATE RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...BEFORE
CHANGING OVER TO MAINLY ALL SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. ANY WINTER TYPE
PRECIPITATION IS THEN EXPECTED TO QUICKLY EXIT EAST OF THE AREA BY
EARLY THIS EVENING. ANY LINGERING WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS MAY THEN
START TO ICE OVER LATER THIS EVENING AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW
FREEZING.

ALZ006-009-010-TNZ097-071830-
/O.CON.KHUN.WW.Y.0006.111207T1200Z-111208T0000Z/
MADISON-JACKSON-DEKALB-FRANKLIN TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTSVILLE...SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE...
WINCHESTER
412 AM CST WED DEC 7 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* TIMING AND AREAS AFFECTED...LIGHT RAIN FALLING ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ALABAMA...ALONG WITH FRANKLIN COUNTY
TENNESSEE...EARLY THIS MORNING WILL TRANSITION TO A MIXTURE OF RAIN
AND SNOW LATER THIS MORNING. A CHANGE OVER TO MAINLY ALL SNOW IS
THEN EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. ANY RAIN OR SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER
OFF AFTER 6 PM AS THE PRECIPITATION MOVES EASTWARD.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND ONE TO TWO INCHES...MAINLY ON GRASSY AND
ELEVATED SURFACES.

* OTHER HAZARDS...TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER
SUNSET. THIS COULD LEAD TO BLACK ICE ON AREA ROADWAYS LATER TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DUE TO RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING...ANY
DEVELOPING SNOW WILL INITIALLY MELT. HOWEVER...PERSISTENT LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOW CONTINUING INTO THE AFTERNOON PERIOD MAY RESULT IN
SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS...MAINLY ON ELEVATED AND SECONDARY ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

Snow potential...an update

2011-11-28T04:52:00.002-06:00

After a wet and miserable Sunday that saw the Birmingham International Airport record 2.52 inches of rainfall and highs in the 60s during the morning, we won't be nearly as warm today thanks to an approaching cold-core upper low system. With this feature, my thinking really has not changed any since yesterday, although again I will note that there are just about always some surprises with these types of systems, and this one will be no different.

For today, look for periods of showers, and throughout the day look for temperatures to slowly drop into the low 40s. In West Alabama, there may even be a few snowflakes mixing in with the showers at times, but again since we will be well-above freezing there will be no issues there.

By the evening and into the night, temperatures at all levels of the atmosphere will support snowfall with the cold-core upper low moving through, and so rainfall may certainly mix with snow showers, or there could easily be a complete changeover to light snow. While there could be some heavier bursts of snowfall, I still think that the main result would be some whitening of grassy areas, cars, etc. Since we will stay above freezing, there should be zero travel issues to speak of in the Birmingham metro area on Tuesday morning. If there are issues, those would be confined to the Tennessee Valley area of North Alabama, where temperatures could fall to at or just below freezing for a short time.

It appears as though the heaviest potential for accumulating snow with this weather feature will be in a zone between Memphis and Nashville, where up to 5 inches in spots will be possible. Down here in Central Alabama, look for a dusting at best, and most spots will simply get some snowflakes that melt on contact with the warm ground.

Will have another update on this developing weather situation this evening.

Snow potential Monday night into Tuesday morning

2011-11-27T09:59:00.002-06:00

Thanks to a cold-core upper low, Old Man Winter will make a very quick entrance into Central Alabama's weather over the next couple of days...

The main issues today and during the day on Monday will come from rainfall, and amounts of 1-2 inches will be likely areawide, perhaps higher amounts in a few spots. However, tomorrow night, there is a chance that some light snow could mix in with the rain, or perhaps the precipitation could change over to all light snow.

With relatively warm surface temperatures, I do not expect any travel issues at all come Tuesday morning. The closed lows do bring surprises, particularly with heavier bursts of snowfall, so because of that it is certainly possible that the grass could become white with snowfall in a few locations, particularly north of I-20, but the actual surface streets as well as area bridges and overpasses should be fine since we should stay above freezing throughout the entire event. If there are any issues, they would likely be over extreme North Alabama and into the mountainous terrain of northeast Alabama. For the Birmingham metro, there could be a dusting of snow in spots, but again no big deal and certainly no travel issues.

I will post more over the next 24-36 hours as the event unfolds, but at this time I do not expect any issues from this late-November snowfall potential.

Severe thunderstorms possible this afternoon/evening

2011-11-22T05:02:00.003-06:00

My opening disclaimer: This threat for severe weather is NOTHING, and I do mean NOTHING like the horrible event from April 27 of this year.

However, there is a risk for severe weather today and tonight across all of Central Alabama. I think by far the main threat this afternoon and evening will come from damaging straight-line winds. It does appear as though the main tornado threat will be will north of here into Tennessee and up into Kentucky. There is a small risk for tornadoes here in Central Alabama, and I would not be surprised to see a Tornado Warning or two, but again the main threat would come from damaging winds and not from tornadoes.

For timing, it would appear that Central Alabama would see the squall line move through anytime from around 3:00 on, so this will be coming in to the Birmingham metro area right around rush here, give or take an hour or so. We would have to see if there could be some discreet supercell development out ahead of the squall line...if those do develop those would be the ones that need to be watched for tornado development. It is quite possible that they will not develop and we will deal with a squall line, but we will have to watch this system closely throughout the day today.

The positive here is that most locations will get up to around an inch of needed rainfall, so everyone will take that of course. Again, this does not appear to be a major threat today where schools and businesses would need to look at closing early, but there will likely be the threat for some storms with damaging straight-line winds and the small threat for isolated tornadoes.

Will post updates as needed this afternoon and evening, and you can always check my Twitter feed on the left of your screen or @CentralALwx.

Day 1 Convective Outlook- Storm Prediction Center

2011-11-22T04:58:00.001-06:00

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1159 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE GULF COASTAL STATES
NEWD INTO THE TN AND LOWER OH VALLEYS...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE SRN PLAINS...IS
FORECAST TO SHIFT RAPIDLY ENEWD THROUGH THIS PERIOD...WITH THE
TROUGH AXIS EXPECTED TO BE SITUATED FROM ERN OH SWD INTO GA BY EARLY
WED MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...A SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN AS IT
MOVES FROM SERN MO NEWD INTO ERN PA...WITH A COLD FRONT TRAILING
SWWD FROM THE LOW.

...SERN TX/LOWER MS VALLEY...
A LINE OF STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED WEST OF THE FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL TX.
THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EWD OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD BECOME
ALIGNED WITH THE FRONT. THEREAFTER...THE STORMS SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE
FRONT THROUGH SERN TX/LA LA DURING THE MORNING HOURS. WIND FIELDS
WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE STORMS...EVEN MID LEVEL
ROTATION...THOUGH WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY INHIBIT UPDRAFT
STRENGTH. IN ANY CASE...THE LINEAR NATURE OF THE STORMS COMBINED
WITH THE RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND STRONG WIND FIELDS
SUGGESTS WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE UNTIL THE STORMS PASS THROUGH
THE AREA DURING THE MORNING.

...CENTRAL GULF STATES NWD INTO THE TN AND LOWER OH VALLEYS...
THE BEST FORCING AND STRONGEST WIND FIELDS WILL GENERALLY BE LOCATED
FROM TN NWD...WHILE THE STRONGEST INSTABILITY...MLCAPES TO 1000 J/KG
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF TN. WHILE THIS COMBINATION IS NOT IDEAL
FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE OUTBREAK...THE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR
SUPPORT A THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS A LARGE AREA AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH/FRONT. STRONG LINEAR FORCING FAVORS A LINE
OF STORMS EITHER INTENSIFYING OR REDEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT BY
MIDDAY. THE FAST PACE OF THE UPPER SYSTEM SUPPORT THIS LINEAR SYSTEM
MOVING EWD AT 35-40 KT. THE LINEAR SYSTEM PLUS STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL
WIND PROFILES INDICATE WIND DAMAGE SHOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT...WITH
EMBEDDED BOWS/LEWPS. THE GREATEST WIND THREAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTION OF TN/MS AND AL...WHERE THE GREATEST INSTABILITY AND
STRONGER FORCING OVERLAP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE LINEAR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EWD INTO GA/WRN SC DURING THE
EVENING...THOUGH THE WIND THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH WITH
WEAKENING INSTABILITY.

THE STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER SUGGESTS A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES APPEAR MOST LIKELY IN THE TN/AL/MS PORTION OF
THE SLIGHT RISK. WHILE WIND PROFILES ALSO APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES ACROSS KY...AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS THE
STATE...THE VERY MOIST VERTICAL SOUNDINGS AND MUCAPES AOB 200 J/KG
SUGGEST THE TORNADO THREAT IS LOW.

...NC...
SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING INTO AT LEAST NC BY 12Z WED
MORNING. WIND FIELDS AND VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE QUITE STRONG AND
SUPPORTIVE OF AN ISOLATED WIND OR TORNADO THREAT. HOWEVER...VERY
MOIST VERTICAL SOUNDINGS AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY PRECLUDE A SLIGHT
RISK ISSUANCE ATTM.

..IMY/LEITMAN.. 11/22/2011

Risk for severe weather across most of the Deep South tomorrow

2011-11-21T04:59:00.000-06:00

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1226 AM CST MON NOV 21 2011

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS CENTRAL/WRN GULF COAST
TO SRN APPALACHIANS AND OH VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...
HIGH-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY FROM NRN CA SWD ACROSS SRN CA OFFSHORE WATERS -- IS FCST TO
MOVE EWD ACROSS SWRN CONUS AND SRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS DAY-1. BY
22/12Z...TROUGH SHOULD ASSUME POSITIVE TILT FROM ERN KS TO W-CENTRAL
TX...IN STG AGREEMENT WITH PAST FEW RUNS OF OPERATIONAL PROGS AND
SREF CONSENSUS THAT...IN TURN...HAVE AGREED WELL WITH EACH OTHER.
MODELS DIVERGE WITH SHAPE/AMPLITUDE OF THIS SYSTEM EARLY DAY-2...BUT
REMAIN IN GEN AGREEMENT WITH TROUGH POSITION FROM LM/LOWER MI AREA
TO N-CENTRAL TX BY 23/00Z. BY END OF PERIOD...TROUGH SHOULD EXTEND
FROM LOWER GREAT LAKES SWWD ACROSS MS...ITS NRN PERIPHERY PHASING
WITH NRN-STREAM TROUGH NOW LOCATED OFFSHORE PAC NW COAST.

AT SFC...STG COLD FRONT WAS ANALYZED AT 21/05Z FROM LOWER OH VALLEY
SWWD ACROSS CENTRAL AR...CENTRAL TX BETWEEN ACT-CLL...BECOMING
QUASISTATIONARY ACROSS SRN HILL COUNTRY AND SERN EDWARDS PLATEAU
REGION TO NEAR DRT. FRONTAL-WAVE CYCLONE SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY OVER N TX DURING DAY-1...DEEPENING AND MOVING NEWD ACROSS
SERN MO BY 22/12Z. LOW WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH MOST OF
PERIOD...REACHING INTERIOR MID-ATLANTIC/NRN APPALACHIANS REGION BY
END OF PERIOD. BY 23/00Z...COLD FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM INDIANA/OH
LOW SWWD NEAR MEM-CRP LINE. BY 23/12Z...FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM
CENTRAL/ERN PA SWWD DOWN APPALACHIANS...ACROSS NRN GA...TO SWRN AL
AND NWRN GULF.

...CENTRAL/WRN GULF COAST TO SRN APPALACHIANS AND OH VALLEY...
BAND OF TSTMS SHOULD BE ONGOING AT START OF PERIOD INVOF SFC COLD
FRONT...BACKBUILDING THROUGH MORNING TOWARD TX GULF COASTAL PLAIN.
ALTHOUGH FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SFC-BASED EFFECTIVE-INFLOW
PARCELS...RELATIVE MORNING MIN IN BOUNDARY-LAYER INSTABILITY
SUGGESTS AT LEAST MRGL POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND...CONCENTRATED
LOCALLY WITH EMBEDDED BOW/LEWP FORMATIONS.

SVR POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM MIDDAY THROUGH AT LEAST
LATE AFTERNOON...SHIFT EWD ACROSS DELTA/TN VALLEY REGION...AND
EXPAND NWD TO OH VALLEY REGION. PRIMARY SVR TYPE WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND...THOUGH TORNADOES AND ISOLATED HAIL ALSO ARE POSSIBLE. BAND
OF CONVECTIVE FORCING IS FCST TO ENCOUNTER PROGRESSIVELY MORE MOIST
AND UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR THROUGH DAYLIGHT HOURS. SFC DEW POINTS
RANGING FROM UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 NEAR I-10 IN MS/LA/AL...TO MID 60S
TN VALLEY...SHOULD OFFSET WEAK MID-UPPER LEVEL LAPSE RATES ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT MLCAPE 500-1500 J/KG. SOME WLY SFC WIND COMPONENT IS
PROGGED OVER THAT CORRIDOR...ALONG WITH 2-4 KM AGL LAYER CONTAINING
SOME BACKING WITH HEIGHT. STILL...LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS SHOULD BE
LARGE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT EFFECTIVE SRH 150-300 J/KG AND POTENTIAL FOR
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/BOWS...AS WELL AS CONDITIONAL RISK FOR
SUPERCELLS FOR ANY SUSTAINED DEVELOPMENT THAT CAN OCCUR AHEAD OF
MAIN TSTM LINE.

CAPE IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH WITH NWD EXTENT OVER KY AND OH VALLEY
PORTIONS OF OUTLOOK...WITH MORE LIMITED TIME WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
FOR THETAE ADVECTION AND DIURNAL HEATING TO DESTABILIZE BOUNDARY
LAYER BEFORE FROPA. BUOYANCY ALSO WILL DIMINISH WITH TIME AND EWD
EXTENT AFTER DARK...ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS INTO ERN AL/WRN
GA. THEREFORE SVR POTENTIAL IN EACH REGIME BECOMES MORE
CONDITIONAL...THOUGH STG FRONTAL FORCING CAN YIELD POTENTIAL FOR SVR
EVEN IN PRESENCE OF NEAR-NEUTRAL MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPE
BELOW 500 J/KG. WITH RESPECT TO CINH...LOW-LEVEL FORCING SHOULD
LESSEN WITH SWD EXTENT...MAKING SVR POTENTIAL LOWER ALONG IMMEDIATE
COAST RELATIVE TO FARTHER N AND NE.

..EDWARDS.. 11/21/2011

Hazardous Weather Outlook- NWS Birmingham

2011-11-20T06:41:00.000-06:00

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
600 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2011

ALZ011>015-017>050-211945-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
600 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR SEVERE WEATHER TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE REGION...WITH
STORMS DEVELOPING BOTH AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. AT
THIS TIME THE MAIN THREATS ARE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY IF SUPERCELLS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

$$
STEFKOVICH

Winter Weather Awareness Week: Winter Weather Safety

2011-11-19T08:51:00.000-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
605 AM CST FRI NOV 18 2011

...WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK IN ALABAMA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE ALABAMA STATE EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY HAVE PROCLAIMED THE WEEK OF NOVEMBER 14TH THROUGH
NOVEMBER 18TH, 2011 AS WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK IN ALABAMA.
WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK HIGHLIGHTS THE NEED FOR BEING PREPARED
FOR THE POTENTIAL DANGERS OF A SEVERE WINTER WEATHER EPISODE.

...WINTER WEATHER SAFETY...

KEEP AHEAD OF A WINTER STORM BY LISTENING TO THE LATEST WEATHER
WARNINGS AND BULLETINS ON NOAA WEATHER RADIO, LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS OR CABLE TV SUCH AS THE WEATHER CHANNEL FOR UPDATES. BE
ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND AVOID UNNECESSARY TRAVEL.

CHECK BATTERY POWERED EQUIPMENT BEFORE THE STORM ARRIVES. YOU MAY
HAVE TO DEPEND ON A PORTABLE RADIO OR TV FOR WEATHER INFORMATION.
ALSO CHECK EMERGENCY COOKING FACILITIES AND FLASHLIGHTS.

CHECK YOUR SUPPLY OF HEATING FUEL.

CHECK YOUR FOOD AND STOCK AN EXTRA SUPPLY FOR AT LEAST A COUPLE OF
DAYS. YOUR SUPPLIES SHOULD INCLUDE FOOD THAT REQUIRES NO COOKING
OR REFRIGERATION IN CASE OF POWER FAILURE.

PREVENT FIRE HAZARDS, INCLUDING CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING, DUE TO
OVERHEATED COAL OR OIL BURNING STOVES, FIREPLACES, HEATERS OR
FURNACES.

STAY INDOORS DURING STORMS AND COLD SNAPS UNLESS YOU ARE IN PEAK
PHYSICAL CONDITION. AVOID OVEREXERTION, ESPECIALLY WHEN SHOVELING
SNOW.

MAKE NECESSARY TRIPS FOR SUPPLIES BEFORE THE STORM DEVELOPS OR DON`T
GO AT ALL. ARRANGE FOR EMERGENCY HEAT IN CASE OF POWER FAILURE.

DRESS TO FIT THE SEASON. WEAR LAYERED LOOSE-FITTING CLOTHING. WEAR
A HAT, SCARF AND MITTENS.

GET YOUR CAR WINTERIZED BEFORE THE STORM SEASON BEGINS. MAINTAIN A
CHECKLIST OF THE PREPARATION REQUIRED. KEEP WATER OUT OF YOUR FUEL BY
KEEPING YOUR GAS TANK FULL.

CARRY A WINTER STORM CAR KIT. ESPECIALLY IF YOU PLAN CROSS COUNTRY
TRAVEL OR IF YOU ANTICIPATE TRAVEL IN THE NORTHERN STATES.

IF THE STORM EXCEEDS OR EVEN TESTS YOUR LIMITATIONS, SEEK AVAILABLE
SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. PLAN YOUR TRAVEL AND SELECT PRIMARY AND
ALTERNATE ROUTES.

CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION BEFORE DEPARTING AND DRIVE
CAREFULLY AND DEFENSIVELY.

WINTER WEATHER DRIVING SAFETY...

NO ONE SHOULD DRIVE DURING SEVERE WINTER WEATHER. IF A SEVERE WINTER
STORM INTERRUPTS YOUR TRAVEL PLANS, LET THE WEATHER WIN FOR YOUR
SAFETY. HOWEVER, SOMETIMES BUSINESS OBLIGATIONS OR HOLIDAY PLANS
MAKE WINTER TRAVEL NECESSARY. WHEN THE PLANS CANNOT BE CHANGED OR
DELAYED, USE GOOD COMMON SENSE TO MAKE YOUR TRIP SAFE. HERE ARE
SOME POINTS TO CONSIDER WHEN TRAVELING DURING THE WINTER MONTHS.

BE SURE YOUR CAR IS IN GOOD CONDITION AND PROPERLY SERVICED. SNOW
TIRES OR CHAINS ARE A MUST FOR WINTER TRAVEL. PLAN YOUR TRIP
CAREFULLY. LISTEN TO WEATHER FORECASTS AND KEEP UP-TO-DATE ON THE
LATEST WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR YOUR ROUTE OF TRAVEL. PLAN AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE SHOULD WEATHER BECOME A PROBLEM. BE SURE TO LET
SOMEONE KNOW YOUR PLANNED AND ALTERNATE ROUTES. TRAVEL BY DAYLIGHT
USING MAJOR HIGHWAYS WHERE POSSIBLE. NEVER TRAVEL ALONE. KEEP YOUR
GAS TANK AS NEARLY FULL AS POSSIBLE. YOU NEVER KNOW WHEN TRAFFIC OR
THE WEATHER MAY SLOW YOU DOWN OR BRING YOU TO A STOP. EVEN IF YOU
RESTRICT YOUR WINTER DRIVING, CERTAIN SUPPLIES CAN HELP IN AN
EMERGENCY. KEEP BASIC ITEMS ON HAND AND AVAILABLE SUCH AS A
WINDSHIELD SCRAPER, BATTERY BOOSTER CABLES, A BAG OF SAND OR GRAVEL
AND A FLASH LIGHT. FOR LONGER TRIPS YOU MIGHT WANT TO ADD A PORTABLE
RADIO (AND DON`T FORGET EXTRA BATTERIES), A FIRST AID KIT, ROAD MAPS,
SOME NON-PERISHABLE FOOD ITEMS SUCH AS NUTS, DRIED FRUIT, AND/OR
CANDY AND A BLANKET OR QUILT.

DRIVE CAREFULLY AND DEFENSIVELY. DON`T TRY TO SAVE TIME BY TRAVELING
FASTER THAN ROAD AND WEATHER CONDITIONS ALLOW. IF WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS BEGIN TO TEST YOUR ABILITY AND ENDURANCE, DON`T HESITATE
TO SEEK SHELTER.

IF YOU SHOULD GET CAUGHT ON THE ROAD DURING A WINTER STORM, KEEP
CALM. HERE ARE A FEW TIPS TO HELP WITH YOUR SAFETY.

GIVE SOME INDICATION YOU ARE IN TROUBLE BY TURNING ON YOUR CAR`S
FLASHERS. RAISE THE CAR HOOD OR TIE A CLOTH TO AN ANTENNA OR DOOR
HANDLE. STAY IN THE CAR. DO NOT TRY TO WALK FROM THE CAR UNLESS YOU
CAN SEE SHELTER WITHIN A REASONABLE DISTANCE.

FOR HEAT, TURN ON THE CAR ENGINE FOR BRIEF PERIODS. TO AVOID
DEADLY CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING, ALWAYS LEAVE A DOWNWIND WINDOW
OPEN SLIGHTLY. ALSO, BE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE OF THE VEHICLE IS
CLEAR OF DEBRIS SUCH AS SNOW WHEN THE ENGINE IS RUNNING.

EXERCISE FROM TIME TO TIME BY CLAPPING YOUR HANDS AND MOVING YOUR
ARMS AND LEGS. DO NOT STAY IN ONE POSITION TOO LONG. DO NOT
OVEREXERT YOURSELF EITHER BY TRYING TO SHOVEL SNOW OR BY PUSHING THE
CAR.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT

JIM STEFKOVICH
METEOROLOGIST IN CHARGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BIRMINGHAM, AL
205-664-3010

OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BMX.

Updated Storm Survey Info from 11/16 storms

2011-11-19T08:50:00.000-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
245 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2011

...UPDATED INFORMATION FOR MONTGOMERY COUNTY TORNADO...

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED IN A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 16...AHEAD OF A STRONG
COLD FRONT. THE ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED DAMAGE IN SEVERAL
LOCATIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. IN ADDITION
TO DAMAGE ACROSS PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...THIS STORM SYSTEM CAUSED
DAMAGE FROM EASTERN TEXAS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAMS HAVE CONDUCTED
ASSESSMENTS IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS AND HAVE
FOUND FOUR TORNADO PATHS ACROSS SUMTER...MARENGO...MONTGOMERY...LEE
AND MACON COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL ASSESSMENTS MAY BE NEEDED IN OTHER
DAMAGED LOCATIONS AS NEW DAMAGE REPORTS ARE RECEIVED.

WE WILL ISSUE ADDITIONAL PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AS NEW
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

...COMPLETED STORM SURVEYS...

A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM ASSESSED THE DAMAGE
ACROSS SOUTHERN SUMTER AND WESTERN MARENGO COUNTIES AND FOUND TWO
SEPARATE TORNADO DAMAGE PATHS.

...TORNADO 1...
...SUMTER COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: NOVEMBER 16, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-2 TORNADO
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 120
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 1 INJURY
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.3633/-88.0894 AT 707 AM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.3763/-88.0689 AT 709 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 1.50
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 600 YARDS

AN EF-2 TORNADO BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN WHITFIELD AND MOVED
NORTHEAST...AND LIFTED NORTH OF COUNTY ROAD 42. ALONG ITS SHORT
PATH...APPROXIMATELY 150 SOFTWOOD TREES WERE SNAPPED...50 HARDWOOD
TREES WERE UPROOTED...AND FIVE OUTBUILDINGS WERE DAMAGED. SIX HOMES
AND ONE DOUBLE WIDE MOBILE HOME WERE DAMAGED. ONE HOME WAS DESTROYED
ALONG COUNTY ROAD 42 WHERE ONE INJURY OCCURRED.

...TORNADO 2...
...MARENGO COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: NOVEMBER 16, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-0 TORNADO
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 85
INJURIES/FATALITIES: NONE
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.4813/-87.8567 AT 732 AM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.5032/-87.8174 AT 736 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 2.57
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 250 YARDS

AN EF-0 TORNADO BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN DEMOPOLIS ALONG MARIA AVE
AND MOVED NORTHEAST WHERE IT CROSSED JEFFERSON RD. IT LIFTED ALONG
US HIGHWAY 80...EAST OF US HIGHWAY 43. APPROXIMATELY 20 HOMES IN THE
EDGEWOOD SUBDIVISION SUSTAINED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE. SEVERAL BUSINESS
SIGNS ALONG US HIGHWAY 80 WERE BLOWN DOWN. THE CENTRAL FARMERS COOP
SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AS A PORTION OF ITS ROOF WAS
REMOVED.

GROUND AND AERIAL SURVEY CREWS HAVE ASSESSED DAMAGE IN MONTGOMERY
COUNTY AND FOUND EVIDENCE OF A BRIEF EF1 TORNADO ON THE NORTHEAST
SIDE OF THE CITY OF MONTGOMERY. SPORADIC WIND DAMAGE...MOSTLY DOWNED
TREES...WAS ALSO SEEN ALONG THE STORM TRACK EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST
LOWNDES COUNTY NORTHEASTWARD INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN ELMORE COUNTY.

...TORNADO 3...
...MONTGOMERY COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: NOVEMBER 16, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-1 TORNADO
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 90
INJURIES/FATALITIES: NONE
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.3867/-86.2184 AT 1108 AM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.3977/-86.2107 AT 1110 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 0.89
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 75 YARDS

A NARROW BAND OF DAMAGE WAS FOUND ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE CITY
OF MONTGOMERY. AFTER INVESTIGATING THE DAMAGE THOROUGHLY...IT WAS
DETERMINED TO BE THE RESULT OF AN EF1 TORNADO WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF
AROUND 90 MPH. THE TORNADO INITIALLY TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE ALABAMA
CHRISTIAN ACADEMY FOOTBALL FIELD WHERE A LARGE PINE TREE SNAPPED AND
COLLAPSED A SECTION OF BLEACHERS. THE SCOREBOARD ON THE NEARBY
FAULKNER UNIVERSITY BASEBALL FIELD ALSO COLLAPSED AND THE BATTING
CAGE WAS BLOWN ACROSS THE ENTIRE FIELD. THE TORNADO CONTINUED
NORTHEASTWARD CROSSING WARES FERRY RD...WHERE SEVERAL HOMES
SUSTAINED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE. FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST...THE MOST
WIDESPREAD DAMAGE OCCURRED AT THE SUNSHINE VALLEY MOBILE HOME
PARK...WHERE NUMEROUS MOBILE HOMES SUSTAINED MINOR TO MODERATE ROOF
DAMAGE AND THE UNDERCARRIAGES WERE BLOWN OUT...AND SMALL
OUTBUILDINGS AND SHEDS WERE BLOWN OVER. SEVERAL TREES WERE ALSO
SNAPPED OR UPROOTED...INCLUDING ONE VERY LARGE PINE TREE THAT
CRUSHED A VEHICLE. FROM THERE THE TORNADO CROSSED US HWY 231 AND
STRUCK ADAMS MOTORSPORTS...WHERE A SECTION OF METAL ROOF WAS PEELED
BACK. THE TORNADO LIFTED JUST NORTHEAST OF ADAMS MOTORSPORTS. THE
DAMAGE PATH WAS APPROXIMATELY 0.89 MILES LONG AND WAS 75 YARDS WIDE
AT ITS WIDEST POINT.

A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM ASSESSED THE DAMAGE
ACROSS MACON AND LEE COUNTIES...FINDING DAMAGE ASSOCIATED WITH AN
EF1 TORNADO. THIS TORNADO CONTINUED INTO HARRIS COUNTY GEORGIA WHERE
IT PRODUCED EF2 DAMAGE.

...TORNADO 4...
...MACON AND LEE COUNTIES...

EVENT DATE: NOVEMBER 16, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-1 TORNADO
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 110
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 1 INJURY
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.5369/-85.6566 AT 1152 AM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.6970/-85.1173 AT 1235 PM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 33
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 700

A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN NORTHEAST MACON COUNTY NEAR NOTASULGA EAST
OF COUNTY ROAD 81 AND CAUSED DAMAGE TO APPROXIMATELY A DOZEN MOBILE
HOMES ALONG COUNTY ROAD 54. THE TORNADO MOVED TO THE NORTHEAST INTO
LEE COUNTY AND CAUSED EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE WHICH RESULTED IN
DAMAGE TO DOZENS OF HOUSES AND MOBILE HOMES ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF
THE CITY OF AUBURN. SEVERAL RESIDENCES WERE DESTROYED. THE TORNADO
CROSSED THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF AUBURN UNIVERSITY`S CAMPUS AND CAUSED
DAMAGE TO HOMES AND THE BASEBALL FACILITIES AT AUBURN HIGH SCHOOL.
THE TORNADO CROSSED INTERSTATE 85 AT US HIGHWAY 280 AND CONTINUED
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD LAKE HARDING. ALONG THE LAKE...WIDESPREAD TREE
DAMAGE AND DAMAGE TO SEVERAL HOMES AND BOATHOUSES OCCURRED. THE
TORNADO CONTINUED INTO HARRIS COUNTY GEORGIA FOR AN ADDITIONAL 26
MILES AND STRENGTHENED TO AN EF2.

...MEDIA CONTACT INFORMATION...

FOR ALL MEDIA REQUESTS REGARDING WEDNESDAY`S STORMS...PLEASE
CONTACT METEOROLOGIST-IN-CHARGE JIM STEFKOVICH AT 205-585-8635.

Additional storm surveys completed yesterday in Auburn area

2011-11-18T04:55:00.000-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
533 PM CST THU NOV 17 2011

...UPDATE FOR MACON AND LEE COUNTY TORNADO...

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED IN A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 16...AHEAD OF A STRONG
COLD FRONT. THE ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED DAMAGE IN SEVERAL
LOCATIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. IN ADDITION
TO DAMAGE ACROSS PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...THIS STORM SYSTEM CAUSED
DAMAGE FROM EASTERN TEXAS TO THE ATLANTIC COAST.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAMS CONDUCTED ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE ASSESSMENTS IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY. ONE TEAM SURVEYED
IN THE MONTGOMERY AREA...WHILE THE OTHER TEAM STARTED IN LEE COUNTY.
THE INITIAL DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR A TORNADO PATH IN MACON AND LEE
COUNTIES IS DETAILED BELOW. DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR THE MONTGOMERY
AREA IS ONGOING...AND INFORMATION PERTAINING TO THIS PATH WILL BE
ISSUED AT A LATER TIME. IN ADDITION...AN AERIAL SURVEY FROM LOWNDES
TO HARRIS COUNTY GEORGIA IS SCHEDULED FOR TOMORROW TO FURTHER SURVEY
THE DAMAGE PATH.

WE WILL ISSUE ADDITIONAL PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AS THE
INFORMATION FROM ADDITIONAL SURVEYS BECOMES AVAILABLE.

...COMPLETED STORM SURVEYS...

A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM ASSESSED THE DAMAGE
ACROSS SOUTHERN SUMTER AND WESTERN MARENGO COUNTIES AND FOUND TWO
SEPARATE TORNADO DAMAGE PATHS.

...TORNADO 1...
...SUMTER COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: NOVEMBER 16, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-2 TORNADO
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 120
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 1 INJURY
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.3633/-88.0894 AT 707 AM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.3763/-88.0689 AT 709 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 1.50
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 600 YARDS

AN EF-2 TORNADO BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN WHITFIELD AND MOVED
NORTHEAST...AND LIFTED NORTH OF COUNTY ROAD 42. ALONG ITS SHORT
PATH...APPROXIMATELY 150 SOFTWOOD TREES WERE SNAPPED...50 HARDWOOD
TREES WERE UPROOTED...AND FIVE OUTBUILDINGS WERE DAMAGED. SIX HOMES
AND ONE DOUBLE WIDE MOBILE HOME WERE DAMAGED. ONE HOME WAS DESTROYED
ALONG COUNTY ROAD 42 WHERE ONE INJURY OCCURRED.

...TORNADO 2...
...MARENGO COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: NOVEMBER 16, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-0 TORNADO
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 85
INJURIES/FATALITIES: NONE
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.4813/-87.8567 AT 732 AM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.5032/-87.8174 AT 736 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 2.57
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 250 YARDS

AN EF-0 TORNADO BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN DEMOPOLIS ALONG MARIA AVE
AND MOVED NORTHEAST WHERE IT CROSSED JEFFERSON RD. IT LIFTED ALONG
US HIGHWAY 80...EAST OF US HIGHWAY 43. APPROXIMATELY 20 HOMES IN THE
EDGEWOOD SUBDIVISION SUSTAINED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE. SEVERAL BUSINESS
SIGNS ALONG US HIGHWAY 80 WERE BLOWN DOWN. THE CENTRAL FARMERS COOP
SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AS A PORTION OF ITS ROOF WAS
REMOVED.

A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM ASSESSED THE DAMAGE
ACROSS MACON AND LEE COUNTIES...FINDING DAMAGE ASSOCIATED WITH AN
EF1 TORNADO. THIS TORNADO CONTINUED INTO HARRIS COUNTY GEORGIA WHERE
IT PRODUCED EF2 DAMAGE.

...TORNADO 3...
...MACON AND LEE COUNTIES...

EVENT DATE: NOVEMBER 16, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-1 TORNADO
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 110
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 1 INJURY
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.5369/-85.6566 AT 1152 AM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.6970/-85.1173 AT 1235 PM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 33
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 700

A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN NORTHEAST MACON COUNTY NEAR NOTASULGA EAST
OF COUNTY ROAD 81 AND CAUSED DAMAGE TO APPROXIMATELY A DOZEN MOBILE
HOMES ALONG COUNTY ROAD 54. THE TORNADO MOVED TO THE NORTHEAST INTO
LEE COUNTY AND CAUSED EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE WHICH RESULTED IN
DAMAGE TO DOZENS OF HOUSES AND MOBILE HOMES ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF
THE CITY OF AUBURN. SEVERAL RESIDENCES WERE DESTROYED. THE TORNADO
CROSSED THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF AUBURN UNIVERSITY`S CAMPUS AND CAUSED
DAMAGE TO HOMES AND THE BASEBALL FACILITIES AT AUBURN HIGH SCHOOL.
THE TORNADO CROSSED INTERSTATE 85 AT US HIGHWAY 280 AND CONTINUED
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD LAKE HARDING. ALONG THE LAKE...WIDESPREAD TREE
DAMAGE AND DAMAGE TO SEVERAL HOMES AND BOATHOUSES OCCURRED. THE
TORNADO CONTINUED INTO HARRIS COUNTY GEORGIA FOR AN ADDITIONAL 26
MILES AND STRENGTHENED TO AN EF2.

...MEDIA CONTACT INFORMATION...

FOR ALL MEDIA REQUESTS REGARDING WEDNESDAY`S STORMS...PLEASE
CONTACT METEOROLOGIST-IN-CHARGE JIM STEFKOVICH AT 205-585-8635.

Storm survey crews to continue damage assessments today in Central AL

2011-11-17T05:03:00.001-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
825 PM CDT WED NOV 16 2011

...SEVERAL SUPERCELLS AFFECTED CENTRAL ALABAMA WEDNESDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED IN A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 16...AHEAD OF A STRONG
COLD FRONT. THE ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED DAMAGE IN SEVERAL
LOCATIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.

TOMORROW, THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 17, 2011, TWO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STORM SURVEY TEAMS WILL CONDUCT ADDITIONAL DAMAGE ASSESSMENTS IN
MONTGOMERY...ELMORE...TALLAPOOSA...MACON...AND LEE COUNTIES. WE WILL
ISSUE ANOTHER PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AFTER
THE INFORMATION FROM THESE SURVEYS IS COLLECTED.

...PRELIMINARY LEE COUNTY INFORMATION...

LEE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS DOCUMENTED THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE
THAT STRETCHED APPROXIMATELY 27 MILES NEAR AUBURN. ONE PERSON WAS
INJURED AS A RESULT OF THESE STORMS. NWS SURVEY TEAMS WILL BE
ON-SITE TOMORROW MORNING TO DETERMINE THE EXTENT AND CAUSE OF THIS
DAMAGE.

...SURVEYS COMPLETED...

A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM ASSESSED THE DAMAGE
ACROSS SOUTHERN SUMTER AND WESTERN MARENGO COUNTIES AND FOUND TWO
SEPARATE TORNADO DAMAGE PATHS.

...TORNADO 1...
...SUMTER COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: NOVEMBER 16, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-2 TORNADO
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 120
INJURIES/FATALITIES: 1 INJURY
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.3633/-88.0894 AT 707 AM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.3763/-88.0689 AT 709 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 1.50
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 600 YARDS

AN EF-2 TORNADO BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN WHITFIELD AND MOVED
NORTHEAST...AND LIFTED NORTH OF COUNTY ROAD 42. ALONG ITS SHORT
PATH...APPROXIMATELY 150 SOFTWOOD TREES WERE SNAPPED...50 HARDWOOD
TREES WERE UPROOTED...AND FIVE OUTBUILDINGS WERE DAMAGED. SIX HOMES
AND ONE DOUBLE WIDE MOBILE HOME WERE DAMAGED. ONE HOME WAS DESTROYED
ALONG COUNTY ROAD 42 WHERE ONE INJURY OCCURRED.

...TORNADO 2...
...MARENGO COUNTY TORNADO...

EVENT DATE: NOVEMBER 16, 2011
EVENT TYPE: EF-0 TORNADO
ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS (MPH): 85
INJURIES/FATALITIES: NONE
EVENT START LOCATION AND TIME: 32.4813/-87.8567 AT 732 AM
EVENT END LOCATION AND TIME: 32.5032/-87.8174 AT 736 AM
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH (IN MILES): 2.57
DAMAGE WIDTH (IN YARDS): 250 YARDS

AN EF-0 TORNADO BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN DEMOPOLIS ALONG MARIA AVE
AND MOVED NORTHEAST WHERE IT CROSSED JEFFERSON RD. IT LIFTED ALONG
US HIGHWAY 80...EAST OF US HIGHWAY 43. APPROXIMATELY 20 HOMES IN THE
EDGEWOOD SUBDIVISION SUSTAINED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE. SEVERAL BUSINESS
SIGNS ALONG US HIGHWAY 80 WERE BLOWN DOWN. THE CENTRAL FARMERS COOP
SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AS A PORTION OF ITS ROOF WAS
REMOVED.

Winter Weather Awareness Week: Winter Weather and You

2011-11-17T05:02:00.001-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
655 AM CST WED NOV 16 2011

...THIS WEEK IS WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK IN ALABAMA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE ALABAMA STATE EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY HAVE PROCLAIMED THE WEEK OF NOVEMBER 14TH THROUGH
NOVEMBER 18TH, 2011 AS WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK IN ALABAMA.
WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK HIGHLIGHTS THE NEED FOR BEING PREPARED
FOR THE POTENTIAL DANGERS OF A SEVERE WINTER WEATHER EPISODE.

...TODAY`S TOPIC IS WINTER WEATHER AND YOU...

INJURIES AND DEATHS DUE TO WINTER WEATHER CAN BE PREVENTED THROUGH
PROPER WINTER SAFETY MEASURES. AS THE HOLIDAY SEASON AND UPCOMING
WINTER MONTHS APPROACH, NOW IS AN EXCELLENT TIME TO EDUCATE YOUR
FAMILY AND FRIENDS ABOUT WINTER WEATHER SAFETY RULES. THERE IS NO
BETTER GIFT THAN IMPROVING THE AWARENESS OF SAFETY MEASURES THAT
COULD SAVE A LIFE. EVERYONE IS URGED TO MAKE THIS A SAFE AND HAPPY
HOLIDAY AND WINTER SEASON BY USING PROPER WINTER SAFETY PRECAUTIONS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, AN AGENCY OF THE UNITED STATES
COMMERCE DEPARTMENT`S NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC
ADMINISTRATION (NOAA), ISSUES TIMELY WARNINGS PROVIDING INFORMATION
ABOUT THE HAZARDS OF WINTER WEATHER. TWENTY-FOUR HOURS A DAY,
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WORK TO DETECT DISTURBANCES
WHICH MAY BECOME WINTER STORMS. IF THESE STORMS BECOME POTENTIALLY
HAZARDOUS, OUTLOOKS, WATCHES, WARNINGS, AND/OR ADVISORIES ARE
ISSUED TO KEEP PEOPLE INFORMED AND TO PUT THOSE SAFETY PLANS INTO
MOTION.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS SEVERE WINTER CONDITIONS MAY AFFECT THE
AREA WITHIN THE 12 TO 48 HOUR TIME FRAME. THIS INCLUDES HEAVY SNOW,
WHICH IS LOCALLY DEFINED AS MORE THAN TWO INCHES IN A 12 HOUR
PERIOD, ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WITH
ACCUMULATIONS OF 0.25 INCHES OR MORE, SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE
INCH OR MORE OR A COMBINATION OF THESE EVENTS. A WATCH IS USUALLY
ISSUED FIRST AND GIVES A LONGER NOTICE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTER
WEATHER.

A WINTER STORM WARNING OR WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS USED TO ALERT
PEOPLE THAT A WINTER STORM IS OCCURRING, IS IMMINENT OR HAS A
VERY HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF OCCURRING. A WARNING IS USED FOR
CONDITIONS POSING A SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.
ADVISORIES ARE FOR LESS SERIOUS CONDITIONS THAT MAY CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT INCONVENIENCE AND COULD LEAD TO A LIFE THREATENING
SITUATION IF CAUTION IS NOT EXERCISED. PEOPLE IN THE WARNING OR
ADVISORY AREA SHOULD LISTEN FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION OVER RADIO
AND TELEVISION OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE`S OWN CONTINUOUS
VHF BROADCASTS ON NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS AND BE PREPARED
FOR WINTER WEATHER. THE WINTER STORM WARNING OR ADVISORY REQUIRES
IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

WHEN WINTER WEATHER APPROACHES, MANY PEOPLE MAY FEEL SOME
APPREHENSION ABOUT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER AND HOW IT MAY AFFECT
THEM, THEIR HOME OR THEIR FAMILY. INFORMATION HERE WILL HELP YOU
PREPARE FOR THIS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER AND WILL HELP YOU HANDLE
MANY WINTER EMERGENCIES. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON WINTER SAFETY,
PLEASE CONTACT YOUR STATE OR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY,
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL AMERICAN RED CROSS
CHAPTER.

THE AMERICAN RED CROSS SUGGESTS KEEPING A DISASTER SUPPLY KIT IN
YOUR HOME. THIS KIT SHOULD INCLUDE A VARIETY OF ITEMS TO MEET YOUR
SURVIVAL NEEDS SUCH AS:

- A THREE-DAY SUPPLY OF WATER AND FOOD THAT WILL NOT SPOIL. ONE
GALLON OF WATER PER PERSON PER DAY AND CANNED OR DRIED GOODS ARE
APPROPRIATE. DO NOT FORGET THAT NON-ELECTRIC CAN-OPENER,

- A CHANGE OF CLOTHING, FOOTWEAR AND AT LEAST ONE BLANKET OR
SLEEPING BAG PER PERSON,

- HATS, GLOVES, SCARVES AND OTHER WARM CLOTHING,

- A FIRST AID KIT THAT INCLUDES YOUR FAMILY`S PRESCRIPTION
MEDICATIONS,

- EMERGENCY TOOLS INCLUDING A BATTERY-POWERED RADIO, FLASHLIGHT AND
PLENTY OF EXTRA BATTERIES. A NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS IS
VERY HELPFUL,

- AN EXTRA SET OF CAR KEYS AND A CREDIT CARD, CASH OR TRAVELER`S
CHECKS,

- SANITATION SUPPLIES,

- SPECIAL ITEMS FOR INFANTS, THE ELDERLY OR DISABLED FAMILY
MEMBERS,

- AN EXTRA PAIR OF GLASSES, FIRE EXTINGUISHER AND IMPORTANT PHONE
NUMBERS,

- YOUR FAMILY`S DISASTER PLAN,

- KEEP IMPORTANT FAMILY DOCUMENTS IN A WATERPROOF CONTAINER,

- UPDATE YOUR DISASTER SUPPLY KIT AT LEAST ONCE A YEAR BY CHECKING
BATTERIES, UPDATING CLOTHING AND CHECKING ALL OTHER ITEMS,

- KEEP A DISASTER SUPPLY KIT IN YOUR CAR, A SMALLER VERSION OF THE
KIT FOR YOUR HOME.

HOWEVER, THERE ARE A FEW ADDITIONAL ITEMS WHICH SPECIFICALLY PERTAIN
TO ROAD SAFETY THAT SHOULD BE INCLUDED SUCH AS:

- STURDY SHOES OR WORK BOOTS,

- RAIN GEAR,

- A SIGNAL FLARE OR A BRIGHT COLORED CLOTH,

- PAPER AND A WRITING UTENSIL,

- A SHOVEL,

- A BAG OF SAND,

- TIRE CHAINS,

- JUMPER CABLES,

- ANTIFREEZE,

- WATER.

KEEP THESE ITEMS IN A STURDY, WATER-PROOF CONTAINER SUCH AS A NYLON
OR PLASTIC DUFFEL BAG. UPDATE THE DISASTER SUPPLY KIT AT LEAST ONCE
PER YEAR.

IN ORDER TO HELP YOUR FAMILY BE PREPARED FOR A DISASTER, YOUR FAMILY
SHOULD HAVE A DISASTER PLAN. THERE ARE FOUR STEPS IN PREPARING A
FAMILY DISASTER PLAN:

1. FIND OUT WHAT COULD HAPPEN TO YOU. WHAT ARE THE WEATHER RISKS IN
YOUR AREA? ARE YOU IN A VALLEY WHERE FLASH FLOODING OCCURS? WE
ALREADY KNOW THE DANGERS OF WINTER STORMS.

2. CREATE A DISASTER PLAN. MEET WITH YOUR FAMILY AND DISCUSS THE
TYPES OF DISASTERS MOST LIKELY TO HAPPEN. KNOW WHAT TO DO WITH
YOUR WATER AND GAS LINES DURING A WINTER STORM. IF YOUR FAMILY
IS SEPARATED, HAVE PREDETERMINED MEETING PLACES OR A CONTACT
PERSON, PREFERABLY ONE OUTSIDE YOUR DISASTER RISK AREA. HOW
WILL YOU EVACUATE IF YOU NEED TO? WHAT WILL YOU DO WITH YOUR
PETS?

3. COMPLETE THE FOLLOWING CHECKLIST:

POST EMERGENCY TELEPHONE NUMBERS BY PHONES.

TEACH CHILDREN HOW AND WHEN TO CALL 911.

SHOW EACH FAMILY MEMBER HOW AND WHEN TO TURN OFF GAS, WATER
AND ELECTRICITY AT THE MAIN SWITCHES.

CHECK IF YOU HAVE ADEQUATE INSURANCE COVERAGE.

TEACH FAMILY MEMBERS HOW TO USE THE FIRE EXTINGUISHER AND WHERE
IT IS KEPT.

INSTALL SMOKE DETECTORS ON EACH LEVEL OF YOUR HOME.

CONDUCT A SEARCH FOR POTENTIAL HAZARDS IN YOUR HOME.

STOCK EMERGENCY SUPPLIES AND ASSEMBLE A DISASTER SUPPLY KIT.

TAKE A RED CROSS FIRST AID AND CPR CLASS.

DETERMINE THE BEST ESCAPE ROUTES FROM YOUR HOME. CONDUCT EXIT
DRILLS.

FIND THE SAFE SPOTS IN YOUR HOME FOR EACH TYPE OF DISASTER.

4. PRACTICE AND MAINTAIN YOUR PLAN

REMEMBER TO CHECK ON YOUR NEIGHBORS IF A SNOW STORM IS
PREDICTED, PARTICULARLY IF THEY ARE ELDERLY, DISABLED OR
HAVE SMALL CHILDREN.

THURSDAYS WINTER WEATHER TOPIC WILL BE WINTER WEATHER AND YOUR HOME.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT

JIM STEFKOVICH
METEOROLOGIST IN CHARGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BIRMINGHAM, AL
205-664-3010

OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BMX.

$$

75/LINHARES

Tornado Watch: Jefferson, Shelby, Tuscaloosa, Walker and Bibb until 10 AM

2011-11-16T04:42:00.002-06:00

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 887
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 AM CST WED NOV 16 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 225 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MC COMB
MISSISSIPPI TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SHORT BANDS/SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS/TSTMS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST OVER WW...IN STRONG...SLIGHTLY CONFLUENT LOW LVL SWLY FLOW
BENEATH AND JUST DOWNSTREAM FROM EJECTING UPR IMPULSE. SOME
STRENGTHENING OF THE LOW TO MID LVL WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED ACROSS AL
LATER THIS MORNING /WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO AOA 50 KTS IN THE
850-700 MB LAYER/...ALONG WITH A MODEST INCREASE IN LOW LVL MOISTURE
AND POSSIBLY ASCENT. GIVEN DEGREE OF LOW LVL SHEAR...POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR INTERMITTENT LOW LVL MESOCYCLONES AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.

...CORFIDI

SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook valid for Wednesday

2011-11-15T20:09:00.002-06:00

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2011

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS WED AND WED EVE ACROSS PARTS OF
THE ERN GULF AND SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST STATES...

...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONGER BELT OF WESTERLIES ACROSS THE U.S. IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
MORE OR LESS ZONAL THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. BROADLY CYCLONIC
FLOW APPEARS LIKELY TO PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN STATES...ALTHOUGH SOME SHARPENING OF UPPER TROUGHING MAY
OCCUR AS A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE IMPULSE DIGS FROM THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES THROUGH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS BY LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS LATTER FEATURE MAY CONTRIBUTE TO WAVE
DEVELOPMENT ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE ADVANCING THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES...BUT THIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK...WITH THE PRIMARY
SURFACE CYCLONE LIFTING THROUGH THE EASTERN CANADIAN PROVINCES.

...EASTERN GULF AND SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST STATES...
IN THE WAKE OF THE WEAKENING REMNANTS OF AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH
EMERGING FROM THE MEXICAN PLATEAU...A SEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST
ENVIRONMENT WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCING FRONTAL ZONE. HOWEVER... MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ARE ALSO LIKELY TO REMAIN WEAK...AND THIS PROBABLY WILL
LIMIT BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION EVEN WITH SUBSTANTIVE DAYTIME
HEATING. THIS LIMITATION...COUPLED WITH THE WEAK NATURE OF THE
DEVELOPING SURFACE WAVE...SUGGESTS THAT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY
REMAIN SUBDUED. EVEN SO...GIVEN MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATIONS OF
STRONG DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW AND SHEAR WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH POTENTIAL TO SUPPORT SLIGHT RISK SEVERE PROBABILITIES
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS PRIMARILY IS EXPECTED TO BE
CONFINED TO THE GENERAL VICINITY OF THE WAVE...PERHAPS AS EARLY AS
MIDDAY ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN ALABAMA...INTO THE PIEDMONT OF THE
CAROLINAS BY THE EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE RISK FOR AT
LEAST ISOLATED TORNADOES ...IN ADDITION TO POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS.

..KERR.. 11/15/2011

Winter Weather Awareness Week: Terminology

2011-11-15T20:07:00.001-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
535 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2011

...THIS WEEK IS WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK IN ALABAMA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE ALABAMA STATE EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY HAVE PROCLAIMED THE WEEK OF NOVEMBER 14TH THROUGH
NOVEMBER 18TH, 2011 AS WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK IN ALABAMA.
WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK HIGHLIGHTS THE NEED FOR BEING PREPARED
FOR THE POTENTIAL DANGERS OF A SEVERE WINTER WEATHER EPISODE.

...TODAY`S TOPIC IS WINTER WEATHER TERMINOLOGY...

WHEN OLD MAN WINTER THREATENS, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE URGES
EVERYONE TO KEEP ABREAST OF LOCAL FORECASTS AND WARNINGS AND TO
BECOME FAMILIAR WITH KEY WINTER WEATHER TERMINOLOGY.

WINTER STORM OUTLOOK...THESE OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED WITHIN THE HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK (HWO) PRODUCT. WINTER WEATHER HAZARDS ARE MENTIONED
WHEN CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A SIGNIFICANT HAZARDOUS WINTER
WEATHER EVENT TO DEVELOP OVER PART OR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA IN THE 3
TO 7 DAY FORECAST PERIOD. THE MAIN OBJECTIVE OF THE OUTLOOK IS TO
INFORM USERS OF THE POTENTIAL OF AN UPCOMING WINTER EVENT, ESPECIALLY
FOR THOSE WHO NEED CONSIDERABLE LEAD TIME TO PREPARE.

WINTER STORM WATCH...THESE POTENTIAL WINTER EVENTS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE 12 TO 48 HOUR TIME FRAME. FOR SNOW, WHEN MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF
SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN A 12 HOUR TIME FRAME. FOR FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE, ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 0.25 INCH OR MORE. FOR SLEET,
ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE PELLETS ONE INCH OR MORE. FOR WIND CHILL, WIND
CHILLS OF -10 DEGREES OR COLDER.

WINTER STORM WARNING...THESE ARE WARNINGS THAT ARE ISSUED WHEN
HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER IS OCCURRING, IS IMMINENT OR HAS A HIGH
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE. THESE POTENTIAL WINTER EVENTS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE 0 TO 36 HOUR TIME FRAME. FOR SNOW, WHEN MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF
SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN A 12 HOUR TIME FRAME. FOR FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE, ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 0.25 INCHES OR MORE. FOR
SLEET, ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE PELLETS 1 INCH OR MORE. FOR WIND CHILL,
WIND CHILLS OF -10 DEGREES OR COLDER.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...THESE ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED FOR WINTER
EVENTS THAT ARE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO THE PUBLIC BUT DO NOT CONSTITUTE A
SERIOUS ENOUGH THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY TO WARRANT THE ISSUANCE OF
A WARNING. THESE ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED FOR LESSER ACCUMULATIONS THAN
WARNINGS.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED FOR ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW,
FREEZING RAIN, FREEZING DRIZZLE OR SLEET WHICH WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
INCONVENIENCE AND MODERATELY DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. THESE POTENTIAL
WINTER EVENTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE 0 TO 36 HOUR TIME FRAME. FOR SNOW,
WHEN SNOW OF ONE QUARTER INCH TO TWO INCHES ACCUMULATING WITHIN 12
HOURS. FOR SLEET, ACCUMULATION OF ICE PELLETS LESS THAN ONE INCH. FOR
FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE, ICE ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN ONE
INCH ARE EXPECTED. FOR WIND CHILL, WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO -10
DEGREES.

WIND CHILL...WIND CHILL IS BASED ON THE RATE OF HEAT LOSS FROM
EXPOSED SKIN CAUSED BY THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF WIND AND COLD
TEMPERATURES. AS THE WIND INCREASES, HEAT IS CARRIED AWAY FROM THE
BODY AT AN ACCELERATED RATE, DRIVING DOWN THE BODY TEMPERATURE.
ANIMALS ARE ALSO AFFECTED BY WIND CHILL. INANIMATE OBJECTS SUCH AS
PIPES AND CAR RADIATORS ARE NOT AFFECTED. WHEN THE WIND CHILL
APPROACHES MINUS 20 DEGREES, FROSTBITE CAN OCCUR IN 15 MINUTES OR
LESS.

BLIZZARD WARNING...WARNING ISSUED FOR SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR MORE AND FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW
WHICH REDUCES VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE FOR AT
LEAST 3 HOURS.

SNOW...FROZEN PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF WHITE OR TRANSLUCENT
HEXAGONAL ICE CRYSTALS THAT FALL AS SOFT, WHITE FLAKES.

SNOW GRAINS...PRECIPITATION OF VERY SMALL, WHITE, OPAQUE GRAINS OF
ICE SIMILAR IN STRUCTURE TO SNOW. THESE GRAINS ARE FAIRLY FLAT OR
ELONGATED. THE DIAMETERS ARE GENERALLY LESS THAN 1 MILLIMETER.

SNOW FLURRIES...INTERMITTENT LIGHT SNOWFALL OF SHORT DURATION.
GENERALLY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WITH NO MEASURABLE ACCUMULATION.

SNOW SHOWERS...BRIEF PERIODS OF SNOWFALL IN WHICH INTENSITY CAN BE
VARIED AND MAY CHANGE RAPIDLY. SOME ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE.

SNOW SQUALLS...BRIEF, INTENSE SNOW SHOWERS ACCOMPANIED BY
STRONG, GUSTY WIND. ACCUMULATION MAY BE SIGNIFICANT. SNOW SQUALLS
ARE BEST KNOW IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

HEAVY SNOW...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATING TO MORE THAN 2 INCHES IN DEPTH IN
12 HOURS OR LESS.

SLEET...RAIN DROPS THAT FREEZE INTO ICE PELLETS. THESE ARE
TRANSPARENT OR TRANSLUCENT PELLETS OF ICE OF 5 MILLIMETERS OR LESS
IN DIAMETER BEFORE REACHING THE GROUND. SLEET USUALLY BOUNCES WHEN
HITTING A SURFACE AND DOES NOT STICK TO OBJECTS. HOWEVER, IT CAN
ACCUMULATE LIKE SNOW AND CAUSE A HAZARD TO MOTORISTS AND
PEDESTRIANS.

FREEZING RAIN...RAIN THAT FALLS ONTO A SURFACE WITH A TEMPERATURE
BELOW FREEZING. THIS CAUSES IT TO FREEZE ON CONTACT WITH THESE
SURFACES. AN ICE COATING OR GLAZE CAN FORM ON TREES, CARS AND
ROADS. EVEN SMALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE CAN BECOME A SIGNIFICANT
HAZARD.

FREEZING DRIZZLE...DRIZZLE THAT FALLS ONTO A SURFACE WITH A
TEMPERATURE BELOW FREEZING. THIS CAUSES IT TO FREEZE ON CONTACT WITH
THESE SURFACES. AN ICE COATING OR GLAZE CAN FORM ON TREES, CARS AND
ROADS. EVEN SMALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE CAN BECOME A SIGNIFICANT
HAZARD. DRIZZLE PARTICLES ARE SMALLER THAN RAINDROPS AND TYPICALLY
DO NOT ACCUMULATE AS MUCH AS RAIN.

FROSTBITE...DAMAGE TO BODY TISSUE CAUSED BY TISSUE BEING FROZEN.
FROSTBITE CAUSES THE LOSS OF FEELING AND A WHITE OR PALE APPEARANCE
IN EXTREMITIES SUCH AS FINGERS, TOES, EAR LOBES OR THE TIP OF THE
NOSE. IF SYMPTOMS ARE DETECTED, SLOWLY WARM THE AFFECTED AREAS AND
SEEK MEDICAL HELP IMMEDIATELY.

HYPOTHERMIA...THE LOSS OF HEAT FROM THE BODY. WARNING SIGNS ARE
UNCONTROLLABLE SHIVERING, MEMORY LOSS AND DISTORTION. MEDICAL
TREATMENT SHOULD BE SOUGHT IMMEDIATELY.

WEDNESDAY`S WINTER WEATHER TOPIC WILL BE WINTER WEATHER AND YOU.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT

JIM STEFKOVICH
METEOROLOGIST IN CHARGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BIRMINGHAM, AL
205-664-3010

OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BMX

$$

75/LINHARES

This is Winter Weather Awareness Week in Alabama

2011-11-15T05:02:00.001-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
620 AM CST MON NOV 14 2011

...WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK STARTS TODAY IN ALABAMA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, AND THE ALABAMA STATE EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY HAVE PROCLAIMED THE WEEK OF NOVEMBER 14TH
THROUGH NOVEMBER 18TH, 2011 AS WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK IN
ALABAMA. WINTER WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK HIGHLIGHTS THE NEED FOR
BEING PREPARED FOR THE POTENTIAL DANGERS OF A SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER EPISODE.

...WINTER WEATHER ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...

ALABAMA IS NO STRANGER TO WINTERS DEADLY GRIP. HISTORICALLY, SOME
OF THE MOST SEVERE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHICH CAN AFFECT SOME OR
ALL OF THE STATE HAVE COME IN THE WINTER. EACH YEAR WEATHER
PATTERNS BRING SEVERAL WINTER WEATHER THREATS TO THE STATE
INCLUDING EXTREME COLD, SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

...WINTER WEATHER HISTORY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...

ON FEBRUARY 9TH, 2011, SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO RANGED FROM 4 INCHES IN LAMAR COUNTY TO
TRACE AMOUNTS ALONG THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR.

BY DAYBREAK ON MONDAY, JANUARY 10TH, 2011, AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE
20 REPORTED ANYWHERE FROM 1 TO 14 INCHES OF SNOW WITH THE HEAVIEST
TOTALS NEAR THE ALABAMA-TENNESSEE STATE LINE. ICE REPORTS WERE AS
HIGH AS 0.50 INCHES IN MULTIPLE COUNTIES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

SNOWFALL BLANKETED MUCH OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA ON
DECEMBER 25TH, 2010. SOME LOCATIONS SAW THE FIRST WHITE CHRISTMAS
ON RECORD, WHILE OTHERS JUST MISSED OUT.

ON MARCH 1, 2009, SNOW BLANKETED CENTRAL ALABAMA. CITIZENS AS FAR
SOUTH AS MONTGOMERY SAW AT LEAST A DUSTING, BUT MOST EVERYONE SAW
SNOWFALL TOTALS BETWEEN 1 AND 5 INCHES, WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS
AROUND AUBURN, WHERE LEE COUNTY SAW OVER 5 INCHES OF SNOW.

ALMOST THREE YEARS AGO ON JANUARY 19, 2008, SNOW FELL ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA. AREAS FROM DEMOPOLIS TO SELMA TO CLANTON RECEIVED
2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. AREAS AS FAR NORTH AS BIRMINGHAM AND SOUTH
TO MONTGOMERY RECEIVED UP TO ONE INCH.

BACK ON JANUARY 28-29, 2005, AN ICE STORM OCCURRED ACROSS EASTERN
ALABAMA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE INCH CAUSED
SIGNIFICANT ICING AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES ACROSS RANDOLPH AND
CHAMBERS COUNTIES. MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF EAST ALABAMA RECEIVED
LIGHTER ICE AMOUNTS WHERE POWER OUTAGES WERE LESS WIDESPREAD AND
DAMAGE TO TREES WAS RELATIVELY MINOR. LIGHT ICING WAS REPORTED AS
FAR WEST AS BIRMINGHAM AND MONTGOMERY.

IN MARCH 1993, THE STORM OF THE CENTURY OCCURRED. THE STATE WAS
HELD IN THE GRIP OF RECORD SNOWFALL WITH MORE THAN A FOOT OF SNOW
ACROSS A WIDE PORTION OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. THE SNOW COMPLETELY
PARALYZED A LARGE SECTION OF THE STATE. STRONG WINDS ACCOMPANIED
THE HEAVY WET SNOW AND THIS COMBINATION DOWNED NUMEROUS TREES AND
POWER LINES. MANY PEOPLE WERE LEFT WITHOUT ELECTRICAL SERVICE FOR
SEVERAL DAYS. HEAVY SNOWFALL ON MARCH 12 AND 13 WAS FOLLOWED BY A
RECORD BREAKING COLD SNAP. NEARLY ALL ACTIVITY CAME TO A COMPLETE
HALT IN AND AROUND BIRMINGHAM, ANNISTON, AND TUSCALOOSA FOR TWO
FULL DAYS UNTIL THE SNOW BEGAN TO MELT AND EMERGENCY EQUIPMENT
COULD BEGIN TO CLEAR ROADWAYS. WHEN THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND
COLD CONDITIONS SUBSIDED, 14 PEOPLE HAD DIED AND MANY MORE WERE
INJURED. PROPERTY DAMAGE EXCEEDED 50 MILLION DOLLARS AND EVERY
SQUARE INCH OF ALABAMA HAD EXPERIENCED MEASURABLE SNOW. DURING THE
WINTER STORM, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS IN ALABAMA SHELTERED OVER
12000 PEOPLE IN 108 FACILITIES AND SERVED OVER 36000 MEALS.

AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE COLD WEATHER OCCURRED DECEMBER 22 THROUGH 25,
1989, KILLING FIVE PEOPLE IN ALABAMA. LOW TEMPERATURES FOR TWO
CONSECUTIVE NIGHTS DROPPED INTO THE 0 TO MINUS 5 DEGREE RANGE OVER
THE NORTHERN THIRD OF ALABAMA AND INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ALL THE
WAY TO THE GULF COAST. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHED ONLY INTO
THE TEENS. BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS CREATED WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS
MINUS 15 TO MINUS 35 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OVER NORTH ALABAMA AND
ZERO TO MINUS 15 IN SOUTH ALABAMA.

AT LEAST 5 PEOPLE PERISHED IN THE EXTREME COLD OF JANUARY 19 THROUGH
22, 1985. THIS EVENT RE-ESTABLISHED LOW TEMPERATURE RECORDS OVER MUCH
OF ALABAMA. THIS STORM BROUGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE FOOT AS
REPORTED IN LAUDERDALE COUNTY. BRIDGES WERE COATED WITH ICE WELL INTO
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND FOUR PEOPLE WERE KILLED IN TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS ON
ICY ROADS.

ONE OF THE MOST TRAGIC OUTBREAKS OF COLD WEATHER IN ALABAMA HISTORY
OCCURRED JANUARY 10 THROUGH 18, 1982. TWENTY PEOPLE DIED AND 300 WERE
INJURED DURING THIS EXTREMELY COLD WEATHER. SIXTEEN THOUSAND PEOPLE
WERE FORCED INTO EMERGENCY SHELTERS AND STORM DAMAGE TOTALED SOME 78
MILLION DOLLARS.

THE ARCTIC OUTBREAK OF DECEMBER 19 THROUGH 21, 1981, TOOK THE LIVES
OF AT LEAST TWO PEOPLE IN UNHEATED HOMES AND AT LEAST 17 PEOPLE WERE
INJURED BY SLIPPING AND FALLING ON ICE.

TUESDAY`S WINTER WEATHER TOPIC WILL BE WINTER WEATHER TERMINOLOGY.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT

JIM STEFKOVICH
METEOROLOGIST IN CHARGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BIRMINGHAM, AL
205-664-3010

OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BMX

$$

75/LINHARES

Freeze Warning in effect tonight for all of North/Central Alabama

2011-11-10T05:08:00.001-06:00

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
417 AM CST THU NOV 10 2011

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA TONIGHT...

ALZ011>015-017>050-102200-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FZ.W.0004.111111T0600Z-111111T1500Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...
VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...
PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...
MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...
PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA
417 AM CST THU NOV 10 2011

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
FRIDAY.

* TEMPERATURE...MID TO UPPER 20S IN OUTLYING AREAS WHILE LARGER
URBAN AREAS WILL BE NEAR 32.

* IMPACTS...PREMATURELY BUDDING PLANTS...SHRUBS...AND TREES WILL
BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THESE COLD TEMPERATURES. TENDER PLANTS CAN BE
KILLED AT THESE TEMPERATURES IF PROTECTIVE MEASURES ARE NOT TAKEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS CAN KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE
VEGETATION.

TS Sean could become a hurricane later today or tonight; no threat to United States

2011-11-10T05:07:00.002-06:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011
400 AM EST THU NOV 10 2011

...SEAN MOVING NORTHWARD...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD LATER
TODAY...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 70.9W
ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA
WEATHER SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.9 WEST. SEAN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AT
AN INCREASED FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SEAN WILL PASS NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA
FRIDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND SEAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES...410 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY THIS
EVENING.

RAINFALL...SEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ON
BERMUDA.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SEAN ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA...CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM EST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Tropical Storm Sean slowly moving westward; TS Warning issued for Bermuda

2011-11-09T04:59:00.001-06:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011
400 AM EST WED NOV 09 2011

...SEAN DRIFTING WESTWARD...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR
BERMUDA...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.9N 70.4W
ABOUT 450 MI...730 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA
WEATHER SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.4 WEST. SEAN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41047 RECENTLY REPORTED A 1-MINUTE MEAN
WIND OF 38 MPH...61 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OR THURSDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SEAN ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENTS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM EST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Subtropical Storm Sean forms between Bermuda and The Bahamas

2011-11-08T04:54:00.001-06:00

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM SEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011
400 AM EST TUE NOV 08 2011

CORRECTED MOTION IN SUMMARY SECTION

...NEW SUBTROPICAL STORM DEVELOPS MIDWAY BETWEEN BERMUDA AND
THE BAHAMAS...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.2N 69.4W
ABOUT 445 MI...720 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM SEAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST. THE STORM IS
NEARLY STATIONARY...AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. A SLOW
WESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY TONIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 380 MILES...610 KM...PRIMARILY
WEST THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM EST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

National Emergency Alert System test still on for Wednesday

2011-11-07T05:01:00.001-06:00

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
541 PM CDT FRI NOV 4 2011

...NATIONAL EAS TEST SCHEDULED FOR NOVEMBER 9TH...

ON NOVEMBER 9TH AT 1 PM CST...THE STATE OF ALABAMA...IN
CONJUNCTION WITH THE FEDERAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY...WILL
PARTICIPATE IN A NATIONWIDE TEST OF THE EMERGENCY ALERT SYSTEM OR
EAS. IT WILL BE HEARD ON THE RADIO AND SEEN ON LOCAL...CABLE...AND
SATELLITE TV.

THE PURPOSE OF THE TEST IS TO ASSESS THE READINESS AND
EFFECTIVENESS OF THE EAS AND IDENTIFY IMPROVEMENTS TO BETTER SERVE
OUR COMMUNITIES IN THE PRESERVATION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. ALTHOUGH
THE EAS IS FREQUENTLY USED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND
STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS TO SEND WEATHER ALERTS AND OTHER
EMERGENCIES...THERE HAS NEVER BEEN A NATIONAL ACTIVATION OF THE
SYSTEM.

THE TEST MAY LOOK LIKE REGULAR...LOCAL EAS TESTS THAT MOST PEOPLE
ARE ALREADY FAMILIAR WITH...BUT THERE WILL BE SOME DIFFERENCES IN
WHAT VIEWERS WILL SEE AND HEAR. THE AUDIO MESSAGE WILL REPEAT...THIS
IS A TEST. THE MESSAGE WILL LAST FOR AROUND THIRTY SECONDS...
POSSIBLY FOR AS LONG AS SIXTY SECONDS WITH EAS TONES AND RELAY
TIME...AND THEN REGULAR PROGRAMMING WILL RESUME.

NOAA WEATHER RADIO WILL NOT BE PARTICIPATING IN THE NATIONAL EAS
TEST. THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO ROUTINE WEEKLY TEST THAT WOULD
NORMALLY BE HELD ON WEDNESDAY...NOVEMBER 9TH...WILL BE HELD ON
TUESDAY...NOVEMBER 8TH. IF THE RESCHEDULED NOAA WEATHER RADIO
ROUTINE WEEKLY TEST CANNOT BE HELD BECAUSE OF POTENTIAL SEVERE
WEATHER ON TUESDAY...NOVEMBER 8TH...THE TEST WILL BE CANCELED FOR
THE WEEK.

AS FEDERAL...STATE...TRIBAL..TERRITORIAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
PREPARE FOR AND TEST THEIR CAPABILITIES...THIS EVENT SERVES AS A
REMINDER THAT EVERYONE SHOULD ESTABLISH AN EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS
KIT AND EMERGENCY PLAN FOR THEMSELVES...THEIR FAMILIES...
COMMUNITIES...AND BUSINESSES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE NATIONAL EAS TEST...VISIT THE ALABAMA
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY WEBSITE AT EMA.ALABAMA.GOV OR THE
FEDERAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY WEBSITE AT FEMA.GOV.

Medium chance of tropical development near Bermuda...no threat to U.S. mainland

2011-11-07T04:57:00.002-06:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST MON NOV 7 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER
A LARGE PORTION OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
HAS DEVELOPED CLOSER TO THE SURFACE CENTER DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS...AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THE LOW COULD GRADUALLY
ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY
WESTWARD TODAY AND NORTHWESTWARD ON TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
ON THIS GALE AREA CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1...AND
UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Frost likely overnight tonight throughout all of Central Alabama

2011-10-29T09:35:00.000-05:00

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
407 AM CDT SAT OCT 29 2011

ALZ011>015-017>050-291900-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...
VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...
PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...
MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...
PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA
407 AM CDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FROST ADVISORY LIKELY SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...

AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING...RADIATIONAL
COOLING FOSTERED BY CALM WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO FALL
INTO THE MIDDLE 30S AREA WIDE. THIS MEANS FROST IS LIKELY TO
DEVELOP AFTER 3 AM SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE HEAVIEST FROST
ACCUMULATING IN THE MORE SHELTERED AREAS AROUND DAYBREAK. CONDITIONS
SHOULD IMPROVE BY 9 AM...BUT THE TIME IS NOW TO MAKE PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT SENSITIVE VEGETATION. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE REFER
TO OUR HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

Tropical Storm Rina continues to weaken as it moves near Cancun this morning

2011-10-28T05:03:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
400 AM CDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...RINA SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT PASSES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CANCUN
MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 87.0W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM WNW OF CANCUN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA
ALLEN TO SAN FELIPE

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST. RINA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. RINA
SHOULD THEN BEGIN A SOUTHWARD DRIFT BACK TOWARD THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AND REMAIN THERE FOR A FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA OVER
WATER TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST...AND RINA COULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS MORNING.

RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGH
TODAY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST....
PRIMARILY ON COZUMEL AND EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN. THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Rina continues to weaken as the hurricane approaches the Yucatan Peninsula

2011-10-27T04:54:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
HURRICANE RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
400 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2011

...RINA WEAKENS AS IT HEADS FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 86.9W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM S OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM ENE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
GRUESA TO SAN FELIPE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA
GRUESA
* THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO
PROGRESO

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RINA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST. RINA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTH WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RINA WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER
THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RINA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND RINA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES...140 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER
OBSERVATIONS IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Rina remains a Category 2 hurricane just off the Yucatan Peninsula

2011-10-26T05:04:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
HURRICANE RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
400 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2011

...RINA MAINTAINING STRONG CATEGORY 2 INTENSITY...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 85.2W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SSE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA
TO CANCUN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA
GRUESA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD
* THE HONDURAN BAY ISLANDS OF ROATAN AND GUANAJA

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RINA WAS LOCATED
BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 17.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. RINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5
MPH...7 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN FORWARD IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH BY LATE THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF RINA WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE TODAY OR TONIGHT. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER RINA
MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER
OBSERVATIONS IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...MAKING OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY EARLY
THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16
INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGH
FRIDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Rina now a Category 2 hurricane; further strengthening likely as Rina meanders near Yucatan Peninsula

2011-10-25T04:52:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
HURRICANE RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
500 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...RINA NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE WITH 100 MPH WINDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 83.6W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SW OF GRAND CAYMAN
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA
GRUESA...AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO
CANCUN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA
TO CANCUN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA
GRUESA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RINA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.6 WEST. RINA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H...AND A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER WILL BE APPROACHING THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
BY THURSDAY MORNING.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR
100 MPH...160 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RINA IS A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND RINA
COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER
DATA IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA

Medium chance of tropical development in southern Caribbean Sea

2011-10-25T04:51:00.001-05:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
RINA...LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE JUST TO THE NORTH OF CURACAO IS PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT
BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER ARUBA...CURACAO AND BONAIRE...THE NORTHWESTERN COAST
OF VENEZUELA...AND THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA TODAY. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA

Tropical Storm Rina forms over NW Caribbean Sea- no threat to U.S.

2011-10-23T21:42:00.000-05:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011
1100 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2011

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING NORTHEASTERN
HONDURAS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 82.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM NE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SSW OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA CASTILLA EASTWARD TO THE
NICARAGUAN BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST. RINA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
AND THEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF
THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

INFORMATION FROM SATELLITES AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40
MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110
KM...PRIMARILY TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER EASTERN HONDURAS...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 7 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

High chance of tropical development off coasts of Nicaragua/Honduras

2011-10-23T14:01:00.001-05:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF THE NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS BORDER
HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...BUT ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION WOULD
RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY EN ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THIS
DISTURBANCE. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND
NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA THROUGH MONDAY.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF
THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS
DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

First really cold night of the season tonight- Freeze Warning issued

2011-10-20T20:31:00.001-05:00

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
322 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2011

...COLD TEMPERATURES AND FROST EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...

.A COMBINATION OF AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIRMASS AND LIGHT WINDS
WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD
FROST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. AREAS OF FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTH AS WELL TONIGHT. SOME FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

ALZ011>015-017>029-037-038-211000-
/O.UPG.KBMX.FR.Y.0004.111021T0700Z-111021T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KBMX.FZ.W.0001.111021T0700Z-111021T1400Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE
322 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2011

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY. THE
WARNED AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF AN ALICEVILLE...TO
SYLACAUGA...TO VALLEY LINE. THE FROST ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS AS IT HAS BEEN REPLACED BY THE FREEZE
WARNING.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RANGE FROM 30 TO 34 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT
ACROSS THE WARNED COUNTIES...WITH THE LOWEST READINGS EXPECTED
IN SHELTERED VALLEYS.

* IMPACTS...PREMATURELY BUDDING PLANTS...SHRUBS...AND TREES WILL
BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THESE COLD TEMPERATURES AND MAY SUFFER FROST
DAMAGE AND COULD BE KILLED IF LEFT UNPROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

Frost Advisory tonight for Bibb and Chilton counties, S/Central AL

2011-10-20T20:30:00.001-05:00

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
322 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2011

...COLD TEMPERATURES AND FROST EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...

.A COMBINATION OF AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIRMASS AND LIGHT WINDS
WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD
FROST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. AREAS OF FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTH AS WELL TONIGHT. SOME FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

ALZ030>036-039>050-211000-
/O.CON.KBMX.FR.Y.0004.111021T0700Z-111021T1400Z/
SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-MARENGO-DALLAS-
AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-
BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...
MOUNDVILLE...MARION...CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...
DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...
HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...
UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA
322 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2011

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT
FRIDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RANGE FROM 33 TO 36 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.

* IMPACTS...PREMATURELY BUDDING PLANTS...SHRUBS...AND TREES WILL
BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THESE COLD TEMPERATURES AND MAY SUFFER FROST
DAMAGE AND COULD BE KILLED IF LEFT UNPROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

Frost Advisory in effect overnight into Friday morning

2011-10-20T04:51:00.000-05:00

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
423 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2011

...AREAS OF FROST EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...

.A COMBINATION OF AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIRMASS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL
CREATE CONDITIONS FOR SCATTERED AREAS OF FROST ACROSS MUCH OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. PATCHY FROST
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING.

ALZ011>015-017>050-202100-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FR.Y.0004.111021T0700Z-111021T1400Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...
VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...
PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...
MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...
PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA
423 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...WILL RANGE FROM 33 TO 36 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.

* IMPACTS...PREMATURELY BUDDING PLANTS...SHRUBS...AND TREES WILL
BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THESE COLD TEMPERATURES AND MAY SUFFER FROST
DAMAGE AND COULD BE KILLED IF LEFT UNPROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

System in southern Gulf of Mexico disorganized with a low chance of development

2011-10-18T04:51:00.001-05:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA IS PRODUCING A LARGE CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AND WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO. HOWEVER...RECENT SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT
THE LOW CENTER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE
HEAVIEST SHOWERS AND STRONGEST WINDS...AND THE CIRCULATION IS
BECOMING ELONGATED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP APPEARS TO BE
DECREASING...AND IT HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH LATER TODAY. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...AND POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE
FLORIDA KEYS...THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

High chance of tropical development in southern Gulf of Mexico

2011-10-17T04:46:00.001-05:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED
NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN TIP OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING BETTER DEFINED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALSO
INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED NEAR THE SURFACE CENTER
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ADDITIONALLY...WINDS TO NEAR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE OCCURRING IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...OVER
THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND OVER THE WESTERN
STRAITS OF FLORIDA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MARGINALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE BECOMING
UNFAVORABLE AFTER THAT. ALTHOUGH THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE IS
INTERACTING WITH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
IS STILL POSSIBLE AS THE LOW MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST AT
5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND
SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE LOW THIS
AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...
AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Medium chance of tropical development in extreme southern Gulf of Mexico

2011-10-16T08:20:00.001-05:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE LARGE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. IN ADDITION...WINDS
NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ARE OCCURRING TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
CENTER OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO. ALTHOUGH THIS LOW IS INTERACTING WITH LAND...SOME GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND WESTERN CUBA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS THE LOW MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH

Medium chance for tropical development NE of the Bahamas

2011-10-13T09:33:00.001-05:00

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1015 AM EDT THU OCT 13 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO INCLUDE DISCUSSION OF SYSTEM NORTHEAST OF
THE BAHAMAS.

UPDATED...CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SURFACE LOW LOCATED A COUPLE OF
HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...INCLUDING THE REMNANTS OF EAST
PACIFIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E...EXTENDS FROM SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO EASTWARD INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND IS
PRODUCING AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
WHILE TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO LAND
INTERACTION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...BELIZE...AND GUATEMALA AS THIS SYSTEM REMAINS NEARLY
STATIONARY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BRENNAN

Slight chance of tropical development over NW Caribbean

2011-10-08T10:53:00.000-05:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM PHILIPPE...LOCATED ABOUT 865 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA...OR
ABOUT 1350 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS.

A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS
PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND EXTENDING NORTHWARD OVER MUCH
OF CUBA...MOST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND ALL OF THE BAHAMAS.
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD OR
NORTHWESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE BAHAMAS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Tropical Glance: Ophelia still a major hurricane, Phillipe still a tropical storm

2011-10-02T08:14:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
800 AM AST SUN OCT 02 2011

...OPHELIA TURNS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.5N 61.2W
ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY.
HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT
PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA ON MONDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA BY EARLY MONDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
TODAY.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
500 AM AST SUN OCT 02 2011

...PHILIPPE TURNING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 50.8W
ABOUT 965 MI...1550 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.8 WEST. PHILIPPE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND THIS WESTWARD MOTION
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS
PHILIPPE IS AFFECTED BY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Dense Fog Advisory to remain in effect through 9:00 AM

2011-09-27T05:01:00.000-05:00

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1018 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT TUESDAY...

ALZ011>015-017>041-043-271400-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FG.Y.0010.110927T0318Z-110927T1400Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-ELMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...
VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...
PRATTVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE
1018 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT TUESDAY.

* VISIBILITY...DENSE FOG WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD VISIBILITIES OF
ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. MOTORISTS ARE
URGED TO EXERCISE EXTREME LEVELS OF CAUTION IF TRAVELING THROUGH
THE REGION TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

TS Ophelia continues moving westward in the Atlantic

2011-09-21T05:01:00.002-05:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011
500 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

...OPHELIA MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 41.8W
ABOUT 1370 MI...2205 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Tropical depression/storm development likely over Central Atlantic

2011-09-19T04:55:00.001-05:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
TROPICAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE
CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER OF THE LOW...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REDEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER OF A SMALL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS. HOWEVER...ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15
MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Medium chance of tropical development in the Atlantic

2011-09-17T09:44:00.000-05:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 17 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE
SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Special Weather Statement- NWS Birmingham

2011-09-14T21:00:00.001-05:00

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
842 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

ALZ024-025-150215-
JEFFERSON AL-SHELBY AL-
842 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SHELBY AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

AT 839 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAS TRACKING STRONG
WINDS AHEAD OF A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR ADAMSVILLE...OR 8 MILES
NORTH OF FAIRFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS OUTFLOW AS IT MOVES
THROUGH SHELBY AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES. ONCE THE INITIAL LINE OF
WINDS MOVE THROUGH THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL FOLLOW.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
BESSEMER...
FAIRFIELD...
GARDENDALE...
FULTONDALE...
VESTEVIA HILLS...
BIRMINGHAM...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING. STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES.

TS Nate forms in the Bay of Campeche

2011-09-07T19:08:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
400 PM CDT WED SEP 07 2011

...TROPICAL STORM NATE FORMS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 92.4W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND LITTLE
MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION
IS FORECAST FOR FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165
KM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. DATA FROM PEMEX
OIL RIGS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE MEASURED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 43
MPH...70 KM/H...GUSTING TO 50 MPH...80 KM/H.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE UNIT AIRCRAFT MEASURED A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT...AND COULD CONTINUE INTO
THURSDAY.

RAINFALL... NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/ZELINSKY

Tropical Depression 14 will likely strengthen to Tropical Storm Maria in the Atlantic later today

2011-09-07T05:00:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
500 AM AST WED SEP 07 2011

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 39.9W
ABOUT 1100 MI...1770 KM WSW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1455 MI...2340 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.9 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H. A
WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Tropics remain active with several areas of concern today

2011-09-07T04:56:00.002-05:00

Hurricane Katia continues to weaken and will move away from the US and will perhaps affect the island of Bermuda with tropical storm conditions. Tropical Depression 14 will likely become Tropical Storm Maria later today...it is in a position to re-curve into the Atlantic, but that is certainly not carved in stone. Other areas of concern are listed below...

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
KATIA...LOCATED ABOUT 315 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA...AND ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN...LOCATED ABOUT 1580 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS...BUT SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES LITTLE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM TODAY...IF NECESSARY.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
IS EXPECTED TO BRING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THESE ISLANDS
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...
AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT34 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT24 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

High chance of tropical cycle development in the Atlantic...Maria forming???

2011-09-06T04:25:00.001-05:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
KATIA...LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS
THIS DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15
MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

Flood Warning for Jefferson and Blount counties through 6 AM

2011-09-06T04:22:00.001-05:00

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1205 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

ALC009-073-061100-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FA.W.0014.000000T0000Z-110906T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BLOUNT AL-JEFFERSON AL-
1205 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BLOUNT COUNTY IN ALABAMA...
JEFFERSON COUNTY IN ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 600 AM CDT

* AT 1204 AM CDT...COUNTY OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT SOME FLOODING
WAS CONTINUING ACROSS PARTS OF JEFFERSON AND BLOUNT
COUNTIES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT THROUGHOUT
THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH FLOODING CONDITIONS
CONTINUING TO SLOWLY IMPROVE.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...BESSEMER...
BIRMINGHAM...BLOUNTSVILLE...CLEVELAND...FAIRFIELD...FULTONDALE...
GARDENDALE...HOMEWOOD...HOOVER...HUEYTOWN...IRONDALE...LEEDS...
MOUNTAIN BROOK...ONEONTA...PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE...TRUSSVILLE...
VESTAVIA HILLS...ADAMSVILLE...ALABAMA ADVENTURE...ALLGOOD...
ALTON...ARKADELPHIA...B.J.C.C....BANGOR...BARBER MOTORSPORTS
PARK...BIRMINGHAM AIRPORT...BIRMINGHAM FAIRGOUNDS...BLOUNT
SPRINGS...BLUFF PARK AND BON AIR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A VER DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOODING SITUATION. YOU
SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL. STAY HOME UNLESS YOU ARE FORCED TO
EVACUATE TO HIGHER GROUND.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758.

Wind Advisory remains in effect until 7:00 AM

2011-09-06T04:19:00.000-05:00

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
335 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...WINDS TO REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...

ALZ011>015-017>050-061200-
/O.CON.KBMX.WI.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-110906T1200Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...
VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...
PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...
MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...
PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA
335 AM CDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* SUSTAINED WINDS AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE REMNANTS OF LEE MOVE
FURTHER AWAY FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 18 MPH AND HIGHER...
OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 MPH AND HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

Moderate risk for severe weather- Isolated tornadoes a strong possibility

2011-09-05T09:15:00.003-05:00

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

VALID 051300Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF AL AND GA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK
AREA...FROM ERN MS ENE INTO THE CAROLINAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW DROPPING SE ACROSS THE LWR MS VLY WILL CONTINUE
TO INTERACT WITH REMNANTS OF T.S. LEE TODAY/TNGT...WITH THE COMBINED
CIRCULATION CENTER LIKELY EVOLVING INTO AN ELONGATED CLOSED LOW OVER
THE MS/AL BORDER BY 12Z TUE. AT THE SAME TIME...SEPARATE...MORE
STRONGLY AMPLIFIED SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW OVER THE CNTRL GRT LKS
SHOULD CONTINUE E TO THE LWR LKS/NRN NEW ENGLAND BY EARLY TUE AS
BROAD RIDGE PERSISTS OVER THE RCKYS.

AT LWR LVLS...REMNANT SFC CIRCULATION CENTER OF LEE...NOW OVER FAR
SRN MS...IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NEWD...REACHING CNTRL AL THIS
EVE AND NRN GA BY 12Z TUE.

...SERN STATES TODAY/TNGT...
SHOWERS/TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH OVER PARTS OF
AL AND GA LATER TODAY AS MODEST SFC HEATING BOOSTS SBCAPE TO BETWEEN
1000 AND 2000 J/KG IN WARM SECTOR OF REMNANT T.D. LEE. CONTINUED
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OF THE SYSTEM THAT ALREADY WAS OF HYBRID
ORIGIN WILL STRENGTHEN AND POSSIBLY BROADEN ASSOCIATED SSWLY
LLJ...WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO AOA 50 KTS. AT THE SAME
TIME...700-500 MB FLOW WILL INCREASE TO 50-60 KTS AS UPR CIRCULATION
BEGINS TO ELONGATE.

LOW LVL CONVERGENCE MAY FOCUS IN SEVERAL AREAS INCLUDING /1/ ALONG
NWD-MOVING CSTL BOUNDARY NOW OVER SRN AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE.../2/
ALONG DEVELOPING N/S CONFLUENCE ZONE NOW ALONG THE MS-AL
BORDER...AND /3/ ALONG AXIS OF LOW LVL FRONTOGENESIS EXTENDING
WSW-ENE ACROSS NRN PARTS OF AL AND GA. EACH OF THESE AXES MAY SERVE
TO CONCENTRATE STORM/SHOWER DEVELOPMENT...WITH MOIST LOW LVL
ENVIRONMENT AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
FOSTERING SPORADIC EPISODES OF MESOCYCLONES AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.
THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP ALONG AND N OF THE CSTL
BOUNDARY LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS AFTN...WHERE THE
LARGEST LOW LVL HODOGRAPHS WILL COINCIDE WITH AXIS OF GREATEST
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE. SCTD SMALL BOWS WITH LOCALLY DMGG WIND
ALSO MAY OCCUR.

LATER TODAY...AND CONTINUING TNGT THROUGH EARLY TUE...EMBEDDED
ROTATING STRUCTURES/LEWPS MAY POSE A THREAT FOR MORE ISOLD TORNADOES
AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND GUSTS ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTOGENETIC
ZONE AS THAT FEATURE DEVELOPS ENEWD FROM NRN GA INTO WRN AND CNTRL
PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS.

...MID-ATLANTIC TO SRN NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTN...
THE STRONGEST LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND SHEAR WITH GRT LKS
TROUGH WILL LAG ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SETTLING SE ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES TODAY...RESULTING IN AN ANA-TYPE
FRONTAL SETUP. COUPLED WITH WIDESPREAD EXISTING CONVECTION/CLOUD
COVER AND DIMINISHED SFC HEATING...PROSPECTS FOR
APPRECIABLE SVR ACTIVITY APPEAR LOW. NEVERTHELESS...POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR A FEW POCKETS OF SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION TO SUPPORT
ISOLD STRONG TO LOCALLY SVR WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE CST FROM NJ TO ME.

..CORFIDI/GARNER.. 09/05/2011

Tornado Watch #838 in effect through 4:00 PM

2011-09-05T09:12:00.001-05:00

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 838
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

MUCH OF ALABAMA
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
EASTERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 540 AM UNTIL 400
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 130 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF TUSCALOOSA
ALABAMA TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 837. WATCH NUMBER 837 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
540 AM CDT.

DISCUSSION...BANDS AND SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS/TSTMS WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTN OVER
PARTS OF THE SERN STATES...IN ERN QUADRANT OF HYBRID T.D. LEE.
SATELLITE AND SFC OBS SUGGEST THAT LEE WILL CONTINUE TO UNDERGO
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN STRENGTHENING AND
PERHAPS BROADENING OF SSWLY LLJ EXTENDING FROM THE NERN GULF OF
MEXICO INTO AL AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE BY MIDDAY...WITH SPEEDS AOA
50 KTS. AT THE SAME TIME...A BELT OF STRENGTHENING 700-500 MB FLOW
WILL OVERSPREAD REGION AS UPR CIRCULATION OF LEE ELONGATES ENEWD.
COUPLED WITH SFC HEATING AND LOW LVL UPLIFT ALONG NWD MOVING CSTL
BOUNDARY...SETUP MAY YIELD INCREASING NUMBERS OF SUPERCELLS RELATIVE
TO THE PAST TWO DAYS...ESPECIALLY OVER SRN/CNTRL AL AND PERHAPS THE
WRN FL PANHANDLE/SW GA. OTHER STORMS /INCLUDING TRAINING CELLS AND
LEWPS/ CAPABLE OF ISOLD TORNADOES AND DMGG WIND MAY EVOLVE ALONG
DEVELOPING STNRY FRONT EXTENDING ENE FROM THE CENTER OF LEE INTO NRN
AL/NW GA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19040.

...CORFIDI

TD Lee now exra-tropical...Flash Flood Watch/Wind Advisory in effect

2011-09-05T09:09:00.002-05:00

NHC has issued its final advisory on the now post-tropical Tropical Depression Lee. However, Lee will still be affecting our weather in a BIG, BIG way with copious amounts of rain with gusty winds and isolated weak, spin-up tornadoes.

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
515 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

ALZ011>015-017>050-052100-
/O.CON.KBMX.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-110906T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...
VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...
PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...
MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...
PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA
515 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.

* THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
IMPACT CENTRAL ALABAMA AS THE REMNANTS OF LEE MOVES NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE AREA. MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. LOCATIONS IN AND
AROUND THE WATCH AREA WILL EXPERIENCE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES OF
RAINFALL FOR AREAS GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 85
CORRIDOR. AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 85 MAY SEE BETWEEN
4 AND 9 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL LEAD TO INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY IN POORLY DRAINED LOCATIONS. IN ADDITION...
WITH THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL EXPECTED...DRY SOILS WILL QUICKLY
SATURATE LEADING TO RAPID RUNOFF INTO RIVERS AND CREEKS...
RESULTING IN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE
THREATENING FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

WHEN WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY... TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
431 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...REMNANTS OF LEE WILL PROVIDE BREEZY CONDITIONS TODAY AND
TONIGHT...

.AS THE REMNANTS OF LEE SLIDE EAST NORTHEAST THROUGH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...LOOK FOR BREEZY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP THROUGH MUCH OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA. WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 15 TO 25 MPH FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE DAY. SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE
RAIN BANDS AS THEY MOVE THROUGH. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH ONCE
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION MOVES TO THE EAST OF CENTRAL ALABAMA
TUESDAY MORNING.

ALZ011>015-017>050-052100-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WI.Y.0023.110905T1500Z-110906T1200Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...
VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...
PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...
MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...
PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA
431 AM CDT MON SEP 5 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM CDT
TUESDAY.

* WINDS...WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AS
THE REMNANTS OF LEE MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 MPH AND HIGHER...
OR WIND GUSTS OF 30 MPH AND HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS
STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

Update on Tropical Storm Lee

2011-09-04T14:14:00.002-05:00

Well, Lee is now moving over South Central Louisiana. We are already getting some rain off this dude. Between now (mainly tonight) and Tuesday, we will likely see very heavy rains, flooding in spots, sustained high winds with higher gusts. There is also an outside threat of a brief, isolated tornado, as with any dying tropical system. Lee should be down to a tropical depression by the time the center gets into Alabama, clearly.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
100 PM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011

...LEE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.4N 91.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM WSW OF BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NE OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO EAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
MAUREPAS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST. LEE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY
A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
WILL MOVE SLOWLY OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...
445 KM...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OVER WATER.
DURING THE PAST HOUR...A COASTAL MARINE OBSERVING SITE NEAR BURIS
IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 46 MPH...
74 KM/H AND A GUST TO 58 MPH...93 KM/H...ABOUT 100 FEET ABOVE THE
SURFACE. SEVERAL OFFSHORE OIL RIGS ALSO CONTINUE TO REPORT
SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS A FEW HUNDRED FEET ABOVE THE
SURFACE WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

A STORM SURGE VALUE OF MORE THAN 3 FEET RECENTLY OCCURRED JUST SOUTH
OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA AT AMERADA PASS.

REPORTS FROM SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THESE RAINS
ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS OF AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOUISIANA COAST. WATER
LEVELS OF AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ARE OCCURRING
ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTS...INCLUDING MOBILE BAY.
WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AS LEE MOVES FARTHER
INLAND AND WEAKENS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Don't forget abotu Katia...moving closer and closer to East Coast.

2011-09-04T08:17:00.002-05:00

Katia is once again a hurricane this morning as the system has been fighting some harsh upper-level winds over the past couple of days. Of more concern is that the models have shifted more to the left and are not in good agreement as to Katia's eventual path. NHC has not bought into the models that move the system into the East Coast of the US just yet, and at this time that looks like a good idea given the front that is moving through the Central US will eventually move through the East Coast and likely move Katia out to sea and away from the US...nothing is carved in stone just yet. Let's just continue to keep an eye on Hurricane Katia in the coming days.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
500 AM AST SUN SEP 04 2011

...KATIA HEADING NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.4N 58.5W
ABOUT 370 MI...600 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.5 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND KATIA IS FORECAST TO REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH TODAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41044...LOCATED ABOUT 25 MILES...35
KM...NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER OF KATIA RECENTLY REPORTED 54 MPH...87
KM/H...WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 69 MPH...111 KM/H...AND 29 FOOT SEAS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KATIA ARE PRIMARILY AFFECTING THE
NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT OR
MONDAY. SWELLS COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

Update on TS- Barely inland over S Central Louisiana...heavy rain on the way to Central AL

2011-09-04T08:11:00.003-05:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
700 AM CDT SUN SEP 04 2011

...CENTER OF LEE JUST INLAND OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 92.0W
ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM W OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED OVER VERMILION BAY LOUISIANA NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST. LEE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
3 MPH...6 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST TONIGHT. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE SLOWLY OVER SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

RECENT REPORTS FROM OIL RIGS AND COASTAL MONITORING STATIONS
INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THESE RAINS
ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS OF AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOUISIANA COAST. WATER
LEVELS OF AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ARE OCCURRING
ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTS...INCLUDING MOBILE BAY.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Flash Flood Watch- Sunday AM through Tuesday AM

2011-09-03T21:39:00.002-05:00

Tropical Storm Lee is poised to produce copious amounts of rainfall across the recently-dry Central Alabama landscape. I do think that most everyone will get at least 3-4 inches as a storm total, but some locations will get anywhere from 5-8 inches which could certainly create some flash flooding issues. The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a Flash Flood Watch that will be in effect from Sunday morning through Tuesday morning when the remnants of Lee finally move on.

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
916 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

ALZ011>015-017>027-030>035-039>042-050215-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FF.A.0009.110904T1500Z-110906T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-MARENGO-DALLAS-
AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...
GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...
DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...
HAYNEVILLE
916 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL
ALABAMA...NORTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ALABAMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL
ALABAMA...AUTAUGA...BIBB...BLOUNT...CHILTON...DALLAS...
JEFFERSON...LOWNDES...PERRY...SHELBY...ST. CLAIR...TALLADEGA
AND WALKER. IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...CALHOUN AND CLEBURNE. IN
NORTHEAST ALABAMA...CHEROKEE AND ETOWAH. IN NORTHWEST
ALABAMA...MARION AND WINSTON. IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
FAYETTE...GREENE...HALE...LAMAR...MARENGO...PICKENS...SUMTER AND
TUSCALOOSA.

* FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AS TROPICAL STORM LEE MOVES
NORTHWARD BEGINNING TOMORROW AFTERNOON. MODERATE TO LOCALLY
HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY SUNDAY LATE MORNING
CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. LOCATIONS IN AND AROUND THE
WATCH AREA WILL EXPERIENCE BETWEEN 5 AND 8 INCHES OF
RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL LEAD TO INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY IN POORLY DRAINED LOCATIONS. IN
ADDITION...WITH THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL EXPECTED...DRY SOILS WILL
QUICKLY SATURATE LEADING TO RAPID RUNOFF INTO RIVERS AND
CREEKS...RESULTING IN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE
THREATENING FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

WHEN WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY, TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

Special Weather Statement- NWS Birmingham regarding TS Lee

2011-09-03T08:22:00.001-05:00

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
702 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

ALZ011>015-017>050-032100-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...
ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...
VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...
PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...
MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...
PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA
702 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

...TROPICAL STORM LEE TO IMPACT CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
LOUISIANA COAST LATE MORNING OR AFTERNOON...THEN SLOWLY CROSS
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY. THE CENTER OF LEE IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE DAY
MONDAY...BEFORE MOVING INTO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAY
IMPACT FAR SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH. SOME WEAKENING OF LEE IS
EXPECTED AS THE STORM MOVES SLOWLY ACROSS LOUISIANA AND
MISSISSIPPI...BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR TO SEE IF ANY TROPICAL
FORCE WINDS CAN MAKE IT INTO SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA. PLEASE REFER THE LATEST PUBLIC DISCUSSIONS BY THE NHC IN
REGARDS TO THE PATH OF TROPICAL STORM LEE...AND THE HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE IMPACTS OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

TS Lee somewhat stronger this morning- poised to give a big wetdown to the Central Gulf Coast

2011-09-03T08:20:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
700 AM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011

...LEE STRENGTHENING...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALONG THE COAST...

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 92.0W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM S OF NEW IBERIA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST. LEE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR
7 MPH...11 KM/H. A SLOW AND POSSIBLY ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF LEE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE LOUISIANA COAST
THIS MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING BEFORE THE CENTER
MOVES WELL INLAND OVER LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
MAINLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. RECENTLY AN OIL
RIG JUST SOUTH OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF
58 MPH AND A GUST TO 67 MPH AT 200 FEET ELEVATION.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON OBSERVATIONS FROM
OIL RIGS IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST...AND BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA COASTS INCLUDING MOBILE BAY. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE DETAILS. A STORM
SURGE OF NEAR 4 FEET WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT SHELL BEACH
LOUISIANA...AND A SURGE HEIGHT OF 2.4 FEET WAS REPORTED AT GRAND
ISLE LOUISIANA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Tropical Storm Lee Has Formed in the Gulf

2011-09-02T18:01:00.002-05:00

Folks along the Mississippi and Louisiana coasts are in for a whole lot of rain and high winds, looks like. We will likely get some rain from this eventually, some time next week.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
100 PM CDT FRI SEP 02 2011

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM LEE SOUTH OF THE
LOUISIANA COAST...HEAVY RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH
OF SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 91.5W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND
OBSERVATIONS FROM OIL RIGS TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST. LEE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2
MPH...4 KM/H. A CONTINUED SLOW AND POSSIBLY ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY AND SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DURING THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH ARE BEING REPORTED ON OIL
RIGS NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER AT ELEVATIONS OF A FEW HUNDRED
FEET ABOVE THE OCEAN SURFACE.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325
KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM NEARBY
OIL RIGS AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1003
MB...29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO
CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE FLOW.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING...MAKING
OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

TD 13 not moving anywhere in a hurry- could become a tropical storm later today

2011-09-02T04:55:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
400 AM CDT FRI SEP 02 2011

...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION MEANDERING SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA
COAST...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 91.7W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H.
A SLOW AND POSSIBLY ERRATIC NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DURING THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. WINDS
OF TROPICAL-STORM FORCE ARE BEING REPORTED ON OIL RIGS NORTH AND
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AT ELEVATIONS OF SEVERAL HUNDRED FEET.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE FLOW.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Newly-formed TD 13 barely moving, will be a big-time rain maker this weekend.,,

2011-09-01T21:49:00.000-05:00

BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011 1000 PM CDT THU SEP 01 2011 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING VERY SLOWLY...EXPECTED TO DRENCH PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.6N 91.5W ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DURING THE WEEKEND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN

High chance of tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico...Lee forming???

2011-08-31T21:28:00.001-05:00

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM KATIA...LOCATED ABOUT 1285 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...BUT ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. INTERESTS ALONG THE ENTIRE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
DISTURBANCE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

TD 12 upgraded to Tropical Storm Katia- could be a major hurricane near Puerto Rico later this week

2011-08-30T04:58:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
500 AM AST TUE AUG 30 2011

...NEW TROPICAL STORM MOVING QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.8N 31.7W
ABOUT 535 MI...855 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.7 WEST. KATIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND KATIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE
INTENSITY BY LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

With Irene gone, Jose moving away from land, eyes now turn to TD 12, soon-to-be Katia

2011-08-29T05:01:00.001-05:00

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
500 AM AST MON AUG 29 2011

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.4N 26.3W
ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.3 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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NONE

NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.